Lol what? Biden isn’t winning Nebraska. Edit- my bad didn’t realize you were referring to district 2 only.
Who really knows. Media pundits claim Dems will vote earlier because of covid, but seniors who swing red are also mailing in by ballot. This is mainly an untested assumption that's worse than polling in terms of accuracy...
I don't see that happening, it's going to end up with 3 or 4 recount challenges. Too much. Like i said, look at votes by congressional district - it's the same people! If you did a presidential "map" based on congressional votes per state in 2018, it would look - almost exactly like the map we have right now (Democrats win AZ, barely lose GA/FL, etc
eventually they will have to learn to stop trotting out these corporate Democrats that have been around for decades, are boring, and motivate no one if Trump was a normal person, Democratic turnout would’ve never been that high this election...not for Joe Biden
It isn’t a single person, which makes it hard. Someone like Nate Silver relies on other people’s polling and each pollster outfit is different. The issue is complicated because for the Electoral College state polls are needed and are not as sophisticated or have high budgets. Sometimes the error is obvious (Cubans in Florida) and other times it isn’t (Arizona & Michigan).
Possibly, you can also argue that had Biden had a better ground game - ignoring covid, he'd have much better AA turnout and turnout across the board.
ABC just said there were 2 million ballots that hadn’t even started to be counted...most from Milwaukee and Green Bay...said they will be counted by 4-5 AM.
last i checked, Biden got about 100 more electoral votes than Trump.... so safe to say biden got this?
