I hope they don't. Saying Jabari as a Freshman in the SEC is similar, but better to what Covington did over 4 years in the OVC is high praise especially considering that Jabari shoot more threes and free throws. The 3 point argument from a biased source basically suggests Jabari will hit just under 40% while taking a lot of threes isn't a con in my book. If Jabari's shot mix changes like Covington's, you got a guy making 38% of threes on 11 attempts a game while only shooing 4-5 2PAs despite Jabari likely being better than Covington was when he entered the league and likely getting a lot better. Great defender that basically is what Curry was behind the 3 point line this past season.
Greatest correlation from NCAA to NBA. SURPRISE!!! Blocks have the strongest one-for-one correlation between NCAA and NBA outcomes, at a high 65%.
Advanced stats are more accurate translation than box score stats. Imagine that. And OMG, shooting efficiencies also correlate closely between NCAA and NBA. Someone take notes for the unbelievers. Good shooters tend to be good shooters no matter the level they play at. Good FG% stays up jumping from the NCAA to the NBA, and that 40% positive correlation is the strongest among every shooting metric depicted in the chart above. Correlation between NCAA FT% and NBA 3P%. Please sticky for the uninitiated. Interestingly — and this has been widely discussed around scouting corners — amateur FT% tends to correlate nicely with professional 3P%, the relation sitting at 27%. That’s nothing otherworldly, but it is the largest of correlations between seemingly unrelated metrics among those used for this category. When it comes to negative correlations, FG% and 3P% are the two most-clashing stats in terms of NCAA and NBA production. The higher field-goal percentages in the NCAA, the lower 3P% in the NBA and vice-versa. Something similar happens with FT%—the lower scoring from the charity stripe in the NCAA, the higher FG% in the NBA, and vice-versa.
Rockets can be dumb but... there's no real evidence thus far to show they're "passing on Banchero" , or otherwise eschewing BPA for "accommodating" their......third team all rookie post player
And finally, not only does DEFENSE MATTER it translates best from amateur to professional level. The DRtg metric correlates much more strongly than the ORtg one. Offensive contributions have a positive 13% correlation between the amateur and the pro levels of play, while the defensive ones have a much stronger 28% (more than double) correlation between both leagues.
Yep, notice the crickets from the hoi poloi? Laying low because there is only so much science you can dispute, before it punches you in the face.
There are rumours on the net that OKC is interested in Ivey. I think he might be part of a backup plan.
Banchero makes me nervous because of his defense and poor 3P shooting. Would Sacramento be in love with him? Could we get either get Holmes and #4 for #3? Would you take #4 and next year top 10 protected? If we got #4 who would you take? All of this only pertains if Chet or Smith(my preference) aren’t available.
