[Official} Astros @ Rays

This seems to be an inherent Astros trait at least for a couple decades. Regardless of team or manager, the Astros always seem to get into extreme whole-team slumps or go on extreme whole-team tears. Almost at random. Makes it nearly impossible to not be nervous as a fan, even watching a nearly-unchanged reigning world champion team.

 

Wasn't there an article that came out and said Reddick was one of the least clutchest players of all time or something?

 

Reddick has never hit in the playoffs. Today was extra disappointing due to his fielding mistake.

 

13 games left against them.

 

That's a lot.

For comparison sake, the Astros only have 5 more vs the Rangers.

 

I said earlier in this thread how much Reddick is sucking on offense. His biggest play in a long time can be seen in the Astros postseason highlights vs Boston. Since then he's a groundout, popout machine. This season included. Everyone else in the postseason showed up in some form or fashion offensively. Same with this season, everyone in the batting lineup has come thru in some memorable way on offense. Except the most obvious being Marisnick, the other that sticks out to me like a sore thumb is Reddick.

 

Reddick actually has a positive clutch score this season. In general clutch is something that's not worth worrying about as the spread in clutch skill in players is pretty small (SD of .006 in wOBA).

 

Pretty sure if we followed other teams the way we do the Astros, we'd find EVERY team does that. It's why bad teams go on 8-0 streaks and good teams go on 0-8 streaks. The Dodgers last year went on some kind of historic 30 or 40 game stretch of dominance and then went 1-15 immediately after. It's also why overreacting to a bad series or week or even few weeks isn't really worth the time, as long the team is a lock for the playoffs - every team is going to go through those stretches.
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Seattle is only a 1/2 game back in the standings.

 

Bregman named AL player if the month for June.

 

Astros record in games not decided by One Run -- 45-15.... One Run -- 10-16

Mariners are 26-11 in One Run -- good for the MLB record at this point in a season.

AL's winningest One Run team last season (Angels) won 27 times.

 

Gotta stop this slump by whipping up on the Rangers.

 

I know everyone seems to be writing off Seattle as legit. Many said after that streak against good clubs they would be out of it. Were past the halfway point and Seattle is till nipping at our heals.

Are we a lock for the playoffs? Probably. But it might be as the 2nd wildcard if we dont win the division. And that is not a position I want us to be in come playoff time.

 

If Seattle wins 50 one run games it will be the single biggest statistical f**kery in baseball history.

 

If you dig deep enough, you can probably find at least one statistical anomaly for every team in the league that would seem to be unsustainable.

Regardless of how they are winning, they are winning. Not sure its a lights out argument to count them out using a single metric.

 

Remember when the Rangers did that sh*t a couple years ago?

 

I highly doubt you will find many statistical anomalies that stark. The Mariners winning 100 games would be the most shocking thing I have ever seen.

 

Yes and the Mariners are gonna be close to their one run win total by the all star break.

 

They won 36 one run games that year vs 11 loses.

 

Seattle has ~13 games left against the Astros.
Houston has 0 games left against the Astros.

Advantage: Houston