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Joe Biden's America

Discussion in 'BBS Hangout: Debate & Discussion' started by SuraGotMadHops, May 12, 2021.

  1. Os Trigonum

    Os Trigonum Member
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    I don't see what you're complaining about. The WSJ Editorial Board is free to write on whatever topic they like. If you have such a serious problem with that, you should join the site and add your complaint as a comment to the editorial. Their overall point is sound I think: there is a VERY REAL RISK that these entitlement programs will be extended indefinitely into the future. That's a data point in considering whether to support the legislation or not.

    Don't see what your problem with it is.
     
  2. Amiga

    Amiga Member

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    My point was made. The WSJ editors attacked the current bill based on information for a non-existing bill.

    Every bill goes through the process. The very fact that the current BBB in its form might not even pass should tell you that it's not easy to simply pass anything else in the future. If DEM was able to pass this bill in its current form which is pretty much debt neutral, why would then anyone assume that they WILL pass a future bill that is ALSO NOT debt neutral? It's frankly ridiculous to beat up a current bill based on a future projection that is not in the current bill.
     
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  3. Os Trigonum

    Os Trigonum Member
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    I disagree. Many policies lead to unintended consequences. It makes perfect sense ahead of time to try and anticipate what those consequences might be. Avoiding such analysis seems to me to be borderline irresponsible. But you do you.
     
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  4. JuanValdez

    JuanValdez Member

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    I used to regularly read the WSJ but I've lost a lot of respect for them in the last few years. I can understand them being political, but they do a terrible hack job of it.
     
  5. adoo

    adoo Member

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    true that, again an intellectual dishonest wsj op ed that OT has cut n pasted.

    on the other hand, here are some hard data, w graphic depictions, from the Fed
     
    #1425 adoo, Dec 13, 2021
    Last edited: Dec 13, 2021
  6. leroy

    leroy Member
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    The Wall Street Journal (WSJ) is a newspaper and news agency based in New York, N.Y. It was founded in by Charles Dow, Edward Jones and Charles Bergstresser in 1889. The WSJ is a division of Dow Jones, which is currently owned by Rupert Murdoch's News Corp.
     
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  7. Major

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    So what? At that point, a majority of Congress would have to pass a new $3T bill. That seems like the bill to criticize there. It doesn't change the reality of the current bill.

    I think his problem is that the WSJ editorial is an outright lie. "The Real Cost of Biden’s Spending Plan" is not remotely correct. The correct version would be "The cost of Congress passing an entirely new bill that's not under consideration and would never pass right now" or "the mythical cost of what I made up to be a future Biden spending plan".
     
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  8. Os Trigonum

    Os Trigonum Member
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    you guys have both convinced me. the current bill is the only one I need to think about, and I think it's great
     
  9. Os Trigonum

    Os Trigonum Member
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  10. Os Trigonum

    Os Trigonum Member
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    https://www.nytimes.com/2021/10/14/us/politics/democrats-budget.html

    In Budget Bill, Democrats Bet the Temporary Will Become Permanent
    The authors of the sprawling legislation believe that even if the new programs are temporary, their benefits will become so popular that Congress will keep them. History shows they are probably right.

    By Carl Hulse
    Published Oct. 14, 2021Updated Oct. 27, 2021

    WASHINGTON — Senator Mitt Romney of Utah, a foe of the ambitious safety net legislation that President Biden has proposed, recently issued a warning on Twitter about the fleeting nature of the bill’s key components.

    “Don’t be fooled,” wrote Mr. Romney, a Republican. “Democrats’ plans for free child care and universal pre-K expire in a handful of years — they aren’t permanent. It’s wrong to let families start planning for and relying on these programs only for them to disappear.”

    Mr. Romney is likely to be correct; budget rules and resistance from some conservative-leaning Democrats to the cost of the multitrillion-dollar bill mean that many of the programs established under the measure are likely to come with an end date. But he might be wrong about the ultimate fate of those benefits, because Democrats intend for them to become so popular and ingrained in American life that they never disappear.

    As they work to shrink the price tag of Mr. Biden’s bill to ensure its passage, Democrats are in essence making a bet that even if some benefits must be made available only temporarily, they will become very hard to rescind. History shows that Democrats are probably correct. Federal benefits are rarely taken away once given.

    The Affordable Care Act, anyone?

    “You build a constituency,” said Senator Richard J. Durbin of Illinois, the No. 2 Senate Democrat. “If people have experience with these programs and value them, taking them away is a political gamble.”

    The wager is not without risks for Democrats, who are calculating that they can win a showdown in a few years, when the programs must be renewed. But by reducing the lifetime of a program like community college tuition aid, they can also cut back on the overall cost of the measure while still retaining the core elements that they see as essential.

    Speaker Nancy Pelosi referred to the approach this week when she said that in trimming the bill, Democrats would focus on “timing — that the timing would be reduced in many cases to make the cost lower. But it only would be in such a way that does not undermine the transformative nature of it.”

    The emerging budget bill is an example of how Congress rarely allows a popular program to die. Democrats want to use the measure to extend the child tax credit that was put in place this year as part of Mr. Biden’s $1.9 trillion pandemic relief measure.

    The tax credit has led to millions of families receiving thousands of dollars in monthly payments deposited directly into their back accounts, and it is considered a chief factor in significantly reducing child poverty. Democrats propose to keep it for several more years in the new legislation, effectively daring Republicans to end it.

    “The idea is that these initiatives will get a good foothold in this legislation, and we can extend them,” said Senator Chris Van Hollen, Democrat of Maryland. “Take the child tax credit. That is something that has been in effect just a few months now, and is already making a huge difference, and is enormously popular.”

