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James Ennis sucks on defense.

Discussion in 'Houston Rockets: Game Action & Roster Moves' started by bmd, Oct 21, 2018.

  1. YOLO

    YOLO Member

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    when the rockets get rid of him by seasons end well know he already accepted his mistake.

    he was already out of the rotation during the lakers game so mda is catching on. came in for 2 mins. was the typical dummy and never got back in. hes just lucky cp3 got suspended so they have no choice but to put his horrible carcass out there
     
  2. aelliott

    aelliott Member

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    If the limited playing time is due to fouls, then why do they not even let him pick up his 5th foul?
     
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  3. tehG l i d e

    tehG l i d e Member

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    Definitely not better shooter. Ariza is one of the best high volume right wing 3 pt shooters in the league. Ennis has shot okay on very, very low volume, very small sample size.
     
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  4. aelliott

    aelliott Member

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    Define "high volume shooter" for me.

    Theres only 16 players in the league that shot as many 3s per game as Ariza. Of those players, only 5 shot a worse percentage. Of those 5 that shot a lower percentage, two were on the Rockets.


    This year, Ennis is taking about 2 fewer 3s per game than Ariza did last year. He's also playing a lot fewer minutes. Ennis is actually shooting more 3s per minute this year than Ariza did last year.
     
    #104 aelliott, Oct 23, 2018
    Last edited: Oct 23, 2018
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  5. aelliott

    aelliott Member

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    That stat that you are using is an estimate based on positional matchups. Those numbers are computed as SF vs SF, PF vs PF, ect..

    They don't take into account who a player actually guards.

    All of the NBA Arena's have SportsVU cameras in the ceiling that are shooting 25 frames/second and track every players movement. Those cameras can produce stats for actual matchups.

    So far, in the first 3 games, Ennis has defended on 146 possessions. He's allowed 7 made field goals and 20 total points.
    That's 0.137 pts/possession. In comparision, Tucker is allowing 0.119 point per possession and Capela is allowing 0.258 pts per possession ( Capela had problems with AD, Gortat , Harrell and McGee).

    Here's Ennis' per possession results against every player who scored 20 or more against us in the first 3 games:

    A. Davis - 7 possessions - 0 points

    E. Moore - 17 possessions - 2 pts

    Gallianari - 13 possessions - 0 pts

    T. Harris - 4 possessions - 0 pts

    J. Randle - 4 possessions - 0 pts

    N.Morotic - 4 possessions - 0 pts

    Here's the actuals for each possession for Ennis:
    https://stats.nba.com/player/203516/matchups/

    Use the SportsVU actuals, they are much more accurate than the positional estimates.

    Also , realize that preventing your opponent from getting off shots is also good defense. If I guard an opponent for 50 possessions and he only gets 1 shot off but he hits it, that's great defense even though my opponents FG% is 100%.
     
    #105 aelliott, Oct 23, 2018
    Last edited: Oct 23, 2018
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  6. aelliott

    aelliott Member

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    Butler would be huge, especially against GS.

    Butler is a 4 time NBA All-Defensive Teamer and he can score and pass. He'd immediately be our best defender.

    Golden State plays a similar switching defense and we attack their defense by runing pick and roll to try and create a mismatch. The problem is that the guy that we want to target as much as possible is Curry. GS countered that move by having Curry guard Ariza. Ariza isn't involved in PnR because he's not a ball handler and he's not a good roll guy. That prevented us from forcing Curry to switch onto Harden, CP3 or Gordon.

    Ariza did have a big size advantage on Curry but he couldn't take advantage of it.

    In that series, Curry guarded Ariza on 199 possessions (his next highest was 87 against Harden). Over the course of those 199 possessions, Ariza only scored a total of 15 points.

    https://stats.nba.com/player/201939...=Totals&DateFrom=05/14/2018&DateTo=05/28/2018

    If Jimmy Butler is playing SF, GS can't do that as Butler would have the ability to easily score on Curry.

    Take away the Warrior's ability to hide Curry on defense and it's a whole different ball game.
     
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  7. Zergling

    Zergling Member

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    That's a question only Luc can answer. Rockets wanted him back and he went back to the Clippers for the same deal basically.
     
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  8. daywalker02

    daywalker02 Member

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    How can Butler overwhelm the likes of AD, Randle and Mirotic though?
     
  9. hakeem94

    hakeem94 Member

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    but it doesnt have to be butler it can be someone like MCW if he gets his act together?
     
