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Average tax refund down 8.4 percent in first filing week

Discussion in 'BBS Hangout: Debate & Discussion' started by Air Langhi, Feb 9, 2019.

  1. Air Langhi

    Air Langhi Contributing Member

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    https://www.politico.com/story/2019/02/08/average-tax-refund-down-1158440

    The average tax refund from the IRS dropped 8.4 percent in the first week of the 2019 filing season compared to the same period last year, according to agency statistics.

    The dip, to $1,865 from $2,035, is an early barometer of the season, which is being watched more closely than usual because it reflects the first full year under the 2017 tax overhaul and comes on the heels of a protracted government shutdown that hit the IRS just as it was gearing up for the annual exercise.


    The number of individual tax returns received and processed by the IRS also fell sharply year over year, by 12.4 percent and 25.8 percent, respectively. The data for this year cover Jan. 28 to Feb. 1, matched against Jan. 29 to Feb. 2, 2018.

    The data reflect only one week of filing in a process that will last until April 15 for most taxpayers, and refund predictions by tax experts have been all over the map. Morgan Stanley has estimated they will rise by 26 percent, but others are less optimistic.

    “There are going to be a lot of unhappy people over the next month,” said Edward Karl, vice president of taxation for the American Institute of CPAs. “Taxpayers want a large refund."
     
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  2. jcf

    jcf Member

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    A different poster stated that money taken out of paychecks during the year was reduced due to the the "tax cuts." Is that accurate? If so, people really need to look at their overall annual tax payment and not just the refund to determine whether they benefited or lost out from the "cut"
     
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  3. Cohete Rojo

    Cohete Rojo Member

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    Refund? Or are we talking about total income taxes paid?
     
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  4. NewRoxFan

    NewRoxFan Member

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    I believe people in high tax states like NY and CA won't be able to deduct most of what they have in the past. And folks that used to deduct non-reimbursed travel lost that tax deduction.
     
  5. IVFL

    IVFL Member

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    [​IMG]

    You mean all of this money rolling into peoples pockets. . . . . . .
     
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  6. jcf

    jcf Member

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    Yes, and we lost the ability to deduct more than 10k in property taxes and mortgage interest. We lost the ability to deduct sales taxes entirely. We have discussed this previously but many, many people are paying higher taxes based on the inability to take these deductions.

    No doubt about that. My point went more to those who may have benefited from the tax change on an overall basis but it still doesn't feel like it because their refund is smaller.
     
  7. Air Langhi

    Air Langhi Contributing Member

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    Go to the IRS site it tells you its the refund amount.
     
  8. NewRoxFan

    NewRoxFan Member

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    Perhaps. But I know some people that purposely report fewer allowances so as to get a larger refund. Yes, its loses money since you could take the money in your paycheck (and invest if you can), but many people still do it (preferring to get a large check to use to buy something or take a vacation).
    But in any event, what people perceive is reality to them... they may have not see the small increase in their paychecks and so now the sticker shock is hitting them.
     
  9. NewRoxFan

    NewRoxFan Member

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  10. B-Bob

    B-Bob "94-year-old self-described dreamer"
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    The last thing I have a tendency to do is defend the new tax law in any way -- I think it was max theft and a selling out of our future -- but the problem (including a problem in my household's tax bill) is that employers scaled back their tax withholding too much. So a part of the disappointment is a calibration issue of the overall system. And yes, part of it is that the tax "break" (for those unlike me who will receive a tax break) is actually smaller than a lot of normal working people expected.

    Seems to depend pretty sharply on the # of dependents in a household, or that's my perception. Moreso than before.
     
  11. Os Trigonum

    Os Trigonum Member
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    @B-Bob , I am SOOOO glad to hear you say this, because my wife blamed ME. Can I give her your contact info so you can set her straight? thanks in advance. ;)
     
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  12. edwardc

    edwardc Member

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    And the middle class gets screwed over again thanks GOP and 45 for all your lies.
    [​IMG]
     
  13. pirc1

    pirc1 Member

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    Just give her one of your post links, that should do the trick.
     
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  14. B-Bob

    B-Bob "94-year-old self-described dreamer"
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    Yes! :D
     
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  15. JuanValdez

    JuanValdez Member

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    It makes sense to watch the refunds from an economic standpoint because that injection into the economy at one time of year can spur consumer spending to help companies, etc. But it is a poor barometer of the tax reform. I'd like to know, by quintile, how people's total tax burden changed.

    Just filed my taxes, and compared to past years to see what changed for me. My effective tax rate did go down (huzzah!). The driver was the increase in the child tax credit. If not for that, my effective rate would have gone up 300 basis points.
     
  16. Deckard

    Deckard Blade Runner
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    Careful, Os! Word on the street is that @B-Bob is secretly a Romeo. Mrs. B-Bob is reportedly polishing the cutlery. :eek:
     
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  17. asianballa23

    asianballa23 Member

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    so anyone else's getting less refund this year?
     
  18. JuanValdez

    JuanValdez Member

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    I owed the country a couple of bucks. But fewer bucks that I owed it last year.
     

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