I think we should just package both of them and move up. We would either have - 1) Top 4 and a 12-18 pick or; 2) No Top 4 and instead back to back in the 12-18 range.
By moving down from 24 to the second round. There are many interesting players there, but I don't see anyone of the caliber of Jokic around.
Saw this on OKC redditt - r/Thunder •Posted by u/shinovar 18 hours ago Post-Coin Flip Draft odds Now that the coin flip is done, I thought some of you would be interested in our updated draft odds. Our Lottery chances haven't changed, but our chances outside have now that I didn't have to average the chances of the 4 and 5 position. Final Odds: 1 and 5- 6.4% 2 and 5- 6.32% 3 and 5- 6.18% 4 and 5- 6.03% 5 and 6- 9.03% 5 and 7- 12% 5 and 8- 2.4% 1 and 18- 5.1% 2 and 18- 5.08% 3 and 18- 5.02% 4 and 18- 4.97% 5 and 18- 7.4% 6 and 18- 18.07% 7 and 18- 6% In Conclusion: 2 Top 5 picks: 24.93% 1 Top 5 pick: 51% 0 Top 5 picks: 24.07% We now have better odds at 2 top 5 picks than no top 5, which is great, but its still about 25-50-25 on 2-1-0, so anything can happen next month.
Rockets need to add more lengthy disruptors on defense. Missed out on Matisse Thybulle. Rockets can steal next Thybulle by acquiring SRP in 2021 draft and picking Scottie Lewis. https://www.dimedrop.net/playerdeepdives/2018/4/30/scottie-lewis-deep-dive
Simulations were good for me just now. Out of 10 tries: 18th - 2x 4th - 1x 3rd - 2x 2nd - 2x 1st - 3x
Congrats you just used up 3 extra chances that we need. It's your duty to hit it until you get at least 50% 18s or else our chance mix is gonna be off. That's how probability works. You can't be due if you're not due.
I don't understand the obsession with these simulators. Odds are odds. The simulators are supposed to work according to the odds. So will the actual lottery. The simulations don't change the odds nor do they predict the outcomes of the lottery.
Best Case scenarios for me: 1st - Cade Cunnigham 23rd - Davion Mitchell 24th - Kai Jones 2nd - Evan Mobley 23rd - Jalen Johnson 24th - Scottie Lewis 3rd - Jalen Green 23rd - Isaiah Jackson 24th - Greg Brown 4th - trade down or Jalen Suggs 23rd - Franz Wagner 24th - Charles Bassey 18th - Usman Garuba 23rd - Deuce McBride 24th - Vrenz Bleijenbergh
Players that could slide out of the Lottery: Jalen Johnson Kai Jones Davion Mitchell Corey Kispert Ziaire Williams Franz Wagner Alperen Sengun Isaiah Jackson