    Democrats have argued for months that Americans will embrace the safety net proposals and other provisions of the legislation once they realize what is in it for them. They say that the infighting among Democrats, attacks by Republicans and focus on the procedural battles have obscured the popular aspects of the measure, explaining recent polls that have shown that most Americans do not know what is in the package. Also clouding the picture for voters, Democrats have yet to produce a final version of the legislation because of differences over cost and scope.

    “I have long felt that when they see the changes and reform that really matter to them in their kitchens and in their living rooms, that changes the D.C. debate dramatically,” said Senator Ron Wyden, Democrat of Oregon and the chairman of the Finance Committee.

    Republicans have also reaped the rewards of lawmakers’ hesitancy to reverse popular policies that were initially put in place temporarily, such as the Bush tax cuts of 2001 and 2003. Those were ultimately extended despite deep Democratic resistance and years of fiscal battles, because enough members of Congress were reluctant to be accused of raising taxes.

    Given how they fell short in their yearslong drive to repeal the Affordable Care Act, Republicans also realize that allowing Democrats to make safety net programs a reality for even a relatively brief window will make it extremely hard and politically risky to let them die.

    But the legislative dynamic will be different with the safety net programs enacted for a defined period of time. In the case of the health law, which was a permanent policy change, Republicans had to assemble the votes to repeal it and repeatedly failed. With the programs in the budget bill, if Congress were to do nothing, they would merely expire, putting the onus on Democrats to find the votes to renew them.

    One of the rare social support programs to be repealed was the Medicare Catastrophic Coverage Act of 1988, at the end of the Reagan administration, with broad bipartisan backing. It was repealed one year later, in a shockingly quick reversal.

    The main reason was that it turned out that the intended beneficiaries — older Americans who reliably troop to the polls — neither wanted the program nor wanted to pay for it by themselves.

    They also thought they had been subjected to false advertising from Congress. Lawmakers branded the legislation as providing relief from “catastrophic costs,” but it did little to lower the long-term care expenses that many Medicare beneficiaries were most worried about.

    Congress then stuck those 65 and over with incomes above $35,000 with a new surtax to pay for benefits that many of them already had through private retirement plans.

    The reaction was swift and politically brutal. It was famously captured in the spectacle of a group of angry older people, jeering and waving signs, surrounding Representative Dan Rostenkowski of Illinois, the architect of the bill, as he sat in his car in Chicago. They followed him down the street shouting insults at him.

    “I don’t think they understand what the government’s trying to do for them,” Mr. Rostenkowsi, then the Democratic chairman of the powerful Ways and Means Committee, said at the time.

    Democrats say they do not believe such a reaction would materialize this time, especially since most of the proposed aid would be paid for through tax increases on the most affluent Americans. Instead, they argue, once people get a taste of the new benefits, they will demand that they be kept in place or take out their unhappiness on politicians who dare to do away with them.

    “There was a time when people debated the future of Social Security,” Mr. Durbin noted. “Not so much anymore.”

    Carl Hulse is chief Washington correspondent and a veteran of more than three decades of reporting in the capital. @hillhulse

    A version of this article appears in print on Oct. 15, 2021, Section A, Page 11 of the New York edition with the headline: In Budget Bill, Democrats Bet the Temporary Will Become Permanent.


     
  11. FranchiseBlade

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    While Democrats have been more restrained when it's come to expanding the debt and deficit spending, lately, neither side has any solid ground on which to stand.
     
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  12. Invisible Fan

    Invisible Fan Member

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    Yeah, they're taking turns driving off the cliff.

    Biggest game of hot potato since the Great Depression...
     
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  13. Nook

    Nook Member

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    To be clear, there would have to institutional changes made at the same time the loans would be forgiven. We will likely have to address some realities that people are not comfortable… maybe not everyone that wants to go to college will be able to financially take out the loans they want to take out…
     
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  14. Os Trigonum

    Os Trigonum Member
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    One Man Can Pay All the College Tuition in America :cool:
     
  15. Nook

    Nook Member

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    thank you Senator Sanders…. But will he pay for whatever the next bubble is?

    On a side note, it would piss a lot of people off but they should just write off all student debt over 10 years old and then change the rules for getting loans… people will complain it isn’t fair, but a lot of things aren’t fair.
     
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  16. Os Trigonum

    Os Trigonum Member
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    actually I was thinking Elon Musk. and he would have enough left over to still be a trillionaire. I read that somewhere on the interwebs
     
  17. Nook

    Nook Member

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    I knew you meant Musk, but I didn’t realize he would still be a trillionaire. He ought to consider just buying the governorship of Texas and making it his kingdom… pay off student loans and a free F-250 to everyone that doesn’t have student loans in Texas would guarantee him the Governorship. He can even work with the new LSU football coach to get the accent just right… he could go Caesar and parade Ted Cruz naked in a cage down the interstate while everyone cheers.
     
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  18. Astrodome

    Astrodome Member

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    The CBO is not the gold standard this week.
     
  19. ThatBoyNick

    ThatBoyNick Member

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    [​IMG]

    Wake me up when november ends
     
  20. Amiga

    Amiga Member

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    If the Rockets sign Christian Wood to a max 3-year deal (oh god, please don't), would you judge the signing based on that 3-year-max contract or say (let's make up something) a 3-year + another 3-year max extension contract?

    Making social programs permanent requires a new bill, an intended act with Congress passing a new bill and the President signing it. It can never be somehow done automatically. You judge the current bill. If you want to entertain and judge a future phantom bill, go ahead, just don't lie about it and say that's the current bill.
     

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