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Ukraine

Discussion in 'BBS Hangout: Debate & Discussion' started by NewRoxFan, Nov 25, 2018.

  1. AleksandarN

    AleksandarN Member

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    Should be interesting read if true.
     
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  2. AleksandarN

    AleksandarN Member

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    This can’t be a good sign. As France has closer ties to Putin than any other nato country. They must know something

     
  3. CCorn

    CCorn Member

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    If only we had this mastermind running our nation.

    https://www.msnbc.com/rachel-maddow...sguided-ideas-resolving-war-ukraine-rcna20999
     
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  4. geeimsobored

    geeimsobored Member

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    I doubt this is based on new intelligence. A lot of this is posturing. The key message of this war has been to have Europe be the face of the response and to keep the US in the background. I'm sure this is about finding the least inflammatory way to project nuclear readiness without actually doing anything of real significance.

    Still a really scary time that we're even seeing this but if you're going to try and project nuclear readiness, having France do it is probably the best option.
     
  5. B-Bob

    B-Bob "94-year-old self-described dreamer"
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    Heard the Command and Control author, Schlosser (sp) on the radio today, and he gives a pretty compelling narrative as to it just being a matter of time before someone f***s up or gets trigger happy or nihilistic. Really interesting-sounding book that I haven't yet read, but he goes through all sorts of near-armageddon situations that already happened, largely via incompetence, a natural human condition.
     
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  6. Invisible Fan

    Invisible Fan Member

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    Just reading the words without bias, it sounds like a damaged teenager.

    One step above @tinman but we're scraping at the bottom of the barrel with those kind of standards.

    Someone take these nuclear codes...please!!!
     
  7. Buck Turgidson

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    Both the Soviets and the Nazis went around Krakow, twice, instead of leveling it like Warsaw and so many other cities. Why?

    War is a strange and horrible thing that cannot be reckoned without hindsight.
     
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  8. AleksandarN

    AleksandarN Member

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    British solider volunteer in Ukraine first hand experience in Meripol

    P.S. **** Putin

     
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  9. basso

    basso Member
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    the first is a strawman, which no one has been pushing except you and @deb4rockets. and an argument built entirely of strawmen flames out at the outset.
     
  10. basso

    basso Member
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    what's the war narrative in this instance?
     
  11. Sweet Lou 4 2

    Sweet Lou 4 2 Member

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    That's total bullshit and you know it. All we've heard from the right is that "If Trump was president, Putin wouldn't have invaded" like a broken record. Not a straw man at all.
     
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  12. deb4rockets

    deb4rockets Member
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    What am I pushing that you disagree with?
     
  13. Os Trigonum

    Os Trigonum Member
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  14. rocketsjudoka

    rocketsjudoka Member

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    https://www.nytimes.com/2022/03/23/us/politics/biden-russia-nuclear-weapons.html
    U.S. Makes Contingency Plans in Case Russia Uses Its Most Powerful Weapons

    BRUSSELS — The White House has quietly assembled a team of national security officials to sketch out scenarios of how the United States and its allies should respond if President Vladimir V. Putin of Russia — frustrated by his lack of progress in Ukraine or determined to warn Western nations against intervening in the war — unleashes his stockpiles of chemical, biological or nuclear weapons.

    The Tiger Team, as the group is known, is also examining responses if Mr. Putin reaches into NATO territory to attack convoys bringing weapons and aid to Ukraine, according to several officials involved in the process. Meeting three times a week, in classified sessions, the team is also looking at responses if Russia seeks to extend the war to neighboring nations, including Moldova and Georgia, and how to prepare European countries for the refugees flowing in on a scale not seen in decades.

    Those contingencies are expected to be central to an extraordinary session here in Brussels on Thursday, when President Biden meets leaders of the 29 other NATO nations, who will be meeting for the first time — behind closed doors, their cellphones and aides banished — since Mr. Putin invaded Ukraine.

    Just a month ago, such scenarios seemed more theoretical. But today, from the White House to NATO’s headquarters in Brussels, a recognition has set in that Russia may turn to the most powerful weapons in its arsenal to bail itself out of a military stalemate.

    NATO’s secretary general, Jens Stoltenberg, underscored the urgency of the preparation effort on Wednesday, telling reporters for the first time that even if the Russians employ weapons of mass destruction only inside Ukraine, they may have “dire consequences” for people in NATO nations. He appeared to be discussing the fear that chemical or radioactive clouds could drift over the border. One issue under examination is whether such collateral damage would be considered an “attack” on NATO under its charter, which might require a joint military response.

    The current team was established in a memo signed by Jake Sullivan, Mr. Biden’s national security adviser, on Feb. 28, four days after the invasion began, according to the officials involved in the process, who spoke on the condition of anonymity to discuss sensitive planning. A previous iteration had worked for months, behind the scenes, to prepare the U.S. government for the likelihood of a Russian invasion of Ukraine.

    That team played a central role in devising the playbooks of deep sanctions, troop buildups in NATO nations and arming the Ukrainian military, which have exploited Russian weaknesses and put its government and economy under tremendous pressure.

    Mr. Stoltenberg, sounding far more hawkish than in the past, said he expected “allies will agree to provide additional support, including cybersecurity assistance and equipment to help Ukraine protect against chemical, biological, radiologic and nuclear threats.”

    As Mr. Biden flew to Europe on Wednesday, both he and Mr. Stoltenberg warned of growing evidence that Russia was in fact preparing to use chemical weapons in Ukraine.

    These are questions that Europe has not confronted since the depths of the Cold War, when NATO had far fewer members, and Western Europe worried about a Soviet attack headed into Germany. But few of the leaders set to meet in Brussels on Thursday ever had to deal with those scenarios — and many have never had to think about nuclear deterrence or the effects of the detonation of battlefield nuclear weapons, designed to be less powerful than those that destroyed Hiroshima. The fear is that Russia is more likely to use those weapons, precisely because they erode the distinction between conventional and nuclear arms.