  10. aelliott

    aelliott Member

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    It doesn't have to be Butler but it has to be someone that take advantage of the matchup when Curry gets switched onto him and isn't a liability on defense. I'm don't think MCW is a good enough offensive player to do that. He can drive though, but against GSW I doubt that he could consistently get all the way to the rim every time. You'd want someone that had the ability to score in other ways too.

    In MCW case, GSW would gladly have Curry guard him. He'd leave him wide open outside and invite him to shoot. Curry could then drop back towards the middle and help clog up the lane in case our guards drove. If MCW shoots from the outside, then tjhe Warriors would love it. Carter-Williams effectiveness driving would be minimized because Curry would be backing off of him so far. We did a similar thing to Draymond Green where we backed off of him and dared him to shoot 3s.

    Offesively, Carmelo Anthony could fill that role as he could simply go to the block and physically overwhelm Curry. The problem would be that GSW would do the same thing to Anthony on the other end.
     
    #110 aelliott, Oct 24, 2018
    Last edited: Oct 24, 2018
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  11. aelliott

    aelliott Member

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    That's a different issue. There's no single player in the league that will solve all issue for any team.

    Those guys are power forwards. Against a team like that the switching isn't as effective because they can exploit the matchup. There's not too many teams that have the personel to do that. For those teams, you'd likely have to send a help defender to double team them. The issue there is that the team defense has to rotate correctly and quickly to cover the man left open by the double teamer. In the opener, when we doubled Davis down low, he found the open man and the rotations were either slow or non-existant.

    Houston has typically played AD with Capela and Tucker. They try to force Davis out as far as possible but once he goes to shoot he's going to easily shoot over them (as he does to most everyone). Butler is a strong guy, so he could certainly take turns covering Davis and trying to force him off his spots and he can attack Davis' dribble but on the shot Davis is always going to be way longer than Butler.

    The issue that Randle poses is that he's a tall guy but he's very mobile and handles the ball well. Big guys aren't use to guarding guys that handle that well. I would think that Butler would do well against Randle. He's a great defender so moving his feet to stay in front of Randle wouldn't be a problem. Butler is strong enough to not get overwhelmed inside by Randle and tall enough to bother his shot.

    Mirotic is mostly taking open 3s. When he's shooting well, you just can't leave him. He's not going to consistently post up anyone. You do have to box him out as he's a good rebounder but again, Butler is a strong guy.

    In today's NBA it's not about individual defense, it's all about team defense. Suppose that we had a defender that was the ultimate Durant stopper. Let's say that Durant couldn't score a single point against this hypothetical defender.

    What would happen? GSW would run pick and roll and get a switch and Durant would be going against someone else. Guys shoot the 3 so well now that you can't go over the pick anymore and you are forced to switch.

    It's exactly what Houston does to teams with our guards. They can even dictate to a certain extent who Harden or Paul gets switched to by our choice of who we use as the screener. We did a great job of that vs GS. If there's nobody that you can hide a weak defender (like Curry) on, then you have even more options for even bigger mismatches.
     
    #111 aelliott, Oct 24, 2018
    Last edited: Oct 24, 2018
  12. Deuce

    Deuce Context & Nuance

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    James Ennis sucks on defense.

    Solution = Jimmy Butler.

    I concur!
     
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  13. J.R.

    J.R. Member

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    FIFY ;)
     
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  14. Deuce

    Deuce Context & Nuance

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    :eek::mad:
     
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  15. chievous minniefield

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    You may’ve said it elsewhere, but I’m curious: Would you do Gordon and Tucker for Butler?
     
  16. aelliott

    aelliott Member

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    Yes I would.
     
  17. hakeem94

    hakeem94 Member

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    thanks a lot
    btw
    why couldnt MCW simply go to the block and and physically overwhelm Curry?
     
  18. aelliott

    aelliott Member

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    The Rockets want to create space so Carter-Williams can't just run to the front of the rim every time or post up on the block. He'd have to start outside.

    If he tried to go inside, he might succeed some but GWS arent going to let him do that on a consistent basis. They'd send help. Green plays centerfield for them and picks up guys that get beat.

    MCW's disadvantage is that he has to get all the way to the rim to be effective. That's hard to do on a consistent basis.
     
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  19. Hustle Town

    Hustle Town Member

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    Not sure why we need to specify. Just end the thread title after the first three words.
     
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  20. HP3

    HP3 Member

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    A person who shoots a lot of threes, more than average, cmon man dont be obtuse.

    He may not be elite but he is above average. And he is certainly a better shooter than alot of wings.

    You cannot do that off a three game sample size. Ariza has been taking those volume shots FOR YEARS. Ennis has never taken more than 2-3 3s per game in his whole career and for some of those he had some pretty mediocre shooting seasons from 3.
     

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