How Rockets will be under 0.500 in 2022-23 season?

That's just blaming Silas for .... everything that's wrong with this team.

This bunch is so young, you expect them to struggle .... And you beg them to have the league's worst record & they deliver but some need a scapegoat ...

If you ask me, Silas has worked wonders offensively with this roster.

Youth.

This rotation is incredibly young.

 

Yeah I agree. As i have written multiple times on this site, coaching can only take a team so far. If anyone has played organized basketball at any level they would understand this. Coaches themselves will tell you the same. They may enhance your game and motivate you but at the end of the day the 5 man tactical team on the floor has the responsibility to execute. This team may be a year or two away from competing and I do believe 2023 will be the year the team will be more defined and shaped the way the organization imagined with our large cap space.

 

So you think we will be a middle of the pack team this year? Please list all the teams we leapfrogs and why. Be sure to include half the league.

I read the names on the roster and the years of experience next to the names on the roster and think Ewww.

 

1)You can find teams who average 115 and have a losing record in the past seasons.

2) last year rockets scored 109.7 per game. So if your analysis is off by 5 points, it changes everything. Even the numbers you quoted for players change 5 points from one of your posts to the other.

3) 28 points is not childs play for anyone.

4) And basic math: even if many things individually have a reasonably high chance of happening, the chances for them happening all of them at the same time is not high.

I put $75 on rockets winning 24 games. It is for the fun of it but I am not sure if I wasted my money or not.

 

Another problem with your thinking is that, the first 4 players who score 80 per game do not play all games, even if they have no injuries. So in the remaining games, you need to have someone from the second group to make up for the missing player to get same total of 115.

 

After watching summer league you think Christopher can run the point?

 

I Fk with OPs optimism. I may not see a .500 team but I think they win 30+ They can hit the ground running with an identity vs wasting a month tinkering with dumb 2 big lineups and rookie struggles. I know it’s going to be an exciting brand of basketball and I can’t wait.

 

I like the optimism. Sengun will average a triple double and win MVP. Leading Rockets to a their 3rd championship after we make a deadline deal to bring Harden home.

 

Well it's open to interpretation. What do you define as, "running point"

Is Marcus Smart good at "running point?" Celtics went to the finals this past year

Is Curry good at "running point?" (21/22) 6.3 Ast & 3.2 TOV's per game.
(21/22): Porter was 6.2 Ast & 3.1 TOV's.

I feel teams are trending towards combo guards filling in at both
the 1 and the 2. Jalen Green is one combo guard we are sticking with.
The other is up for debate.

Celtics had Schroder but traded out that PG and moved Marcus Smart
to run the PG. Brought in Derrick White to help as another combo guard.
It was good but lacking just a little too much vs a talented team like GSW's.

6'1" Payton Pritchard wasn't cutting it because of defensive liability.
Now they went out and brought in 6'5" Malcolm Brogdan.

Switch everything defenses are causing teams to trade out or sacrificing quality
passers for better rebounding interior defender in the form of combo guards.
Teams are asking everyone to pass.....not just limit it to one guy.

-----------
KPj (21/22): 15.6 pts...6.2 Ast...4.4 rebs...45.6 (FG%)...3.1 TOV...30.7 Ast%
JC (21/22): 7.9 pts...2.0 Ast.....2.5 rebs...44.8 (FG%)....1.5 TOV...17.3 Ast% (18 mins)

So basketball-reference.com has player projection function. It's per-36 minutes.
KPj (22/23): 18.2 pts...6.8 Ast...5.1 rebs
J C (22/23): 16.4 pts...4.1 Ast...5.3 rebs

I think B-R.com is selling Porter short on his stats....but ok. So we go
with Josh Christopher at point. Gives us an excuse for losing as
we try for Wembanyama. If we miss on Wembanyama, some want
Scoot Henderson. Since I see JC and Scoot Henderson as the same...
It would probably be a platoon of JC/Green and Scoot Henderson.
With JC and Scoot Henderson fighting it out for who starts. And that's
if TyTy doesn't catch fire.
________


I like a trade of:
Houston in: Rui Hachimura
x
Wiz in: Kevin Porter jr / Kenyon Martin Jr / Nix

works on trade machine

Rockets have too many mouths to feed. Everyone is waiting on Durant and Donovan
Mitchell deals......but both Nets and Utah want too much. So not happening.


---------
*Just a side note: did Steve Kerr, BJ Armstrong, Beverley really run point....
or did they bring the ball up and then defer to MJ, Pippen, Harden?

 

Hot takes baby

 

You are assuming everything will go in the best possible way. Look at last year's numbers. The starters won't play 70 Games. You expect all the players to make Solid improvements. For example You expect Sengun to play 32 minutes for 70 games. And perform at the same level. That is a big thing to ask for. You expect Green to go from 17 to 25 pts. That is also big. Jabari is a rookie. God knows how he will adjust to the nba and when. Plus no injuries etc.

So, I think 30 wins is within reach. Anything beyond 32-33 would be a big surprise. 41 wins is literally impossible.

 

And one more thing. Sengun was basically carrying the second unit, With him moving to the first unit, the second unit might not be as good as last year.

 

Well I'm not sure that's accurate. basketball-reference.com
shows in Sengun splits that Sengun was 12.1 pts per 29.6 mins over 13 games.
https://www.basketball-reference.com/players/s/sengual01/splits//2022

But I won't squabble with you as I see Sengun get more post touches
with cleaner looks or passing alleys / windows.

I don't see Sengun scoring a vast amount more from there, but
FT's will be an uptick. I mainly see Sengun passing improving from
the post as Silas adds more movement and the team provides
greater spacing.

Wood was a better 3-pt shooter than Jabari or Tari are.....initially.
But they seem to be more willing Catch-n-Shoot perimeter players
than Wood was. Wood more often than not, wanted to put the ball
on the ground and drive. Catch-n-Shoot from TaBari are going to increase
assist totals in Green, Porter and Sengun

basketball-reference.com projects Sengun at (per 36-mins)
17.2 pts...4.5 Ast...9.5 rebs. I might go lower on pts...higher on Asts....lower in rebs.
https://www.basketball-reference.com/players/s/sengual01.html

...because I don't think Sengun will get 36-minutes

 

Sorry I said running the point. LOL

That's a lot of typing.

I get your point and agree. Not comparing Green to MJ or Kobe, but they were the primary ball handlers the majority of the time. Especially in crunch time. In that role (which I think Green will grow into) best to have another combo guard that can shoot and play D. I could see JC there, but he'd have to improve his shooting. Got a ways to go on turnovers due to erratic play, but he's young that should improve.

I doubt they trade KPJ this offseason. If he has a good yr, has no issues and they feel like they're not wanting to pay him the bigger contract then maybe at the deadline.

Come on training camp.

 

This goes on the Mount Rushmore of bad threads

 

If Green can extend his post all-star scoring performance to the whole season and play better defense it is a huge success.

Alpi's figure was 15 points per 32. But he did not play 32 minutes. increasing your minutes by 50% is no small thing. We would be very very happy if he can score 14-15 points per 32 with the increased minutes. Again for him the main goal is 13-15 pts per 32 minutes and cut on the fouls and turnovers. That would be fantastic.

KPJ scored 15.6 pts in 61games. You expect him to play 70 games and increase to 22pts per game. That is a ridiculously high bar.

You have very high expectations for every one. As I stated before, one of your expectations can realize, but not all of them at the same time.