    Senator Jack Reed, a Rhode Island Democrat who heads the Armed Services Committee, said on Wednesday that if Mr. Putin used a weapon of mass destruction — chemical, biological or nuclear — “there would be consequences” even if the weapon’s use was confined to Ukraine. Mr. Reed said radiation from a nuclear weapon, for instance, could waft into a neighboring NATO country and be considered an attack on a NATO member.

    “It’s going to be a very difficult call, but it’s a call that not just the president but the entire NATO Council will have to make,” Mr. Reed told reporters, referring to the governing body of the Western alliance.

    “The bottom line is this is a NATO decision,” Mr. Reed said. “It won’t be the president’s decision alone. I don’t think he’d want to take action unilaterally.”

    One major issue the Tiger Team is looking at is the threshold that could prompt the alliance to use military force in Ukraine. Mr. Biden has made clear that he is enormously reluctant to to do so, fearing that direct confrontation with Russia could escalate the conflict beyond control. “That’s World War III,” he noted recently.

    A second team of officials, also created by Mr. Sullivan’s Feb. 28 memo, is looking at long-term opportunities for the United States to improve its geopolitical position as a result of Mr. Putin’s invasion. Inside the White House, it has become an article of faith that the Russian leader made a huge strategic error — one that will diminish Russia’s standing, cripple its economy and alienate potential allies for years. But it is early in the conflict, other officials caution, and that conclusion may prove premature.

    The immediate concern is what Mr. Putin may do next — driven by a desire to rescue a failing military effort or re-establish his credentials as a force to be feared.

    Officials believe the chances that Mr. Putin will resort to detonating a nuclear weapon are small. But Russia’s steady stream of reminders that it has its arsenal at the ready, and could use it in response to anything it perceives as an “existential threat,” has put Washington on high alert.

    Mr. Biden will take up with allies “how to deal with the rhetoric and the commentary coming out of Russia on this whole question of the potential use of nuclear weapons,” Mr. Sullivan told reporters on Wednesday.

    “We haven’t seen anything that’s made us adjust our posture, our nuclear posture, but it is of course something we will have to continue to stay in close consultation with allies and partners on, as well as communicate directly to the Russians.”

    Several officials said the White House and Pentagon have had some tension over how much detail the Defense Department is willing to share on its highly secretive war planning — especially concerning responses to any use of nuclear weapons — even in the classified setting of the Tiger Team. (The term has been used for many years to describe an emergency task force inside the National Security Council.)

    A U.S. official said Mr. Biden remained adamant about keeping American forces out of Ukraine. But the official said the administration believed it would be misguided not to closely examine the thresholds, if any, under which the president would reverse himself, or to be prepared to deal with the consequences of the use of weapons of mass destruction.

    A senior administration official said any use of a “small” tactical nuclear bomb by Russia — even inside Ukraine and not directed at a NATO member — would mean that “all bets are off” on the United States and NATO staying out of the war. But when pushed, the official declined to lay out the responses under discussion.

    The official said American and NATO intelligence communities had not seen any activity by Russian military officials that suggested preparations to use a nuclear weapon. But he said that during internal discussions, administration officials were urging caution, because there was more at stake than just Ukraine.

    If Mr. Putin did strike a NATO country intentionally, he would not only bring the force of the military alliance to bear on Russia, but also probably find himself facing NATO troops inside Ukraine, Artis Pabriks, Latvia’s defense minister, told reporters traveling in his country this month with Gen. Mark A. Milley, the chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff.

    “He will get Article 5,” Mr. Pabriks said, in a reference to the NATO pledge that an attack on one alliance member is an attack on all.

    “If he gets that, basically that would also make us involved in Ukraine,” Mr. Pabriks said, adding: “He has no way out of that. So I don’t think he should be so stupid.”

    Senator Angus King of Maine, an independent and a member of the Senate Intelligence and Armed Services Committees, visited the Polish-Ukrainian border over the weekend, meeting with officials from allied countries, visiting a refugee processing center and talking with Ukrainians. Mr. King said that as Russian forces struggle to make headway, Mr. Putin could try to strike a diplomatic agreement, intensify his bombardment of Ukrainian cities and level them, or lash out against the West with a cyberattack.

    “The fourth is escalate to de-escalate, which is a tactical nuclear weapon,” Mr. King said, using the term for a Russian military doctrine in which it would employ a nuclear weapon as a warning — and then negotiate.
     
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  15. No Worries

    No Worries Member

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  16. No Worries

    No Worries Member

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  17. Jugdish

    Jugdish Member

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    Isn't it remarkable how NYT and CNN are suddenly producing acceptable reporting? Didn't realize they purged their Fake News propagators in the last month.
     
  18. Sweet Lou 4 2

    Sweet Lou 4 2 Member

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    Yeah well we all have known for some time that the right can't stand anyone disagreeing with them. They live in their bubble, and anything that contradicts that bubble is so threatening to them they just have to tune it out.

    The truth is fake news to them.
     
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  19. tinman

    tinman 999999999
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  20. Space Ghost

    Space Ghost Member

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    Russias most powerful weapon is cutting ALL of its resources off from the rest of the world.

    This would destabilize many countries all over the world with massive price increases and shortages of raw goods needed for the most basic of needs.

    From there, we see the same results we saw in the 1920s and 1930s... increased military build ups and alliances to secure resources. What happens next is every small country with nuclear reactors starts to build up nuclear arms to deter attacks.

    If Russias starts using WMDs now, the whole world will come down on Russia. It makes no sense for Russia to do this.
     
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