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2020 Presidential Election

Discussion in 'BBS Hangout: Debate & Discussion' started by Sweet Lou 4 2, Mar 26, 2020.

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  1. rocketsjudoka

    rocketsjudoka Member

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    Yeah I was thinking that too. They are pretty well produced ads.
    Sure enough just as I speak another one just came on.

    I'm surprised they didn't fund some Kanye ads..
     
    #6281 rocketsjudoka, Nov 3, 2020
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  2. Amiga

    Amiga Member

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    against, I also edit my post for more info
     
    #6282 Amiga, Nov 3, 2020
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  3. rocketsjudoka

    rocketsjudoka Member

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    As I said it's possible as I don't analyze RCP as deeply as Silver does but then again this isn't my job. All of that said just taking the RCP averages still show that Biden should win and a landslide is very possible.
     
    #6283 rocketsjudoka, Nov 3, 2020
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  4. RayRay10

    RayRay10 Houstonian

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    MI, PA, WI they missed Trump winning. Nevada they had Trump winning.

    Here are their 2016 battleground polls (includes final totals): https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/2016StateFinalResults.html
     
    #6284 RayRay10, Nov 3, 2020
  5. RayRay10

    RayRay10 Houstonian

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    Biggest misses were Iowa (6.5 less than Trump), Michigan (3.7 less than Trump), Nevada (3.2 less than Clinton), New Mexico (3.3 less than Clinton), Ohio (4.6 less than Trump, and Wisconsin (7.2 less than Trump)
     
    #6285 RayRay10, Nov 3, 2020
  6. Amiga

    Amiga Member

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    I took a quick glance and indeed saw they left out the Siena poll for PA avg. The point isn’t that Biden is winning or not, or by how much. Accuracy matter. It’s a website that show avg and they left off polls. Acceptable if it’s a mistake, unacceptable when it’s a pattern.
     
    #6286 Amiga, Nov 3, 2020
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  7. NewRoxFan

    NewRoxFan Member

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    republicans continuing their assault on democracy...

     
    #6287 NewRoxFan, Nov 3, 2020
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  8. NewRoxFan

    NewRoxFan Member

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    #6288 NewRoxFan, Nov 3, 2020
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  9. NewRoxFan

    NewRoxFan Member

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    trump's lawyer, campaigning for trump on... russian state-controlled TV (that the trump's own DOJ has required to register as a foreign agent).

     
    #6289 NewRoxFan, Nov 3, 2020
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  10. No Worries

    No Worries Member

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    #6290 No Worries, Nov 3, 2020
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  11. No Worries

    No Worries Member

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    [​IMG]
     
    #6291 No Worries, Nov 3, 2020
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  12. malakas

    malakas Member

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    This is the most amazing election video I have watched.
     
    #6292 malakas, Nov 3, 2020
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  13. Sweet Lou 4 2

    Sweet Lou 4 2 Member

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    My understanding is that the results were all in the margin of error
     
    #6293 Sweet Lou 4 2, Nov 3, 2020
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  14. FrontRunner

    FrontRunner Member

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    #6294 FrontRunner, Nov 3, 2020
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  15. jiggyfly

    jiggyfly Member

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    What do they mean about the cutoff?
     
    #6295 jiggyfly, Nov 3, 2020
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  16. Amiga

    Amiga Member

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    They have a cutoff time to include polls in their average or projection. For example, the cutoff for 538 to include polls in their projection was midnight last night.
     
    #6296 Amiga, Nov 3, 2020
    Last edited: Nov 3, 2020
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  17. NewRoxFan

    NewRoxFan Member

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    I am betting it was out of concern for social distancing...

     
    #6297 NewRoxFan, Nov 3, 2020
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  18. jiggyfly

    jiggyfly Member

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    Ok, thanks.
     
    #6298 jiggyfly, Nov 3, 2020
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  19. vlaurelio

    vlaurelio Member

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    #6299 vlaurelio, Nov 3, 2020
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  20. NewRoxFan

    NewRoxFan Member

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    trump's attorney, perhaps better suited to "tucking his shirt in"...

     
    #6300 NewRoxFan, Nov 3, 2020
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