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2022 Midterms

Discussion in 'BBS Hangout: Debate & Discussion' started by Xerobull, Jan 8, 2021.

  1. Reeko

    Reeko Member

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    Democrats are still on track to get washed

    gas prices, inflation, the economy…those are all things Biden is doing very poorly on according to voters

    you’d have to hope that guns and abortion become more important than economic issues
     
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  2. Os Trigonum

    Os Trigonum Member
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  3. Os Trigonum

    Os Trigonum Member
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    California is about to experience a political earthquake. Here's why

    https://www.cnn.com/2022/06/07/politics/california-primary-election-da-race/index.html

    excerpt:

    (CNN) An earthquake is building in Tuesday's California elections that could rattle the political landscape from coast to coast.

    In Los Angeles and San Francisco, two of the nation's most liberal large cities, voters are poised to send stinging messages of discontent over mounting public disorder, as measured in both upticks in certain kinds of crime and pervasive homelessness.

    That dissatisfaction could translate into the recall of San Francisco's left-leaning district attorney, Chesa Boudin, likely by a resounding margin, and a strong showing in the Los Angeles mayoral primary by Rick Caruso, a billionaire real estate developer and former Republican who has emerged as the leading alternative in the race to Democratic US Rep. Karen Bass, once considered the front-runner.

    Linking both these contests -- as well as several Los Angeles City Council races and an ongoing effort to recall George Gascon, Los Angeles County's left-leaning district attorney -- is a widespread sense among voters in both cities that local government is failing at its most basic responsibility: to ensure public safety and order. It's a sentiment similar to the anxiety over urban disarray that inspired the "broken windows" policing theory during the 1980s, and contributed to the election of Republican Mayors Rudy Giuliani and Richard Riordan in New York and Los Angeles, respectively, amid the cascading violence of the crack epidemic in the early 1990s.

    Tuesday's California results will likely send a stark message to the Democrats controlling Congress and the White House. The outcome will again underscore how much danger a party in power can face when voters feel that certainty has been stripped from their lives -- a dynamic that extends beyond crime and homelessness to inflation, soaring gasoline prices and continued disruption from the unending Covid pandemic.

    "In the broadest perspective, the voters and residents are feeling that the governing regime, the liberal Democratic regime that has dominated LA for the last 30 years, and California and San Francisco, is not meeting the moment," says Fernando Guerra, a political scientist who directs the Center for the Study of Los Angeles at Loyola Marymount University.
    more at the link
     
  4. rocketsjudoka

    rocketsjudoka Member

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    Economic issues are almost always going to be the most important issues to voters. And as long as inflation is high that will be a significant drag on Democratic chances.

    That doesn't mean that Democrats are necessarily doomed. The election isn't this month and things could change by November. I think we'll see the formula situation be resolved by then and after Summer gas prices will likely drop at least because of seasonal variation. I think inflation will still be a factor but might not be as much by November.
     
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  5. ROCKSS

    ROCKSS Member
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    I agree, its not going to be pretty. Even if the Jan 6th committee were to show that this was 10 times worse then Watergate the trumpers will not care nor will it sway there thinking..........every GOP member will call it a hoax and or a witch-hunt by the evil left who want to kill babies and take your guns away, its the same playbook every time. If its one thing the GOP is good at is staying on point in there messaging, they dont offer anything up as far as policy they simply say the other side is evil and the trumpers buy it hook, line and sinker. The Democrats better come out swinging or its going to be an ugly 2 years and then the trumpers will take back the white house..........Lord help us all
     
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  6. Reeko

    Reeko Member

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    things would have to change in a very significant way between now and November, and I’m not holding my breath

    gas prices, inflation, increased cost of goods in grocery stores, the S&P 500 going down, etc…all things Biden has been getting crushed on

    he is polling in the 30’s on basically any economic or financial issue

    Republican voters also seem to be much more enthusiastic about voting than Democrats…probably because a lot of people view the party as weak and not able to get anything done, so they might as well not even bother and just stay home

    abortion, and I hate to say it, but mass shootings as well, are the only reason the Dems even have a pulse
     
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  7. Reeko

    Reeko Member

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    4 more years of Trump and his ilk in the White House, and it will be a wrap…the damage done will be immeasurable

    GOP has their talking points, and the entire party buys in and amplifies the message…Democrats meanwhile are all over the place
     
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  8. Commodore

    Commodore Member

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  9. Invisible Fan

    Invisible Fan Member

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    California has tens of billions in budget surpluses, but does little to nothing to address housing for poor and homelessness, debt reservicing, pension restructuring or experimental police reform.

