This is actually wrong. Rockets need to lose because presumably Orlando will lose to Miami. Both team will end at 20-62. A coin flip will happen. If we lose the coin flip, we have a 27.8% chance of getting 5, 20% chance of getting 6. Winning the coinflip ensures we have 47.9% chance of getting 5. The expected pick for worst record is 3.664, for second worst is 3.859. By winning the game, we we go from 3.664 expected pick position to 3.7615. Every bit counts. tl;dr is that by winning the game, we open us up to 10% chance getting the 6th pick, THAT ISN'T GOOD.
That's a lot of effort put in to a post that misses the crucial point that we have 1 less win than Orlando. Also, in the event of a tie, a coin flip is only a thing if both teams miss the top 4.
Did the NBA plan this ****? All 4 teams vying for the east 7-10 spots all playing at 2:30. Too bad I have that gemiatra homie blocked to read his take.
Oh - so you didn't say "both teams will end at 20-62" despite Orlando already having won 21? Secondly, that's not how probability works. If both teams have a 47.9% chance of missing the top 4, then the probability that both will actually miss it is 23%. It isn't a coin flip. Maybe it isn't as difficult for me as you suggest? I really hope this is helpful for someone - the tank experience musn't tear us apart, but make us stronger!
Oh well, all four teams won. So the play-in is: Cleveland @ Brooklyn Charlotte @ Atlanta Cleveland better redeem themselves for the late season nosedive.
BK will give Cleveland a severe case of the BEATS in that play-in game Cleveland ain’t ready…they had a nice little season, I’ll give them that
Some of it depends on whether Minnesota advances or not, but you can pretty much say it'll be #17 or #18 if Brooklyn wins their play-in. If Brooklyn loses their play-in it should be #13 or #14. *EDIT* : (from casually eyeballing the standings... lol)
A. If Wolves, Nets, and Cavs all make the playoffs, Cavs and Nets coin flip for #17 & #16 B. If Wolves, Nets, and Hawks/Hornets make the playoffs, Nets #17, Hawks/Hornets #16 C. If Wolves, Cavs, and Hawks/Hornets make the playoffs, Cavs #17, Hawks/Hornets #16, Nets #14 D. If Wolves miss the playoffs, Cavs and Nets make the playoffs, Cavs and Nets coin flip for #18 & #17 E. If Wolves and Cavs miss the playoffs, Nets #18, Hawks/Hornets #17 F. If Wolves and Nets miss the playoffs, Cavs #18, Hawks/Hornets #17, Wolves #14, Nets #13 F is our best case scenario at #13. C is the second best case at #14. E is the worst case at #18. D could be the worst case if a coin flip loss.
I think the Cavs tried, and KD couldn't shoot the ball right today, too bad it fall short. I blame this on Eric Adams, for lifting the vaccine mandate to only the privileged ones
