2022-23 Houston Rockets -- will they be over/under 24.5 wins?

They said jabari smith and sengun both grew to 6’11

 

Lolz Jacob Poetl is 7'1 he is half a head taller than Sengun.

 

The boys looked great, but pump the brakes on breaking 25 wins.

This Spurs team is their most blatant tanking outfit since they threw the season for Duncan, that team will struggle to win 15 games.

 

If we could figure out a way to only play the Jazz, Spurs, Pacers and Thunder we will go way over.

 

I think one of the challenges we're going to face is that we're just not as bad as OKC, the Jazz, or the Spurs. Those three will be in a tight race for the worst team, and they've all but cemented the bottom three slots even though the season hasn't begun yet. After them, you have a Pacers team that is on the cusp of tanking, especially if they move Turner, and then you have the Magic who I think we're very close to but they're probably a little worse than us. That should still give us good odds for Top 4 and the #1 overall, but it also means we could easily end up in the 3-7 pick range, which means we're no longer in the Scoot/Wemby contest.

 

I see Tari's best position likely being the 4 long term. I think Smith will likely be the 4 long term, but could also add strength and be the 5. It probably won't be answered this season, but how Sengun, Smith, and Tari mesh is very interesting to me.

 

I'm betting the OVER because I think we hit 38 wins at make the play in

 

I know it's just preseason, but watching the Spurs last night, I think they probably won't get more than 15 wins. Absolutely worse than our 2020-21 team. They just have nobody to go to in any possession. I imagine Utah won't be much better. OKC losing Chet will be just like their last year.

If we just win 25 games, there will probably still be three teams beneath us. There's just a lot of tough competition in the tank.

 

I think they’ll go over. Not by much.

 

Agree....I was thinking that same range....35 came to mind.

 

I have noticed that a lot of books have adjusted our O/U down to 23.5 after opening at 24.5. Seems gamblers have been going with the under so far.

 

The opposite is true in this forum.

Several folks think we win 30.

 

It’ll fluctuate depending on what book someone decides to use and day. My local book has 24 right now for the rockets.

 

There are going to be a lot of 55+ win teams this year with so many teams tanking.

 

Maybe after the recent Wemby hype, all the non-playoffs teams are expected to be tanking.

 

28 or 29 is my guess -- more tanking teams might mean more wins for our guys -- I don't think they're going to buy into losing, into NEEDING to tank... too much pride, I'm betting.

 

I suspect the gamblers are also betting the FO won’t let the grand plan be derailed this year. I suspect a few strategic trades and mandated lingering injuries will come our way after 30 games or so. If Sengun has an extended bellyache and Favor is traded, we will get destroyed at C.

Toss in an EG trade and alternating hamstrings between JG and KPJ and it shouldn’t be hard to come in under 30 wins even while showing free agents the potential.

 

Generally rule of thumb, bet the over on bad teams and bet the under on good teams. People like the odds to look like end of the year standings, but aren't good enough to figure which bad teams will under perform and which good teams will over perform.

Caveat: This rule of thumb does not apply to betting based on season-long tanking.

 

I'll take the over. Don't see us trying to intentionally tank while many other teams will.