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[Official] Padres @ 2017 World Champion Astros

Discussion in 'Houston Astros' started by Castor27, Apr 6, 2018.

  1. HTM

    HTM Member

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    That game was painful on the eyes
     
    pw1993 likes this.
  2. CometsWin

    CometsWin Breaker Breaker One Nine

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    All-Star last year with 2.16 ERA, 11.8k/9, 21 saves. Pretty trash.
     
  3. tellitlikeitis

    tellitlikeitis Canceled
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  4. tmactoyao

    tmactoyao Member

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    every team's gotta have an all-star. 5 blown saves. 21/26 = 80%

    already has 1 this year, and singlehandedly lost them a game against the rockies 2 days ago. gave up a run without even allowing a hit in a 0-0 game in the 9th, then a 2 RBI single. 4.93 xFIP to start the year

    trash. what are you so sensitive about though? you a relative of his? sorry, you got it my man lol
     
  5. RasaqBoi

    RasaqBoi Member

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    Lance is such a kid. Social Media should be banned for him.
     
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  6. CometsWin

    CometsWin Breaker Breaker One Nine

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    After posting back to back 3 FIP seasons with 11k/9 over 154 appearances, he's trash after a whole 4 games this season.

    You're a trash poster, that's all. I'm sensitive about that.
     
  7. Buck Turgidson

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    Strike zone was ridiculously massive, Lance still couldn't hit it. Stros couldn't hit anything. Lots of dink & dunk hits, some sh!tty fielding thrown in for good measure.

    It happens, but let's all just pretend that that game didn't.
     
  8. kaleidosky

    kaleidosky Member

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    even a great team is going to have ~60 days like yesterday (or worse). gotta be ready for it and move on
     
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  9. jim1961

    jim1961 Member

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    Agreed. The thing to keep an eye on is individual players that have 60 days like yesterday in their first 70. We still have 4 guys were counting on hitting below the Mendoza line.
     
  10. juicystream

    juicystream Member

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    You just described Tony Sipp a couple years ago (minus the all-star nod & saves).
     
  11. Buck Turgidson

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    If they were doing it for 8 games in July nobody would really notice or care, it just stands out because it's the start of the season.
     
  12. Houstunna

    Houstunna Mr Graphix
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    Will a healthy Stros rotation ever go a full turn without 3 good starts ? Over/Under for the season ?

    Bats could use a high-slugging, low-k'ing day.

    #historicaloffense
    #statpad
     
  13. Major

    Major Member

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    That's completely normal - it's statistical randomness in small sample sizes. We also have 3 guys hitting over 0.400 and Josh Reddick hitting 0.350.

    If you take 8 random games from last year and compute people's BA's over only those 8 games, you'll find the same thing.
     
  14. jim1961

    jim1961 Member

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    Agreed. I am not predicting doom on anyone just yet. Except for Gattis (.269/.367/.423), I doubt anyones offensive numbers are sustainable. The guys at the top should cool off a bit and the guys at the bottom will find their stroke.
     
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  15. jim1961

    jim1961 Member

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    Your right. But when doing analysis, you have to work with the sample size available. For 2018, its small at this point.
     
  16. Buck Turgidson

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    The only troublesome thing to me is that the 3 players I have the most questions about offensively - Marwin/Jake/Fisher - are our 3 LFers.
     
  17. Major

    Major Member

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    Or if you know the data is meaningless, you can just not analyze them. There's no NEED to do analysis of a week.
     
  18. jim1961

    jim1961 Member

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    If it continues, expect the "Call Up Tucker" threads sooner than later.
     
  19. jim1961

    jim1961 Member

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    I wouldn't quite say meaningless. Indicative of things to come (predictive), no. But certain things can be gleaned.

    For instance, look at Marisnick and Fisher. Guys with really bad OBP but very good SLG%. One might say these guys are swinging for the fences every AB. Perhaps impatient. Perhaps pressing.

    Bregman is the opposite (walking a lot, few hits little power). Maybe too patient?

    If you can identify something about a guys approach early, then correcting it becomes easier. And for me, this isnt meaningless.
     
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  20. Major

    Major Member

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    I don't think ANYTHING can be gleaned from 8 games of data. Or even less for the part-timers you're referencing. If a couple of random balls had been hit a few degrees higher or lower or to the left or the right of where they were hit, you'd be gleaning completely different data from these players even though they'd be doing the exact same things.

    For example, I believe Fisher had at least 3 balls that were rockets off his bat that ran into bad luck. If those had been a few feet different, he'd be hitting 0.330 with a 1.000+ OPS. Would you still be saying he's swinging too hard?
     
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