I think I'm just taking into account how each pitcher has been pitching recently (i.e., in the postseason) and you are not.
Pounded the Astros at -115. Great odds. We will eventually expose their bullpen. Corbin cant pitch every night out of the bullpen. $4,000.00 $3,478.26 Pending 10/23/19 8:07pm MLB Baseball 1802 Houston Astros (Series) -115* vs Washington Nationals (Series) (Fixed Price)
Doesnt matter if the Stros win this series or not, I bet on simple value. The astros winning the AL at -103 before the playoffs was + value. After the stros won against the Rays, you couldve hedged out your bet with a nifty profit. After game 4 of the ALCS, the Yanks were +1350. That means you could hedge your bet for a couple of hundred bucks. Laying anything plus -130+ odds in sports is just giving away your money.
Well, for those who failed to jump on the Astros at 2 to 1 before the playoffs will finally have significant + odds to bet on the Astros again. And if you failed to jump on the Nationals at 20 to 1 before the playoffs, then it's too late.
Man I wish I’d have hedged my ticket sales with Nats in 4 and Nats in 5. I’ve got about $3000 in profit from selling game 6 and 7 that I’m not going to get, and no enjoyment from seeing Astros lose. Oh well, the most common thought was astros in 4 or 5 so that Nat bet might have been nothing more than an emotional hedge going in. Can we get astros +300 tomorrow?
Stros will probably be +240 or so. Looking back on it, rolling my entire AL pennant winnings on teh Stros might not have been the best idea but it was only house money .
Now is the best time to bet. Like I said. We still have the best team. You are underestimating the heart of a champion.
Greinke has fared well historically against the Nats. I think Stros take 3, Nats take 4, then it's all about Cole on the road in game 5. Just my dumb tingle guess.
I hope you're right. I love this team. I just never thought the Nats would be easy after watching them in the first legs of the playoffs. They have been nails (yes, other teams' mistakes included). Astros have been strangely wobbly.
IF the Stros win tonight, then you'll probably be able to grab the Nats at -160'ish or so. Obviously not ideal but itll allow youI to hedge out your bets for a little loss. This is why its much smarter to bet rather then buy furniture. Having the ability to hedge really minimizes the variance.
They were only +195 on my book yesterday...Nats were -225 coming back home up 2-0. It’s baseball, the series was far from over even before yesterday. That said, it was shocking to see the Nats odds Up 2-0 going home be roughly the same as ours to start the series. It makes sense mathematically given we were favored yesterday, a toss up tonight and will be slight favorites again probably tomorrow. For them to adjust the odds to be over -300 for the Nats, they would have needed to make the Nats large favorites last night and tonight which would open the door to experienced bettors hammering the Astros, at least last night.
Astros are a pick'em in today's Bullpen vs Corbin. Gamblers really think very little of the Nationals.