Hmmm, we are supposed to play Soccer Sunday morning in the woodlands, need to watch this thing to see if it veers north east as expected. DD
Cone is starting to get pretty narrow. I won't jinx it, but I'm not going to lose sleep tonight. Hurricane Delta Advisory 19 Valid: 03:00 PM CDT Thursday October 08, 2020 Current Location: 24.6N, 93.3W Geographic Reference: 375 Miles SSW of Lafayette, LA Movement: Northwest at 10 mph Max Winds: 105 mph gusting to 125 mph Current Hurricane Severity Index: 18 out of a possible 50 points (9 size, 9 intensity) Max Predicted Hurricane Severity Index: 23 out of a possible 50 points (11 size, 12 intensity) Current Radius of Tropical Storm-Force Winds: 150 miles Max Predicted Radius of Tropical Storm-Force Winds: 155 miles Organizational Trend: Increasing Forecast Confidence: Above Average Estimated Central Pressure: 965 mb Key Points 1. Delta continues to organize 2. While there has been a slight east shift to the forecast track, confidence remains high that landfall will occur between Lafayette and Lake Charles. 3. Delta will produce heavy rainfall, destructive winds, and tidal surge impacts to the northern Gulf Coast. Our Forecast Delta continues to organize. While the maximum winds have not yet increased, the pressure has fallen. An eye is also becoming visible at times on satellite imagery. We still expect that Delta will become a category 3 hurricane tonight and peak with 120 mph winds tomorrow morning. Thereafter, a weakening trend should begin as wind shear increases. Winds are forecast to be 105 mph at landfall. There is some uncertainty with this intensity forecast. Winds could be anywhere from 85 mph to 120 mph at landfall. Delta may expand a little in size as it approaches the coast. Any increase in the size will increase the tidal surge threat. Delta is moving a bit slower than earlier which is often the sign of an impending turn. We expect a more northward motion to begin tonight. A turn to the north-northeast is expected tomorrow morning. The model guidance this afternoon has shifted slightly to the east. Our forecast also made about a 5 mile to 10 mile eastward shift. Landfall is highly likely to occur between Lake Charles and Lafayette early tomorrow evening. After landfall, a motion to the northeast is expected. In addition to the winds and tidal surges, isolated tornadoes could occur, along with inland flooding. Expected Impacts On Land Northern Gulf Coast: Significant damage from the wind and tidal surge is expected. Long lasting power outages should occur. Inland flooding could also occur due to heavy rainfall. Expected Impacts Offshore Central Gulf of Mexico: Squalls continue to increase in intensity over the deepwater lease areas as Delta approaches. Heavy squalls will move into the coastal lease areas tomorrow morning.
Dodged another buzzsaw. Hurricane Delta Advisory 22 Valid: 09:00 AM CDT Friday October 09, 2020 Current Location: 27.9N, 93.7W Geographic Reference: 135 miles south of Cameron, LA Movement: North at 13 mph Max Winds: 110 mph gusting to 130 mph Current Hurricane Severity Index: 20 out of a possible 50 points (10 size, 10 intensity) Max Predicted Hurricane Severity Index: 20 out of a possible 50 points (10 size, 10 intensity) Current Radius of Tropical Storm-Force Winds: 155 miles Max Predicted Radius of Tropical Storm-Force Winds: 155 miles Organizational Trend: Decreasing Forecast Confidence: Above Average Estimated Central Pressure: 960 mb Key Points 1. Delta is weakening 2. Landfall will occur later today between Lake Charles and Lafayette. 3. Delta will produce heavy rainfall, destructive winds, and tidal surge impacts to the northern Gulf Coast. Our Forecast Delta is weakening. Aircraft data indicate that the pressure is rising and the winds are a bit lower. Since the wind shear will be increasing, further weakening is expected before landfall. Our forecast is for winds to be 100 mph at landfall. The forecast Hurricane Severity Index value at landfall is 15 out of 50 points, consisting of 7 size points and 8 intensity points. We cannot rule out Delta being slightly weaker than forecast. Regardless of the landfall intensity, a damaging tidal surge is expected near and east of where the center makes landfall. Delta is moving to the north this morning as per the latest aircraft and radar center fixes. A turn to the north-northeast should soon occur. We expect that this motion will continue until landfall later today. Landfall is expected to occur between Lafayette and Lake Charles, a little east of where Laura made landfall in August. Conditions will deteriorate over the upper Texas Coast through the early afternoon hours. Conditions are also starting to deteriorate over Louisiana. The worst of the weather is expected late this afternoon and this evening as landfall occurs. The strongest winds are expected to occur east of where the eye makes landfall. After landfall, Delta will be rapidly weakening as it moves through Louisiana and into Mississippi. However, heavy rainfall and isolated tornadoes will be possible along the path of the storm. Expected Impacts On Land Northern Gulf Coast: Significant damage from the wind and tidal surge is expected. Long lasting power outages should occur. Inland flooding could also occur due to heavy rainfall. Expected Impacts Offshore Northwest Gulf of Mexico: Hurricane conditions are affecting the offshore lease areas. Conditions will improve tonight once Delta moves inland and weakens.
Another year where we dodge another bullet. If I'm a gambling man I go ahead and take my chips off the table. We're looking at houses in San Antonio.
No way, son. We need to go through the Greek alphabet so Cat 6 Hurricane Omega can smack DC on November 3.
I live in the Woodlands and the worst we get here is heavy rain and power outages. The water drains to the gulf course so that helps
"This is Jim Cantore here in Cameron. The wind is really picking up. As you can see oh shiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiii..........................." "Um, looks like we lost the feed there. Jim? Jim? I think we might have lost Jim, too."
LOL Why do they send reporters out there? (Not talking about Cantore or Storm Chasers but you know, like the local news) "We advise you do not go out! Stay off the roads! Turn around, don't drown!" ... "[News] Let's check in with Bob live in Lake Charles. How's it looking out there Bob? (as it's raining sideways & TS/H force winds)" Spoiler Also another random question: why do weather maps resemble that of a penis?
Those in Grogan’s Point, Timberlakes, and all the areas within reach of Spring Creek wouldn’t say “all we get is heavy rain.” No, we don’t get the wind damage but there was a ton of damage done by Harvey and the other major flooding events of the last few years.
I found the meth lab. It was over in Lafeyette. I made a video from the fligh-over data And I think it's somehow connected to this
