Awesome stuff! Sharpe seems like the shiny prospect someone will fall in love with and im ok with that being Houston if that so happens. Curious question, when ranking prospects do scouts(or you), grade prospects not just on "potential" but also likelihood of reaching that potential? For instance: Mathurin has a 20% chance of reaching an 80 score but 50% chance of a 60 score Vs Eason has a 10% chance of reaching an 80 score but 75% chance of a 60 score And if you do does potential always win out? I imagine it may shift for win now teams but idk. Appreciate all that you contribute Nook
I really wish that the nets missed the playoffs. Would be so nice to have the 13-14th. I still hope they trade up or try to trade the pick for one next season. You could have 3 picks next season package them together and a player for a top 5 pick if the rockets don’t like out in the lottery.
I don't see much difference between the #14 and #17 pick to overreach with a trade. Unless we are getting rid of Wall in that deal
Perhaps not with the player you would want as a team because of a lot of holes on the team. But trading up to a player you perhaps really want in the top 7-9 would be easier or to trade for another pick next year could potentially be easier. I wonder what Wood and KPJ could get you pick wise next year from a team like Charlotte or Blazers or Pacers. Then you would have their pick and Bucks pick and Rockets. No matter the rockets record that should get you all things considered into the top 7-8 of the draft if the rockets really excelled somehow next season.
There is no exact formula, but certainly every scout and organization balances upside against probability of reaching the upside. In my experience most organizations are willing to give up a little likelihood of success for a higher upside. Also yes, it depends on the organization and their needs. Some people like Jerry West really are big on meeting and talking to prospects to evaluate them. Others like Houston and Phoenix don’t care as much.
I wonder if Ivey ends up being the pick, how KPJ would handle being a 6 man candidate? from the looks of things, Smith seems like the logical pick at #1. Chets 3 and D would be worthy of selecting him at #1 too. Bachero and Sharpe are very intriguing too. I hear a lot of Juwan Howard comparisons for Paolo, which is a nice player to have. Though I want the #1 pick, there are at least 5 very intriguing players for me in this draft.
Jabari is related to Kwame Brown, and so the rule of three applies to our selection. Now if he just blows bubbles from his ass we are all set.
How do you think Stone values Jokic. From what I've seen Eason and Jokic are my favorite picks for the Nets pick. Speaking of this, what are the chances of either of those guys falling to them? If 0% then how far do you think Stone would have to move up to get one of them?
If KPJ cant handle being 6th man then he doesnt have a place on this team. Cant have spots for immature crybabies
I'm starting to get really high on Jeremy Sochan. Just waiting to see combine results if he is really 6'9 with 7'0 wingspan. The kid is 18 and is a defensive savant with ball handling and playmaking skills. He has high bball IQ but is also scraps really hard on the court. IMO he is the barnes of this class,if the Rox fall to 5 I'd rather we trade down and get Sochan and somebody else.
any thought as to whether Sharpe could go 1 or 2? If we are talking about ceiling, he’s it, so why wouldn’t a team like ORL or OKC take him, and then youre in the running for the real prize the next draft while sharpe develops. maybe ORL front office isn’t secure enough with its standing, but Presti is basically a tenured professor.
Even though Rockets missed out on the top pick again, after having the worst record 2 years in a row, they at least are still picking un the top 3. crazy how it was a 50 / 50 chance it could have been the #5 pick. That would have been a difficult pill to swallow.
Was hoping to see a final big board if you have time befirw the draft @Nook If not appreciate all the insight none the less
I’ll try my best to do one tomorrow if possible. I have just been really busy. I’m sorry I should have updated it sooner.