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Astros 2022 Season General Discussion Thread

Discussion in 'Houston Astros' started by Snake Diggit, Apr 9, 2022.

  1. IdStrosfan

    IdStrosfan Member

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    This year?

    I would be thrilled with next year!!

    Can you imagine the "stuff" a rotation of McCullers, Javier, Framber, H.Brown, and Whitley would have?

    All Whitley needs to do is keep doing what he's doing: baby step up ranks and throw strikes. then dominate the AFL again.

    Then he can compete for a #5 rotation spot next year.

    That would make this Astros fan very happy.
     
    everyday eddie likes this.
  2. Major

    Major Member

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    What do you think their importance is?
     
  3. cmlmel77

    cmlmel77 Up all Night Watching Houston Sports
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    Probably not. But let a man dream after two outstanding outings - he is 37 after all, so it better happen soon.

    The point stands on LMJ and Brown.
     
  4. Buck Turgidson

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    OK, so let's define ACE.

    What 10 (let's say 10 for ease of use) factors go into creating the ACE metric?

    Somebody who really likes excel or databases is going to compile this, right?

    Listed in no order of importance (rank them 1-200, assign the same 1 through 200 for each, numeric value, add them up = voila! ACE). I understand some of these duplicate other ones, that's to unmuck some of the nerd-static:

    ER/9
    WHIP
    HR/9
    H/9
    BB/9
    K/9
    FIP?
    WAR?
    FWopr?

    Pick your 10, show your work. I want the ACE spreadsheet on my desk by 5 on Wednesday.
     
    #1124 Buck Turgidson, Jun 29, 2022
    Last edited: Jun 29, 2022
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  5. Marshall Bryant

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    Unless they end up in a tie, it has no relevance to seeding. And psychologically, unless dominance like Mike Scott, is usually less important than just being hot at the time.
     
    Major likes this.
  6. Marshall Bryant

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    Am I the only one who really doesn't like our players in the All Star game with the abbreviated break?

    I'm personally still mad at what they did to Atlanta last year, even though I don't necessarily like Atlanta.
     
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  7. Wulaw Horn

    Wulaw Horn Member

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    Typically I just go with the guys who get cy young votes and figure if you were good enough to collect those your wn ace for the year.
     
  8. rockbox

    rockbox Around before clutchcity.com

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    What the trip in NY has confirmed for me is that if Bregman and Yuli hit at even close to their ability, we will put the fear of god into any team including the one that may break the single season win record.
     
  9. Marshall Bryant

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    At some point after the All Star break, I fully expect JV to experience a hick-up causing everyone to panic. If he goes on IR for two or three weeks, it may save him for the playoffs without disrupting his routine more than once. We'll have a softer schedule and more home games after the break plus a couple of series. The timing will be good for McCuller's return as well.

    ps Mid season for the Astros comes after the game on 7/6. A week from today.

    We play our last division game of the year on 9/18, which would probably be the earliest end to division play for any team playing a full schedule in history. It's a really weird year.
     
    #1129 Marshall Bryant, Jun 29, 2022
    Last edited: Jun 29, 2022
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  10. Buck Turgidson

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    Well, that's not really helpful if we're talking about current events.
     
  11. BlindHog

    BlindHog Member

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    Who has home field can come down to the teams head to head record.
     
  12. Major

    Major Member

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    So let's say the Yankees and Astros have maybe a 5% chance of ending the regular season tied. And let's say Yordan is a 10 WAR player. Benching him, on average, will cost the Astros 1 win every 16 games. This is very fudgy math, but then playing him adds about a 7% chance to win the game (ignoring that Dubon actually did great, since didn't know that pre-game). The difference only is relevant if the two teams meet in the ALCS (maybe a 50% chance of that?).

    Multiply the three probabilities and you have a 0.15% chance of resting Yordan in the head-to-head game mattering. And that ignores the fact that maybe you have to give Yordan an off-day on a different day that reduces your chance of winning that game by 7%, etc.
     
  13. BlindHog

    BlindHog Member

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    Not to say I expect Whitley in the rotation this year, but I think he is just as likely as McCullers. Chances for either are very slim.
     
  14. BlindHog

    BlindHog Member

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    If it is possible and you are after a championship you must address it. Teams do not become champions by accident.
     
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  15. rockbox

    rockbox Around before clutchcity.com

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    If you never rest your players, it's inevitable their performance will degrade and you risk the chance of injury which would prevent them from playing extended period of time.
     
  16. BlindHog

    BlindHog Member

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    I never really cared much about the all star game one way or the other, but that moved me from the don't care column to the pisses me off column.
     
  17. BlindHog

    BlindHog Member

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    True enough but day in and day out, not picking an appropriate time to rest your players is one of the things that separate Dusty from a good manager.
     
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  18. rockbox

    rockbox Around before clutchcity.com

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    When is the appropriate day to rest him. I think it's the days he goes 0 for 4 and we throw a no hitter. F!!! Stupid Baker he should have know Javier was going to no hit the Yankees.
     
  19. BlindHog

    BlindHog Member

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    Situational awareness is an important part of decision making.
     
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  20. juicystream

    juicystream Member

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    LMJ is throwing live BP. He could be back after the break. I suppose he could go to the pen full-time, but how likely is it that we make it through the season using only 6 starters?
     
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