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A couple weeks before Election Day 2020, I put $650 into PredictIt for entertainment-- mostly betting on Biden both nationally and in various states where he had a substantial polling lead but the prices on the prediction market had him substantially lower. After those results are in, I put some money on the Georgia Senate race and on Biden cabinet members (mostly bet on the ones that are already announced would get confirmed-- low reward, but also, I think, relatively low risk). I also put a few bets on that Republicans would object on January 6. As of yesterday morning, I had $900 or so in the "portfolio." Now, thanks to Josh Hawley announcing that he intends to object (among others), and the some movements on GA Senate races, I have $1050.
I found the article you were quoted in making money off Q Rubes. Seems like a slam dunk. https://www.theatlantic.com/politics/archive/2021/01/betting-against-qanon-predictit/617396/
What's unsettling about this this is that if Democrats had lost the House and this could've succeeded.
Is that true? Does it just take a simple majority of both Houses for Congress to not honor the election result?
You can make a free ~6% over 2 months betting against all the current Secretaries being in place on March 1st (safer than betting ON the Dems since a GOP Senate may delay confirmations). If you do crypto, PolyMarket also lets you make a free 8% betting against Trump being inaugurated on Jan 20.
According to the WS op ed it sounds like if both houses reject enough electors it could put the election into the House where Republicans still hold a state edge.
republican party trying to overturn the election and suppress voting in future elections... GOP seeks to roll back mail-in voting in states like Georgia and Pennsylvania that Trump is contesting https://www.usatoday.com/story/news...ail-voting-states-trump-lost-2020/3958391001/
So, yea, it seems, there might be a loophole where Congress could overturn the election on NO legitimate ground other than they can. They simply need to be in the majority and have power. That's just great. Not going to happen in 2020, but that's just dangerous. Explaining how Congress settles electoral college disputes | The National Constitution Center