    I imagine corporate and high earning tax reciepts will be down this year, but no mention of budget controls.

    Dems don't believe in **** anymore. All politicians seem to get elected for their gravy train and insider trades.

    Cons are trending on the fanatical spite and power grabs tho.
     
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  10. rocketsjudoka

    rocketsjudoka Member

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    Most things are relative so even a marginal improvement in inflation will have a larger affect.

    Republican voters are energized but if we see things like abortion bans actually going into effect that might change.

    Also one of the biggest issues is that if Republicans stuck to the economy and agreed to some firearms control measures I think Democrats would have almost no chance. The problem is that Republicans can't just stick to the economy but are putting forward candidates who are obsessed with things like that the 2020 election was stolen and many other issues. Herschel Walker and Mehmut Oz are very weak candidates otherwise in a year that greatly favors Republicans they should be pulling away from Democrats. Instead most polling shows them in very tight races with Democrats.

    So while people might not be happy with Democrats doesn't mean that they are willing to support any Republican.
     
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  11. deb4rockets

    deb4rockets Member
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    LMAO. Wanna see what Republicans don't believe in? It's like, screw the women who are victims of domestic violence, screw the Vets, the elderly, the LGBQT community, the small businesses, and so many others in need, but don't punish the leader of the coup or try and stop gas and oil price gouging, pharmaceutical price gouging, or us passing out guns like candy by God.



    You have it backwards. Republicans don't believe in **** anymore. Nothing with a heartbeat at least.
     
    #471 deb4rockets, Jun 8, 2022
    Last edited: Jun 8, 2022
  12. Invisible Fan

    Invisible Fan Member

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    Race to the bottom
     
  13. pirc1

    pirc1 Member

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    Democrats are done, put a fork in it. The only question is how bad the beating will be, is it a 10pt loss, 20 point blew out or 30 point humiliations.
     
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  14. deb4rockets

    deb4rockets Member
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    If Democrats are done than so is Democracy.
     
  15. MojoMan

    MojoMan Member

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    Disgraced Never-Trump RINO Liz Cheney Is 28 POINTS Behind Her GOP Primary Opponent Harriet Hageman

    “Hageman Viewed Favorably by 2-to-1 Margin, while Cheney is Overwhelmingly Disliked Over the past six months, Harriet Hageman has become known to nearly all Wyoming RPV, and as she has done so, her net favorable image has increased from +21 to +29. A 58% majority now view her favorably while just 29% have an unfavorable opinion.

    Conversely, the already unpopular Congresswoman Liz Cheney has become even more disliked, with her net favorable falling from -40 to -47. A whopping 73% of GOP primary voters have an unfavorable view of Cheney, including 66% who view her very unfavorably.
     
  16. Rocket River

    Rocket River Member

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    As someone stated

    They believe
    NO ONE SHOULD BE ABLE TO TELL THEM WHAT TO DO
    While
    THEY SHOULD BE ABLE TO DICTATE TO EVERYONE ELSE

    Rocket River
     
  17. Fantasma Negro

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  18. deb4rockets

    deb4rockets Member
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    Republicans love it. They voted against the price gouging bill.
     
  19. JayGoogle

    JayGoogle Member

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    Eh, I wouldn't really say the Democrats are 'done' and over. The GOP is putting forth some weak candidates in places they need wins like PA and not sure how Walker is going to fare against Warnock and if Fetterman had 0 health concerns I think he would easily win. He has a very kind of 'special' feel to him, if his health is okay for the next month, I think he wins. Not your normal democrat at all.

    The house, it would be a miracle if the Dems won, but the senate is very winnable with the seats that are up for election.
     
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  20. Major

    Major Member

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    Yeah the House seems virtually impossible, but Dems have a good chance to hold their seats in AZ, NV, NH, and GA, and pick one up in PA. Probably won't work out that well, but I can see them holding at 50. Vance in OH is terrible, but it's OH so unlikely Dems can get it. Dems have outside shots in WI, NC, and MO (if Greitens wins) as well, but unlikely to get any of those. But this slate of GOP candidates reminds me of 2010.
     
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