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[Chron] Could Daryl Morey finally pass at trade deadline?

Discussion in 'Houston Rockets: Game Action & Roster Moves' started by J.R., Jan 7, 2018.

  1. RocketsFido

    RocketsFido Member

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    I'm totally fine with Morey packaging all our assets minus Harden and CP3 to get rid of Ryno next summer if it means Lebron is coming.

    If Lebron joins a team with Harden and CP3, you can be damn sure there will be a ton of ring-chasing vets who will take the min to sign with us.

    If DJ is rumored to wanting to come to Houston, he'll be taking a paycut too to make it work. If Gerald Green shows his loyalty and stays on this team, he can play him at the 3 next to Lebron then we'll have 3 guys who can play above the rim with our 2 HOF passers.
     
  2. ApacheWarrior

    ApacheWarrior Member

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    I respect your opinion. Fortunately for the Rockets you don’t respresent all other teams collectively. I wouldn’t
    have drafted Thon Maker or Nerlens Noel because of their weight (or lack there of). But teams are interested
    in player development over time. Noel, Maker, Capela, Covington, Qi have greater value than when originally drafted
    or when brought into the league.

    Like the stock market or buying a house. The idea is getting multiple cheap guys with great potential to be players
    in this league. Hartenstein is compared to a Dirk Nowitzki. Hindsight is 20/20......who thought Dirk would be as
    great as he has become? I loved the Porzingis pick when it was made.......many Knicks fans hated it. Who
    wouldn’t want Porzingis now?

    Morey will move the Ryan Anderson contract easily this summer. If LeBron says he will join the Rockets; that
    sets the process in motion. Some team will take the contract, with young player(s) and picks. First rd picks
    are the gold standard in the NBA.....even pick 28th thru 30. Houston can offer 1st’s (17/18), (19/20) & (21/22)
    and some team will buy it. 3 firsts or less.......various 2nd rounders mixed in. If you again predict “No Way”.
    I will tell you watch and learn when it happens. It will happen.

    Trade for LeBron is not happening during the season. That is why Ryan is not going anywhere by trade
    deadline. Everyone will have to wait until summer. LeBron wants one last shot at the Warriors while in
    Cleveland.
     
    #62 ApacheWarrior, Jan 10, 2018
    Last edited: Jan 10, 2018
    bilaal14 likes this.
  3. peleincubus

    peleincubus Member

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    That's what I was thinking. Run some hills man. Make sure you are around for a long time.
     
    Tfor3 likes this.
  4. carib

    carib Member

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    Interesting to see what happens for the Rockets at the trade deadline. I had been hoping that the Rockets would try a get a 3rd point guard. Since Harden has been out Gordon has been doing a good job setting up his team mates as well as scoring and Green is also making plays for others as well as scoring. If these guys keep getting more assists than their average consistently then I have to eat my own words that the Rockets need a 3rd point guard. I would have no complaints if Morey stood pat come trade deadline. All this teams needs is to get healthy. The Rockets face some strong teams next week, it would be a huge confidence boost if they win some of those games without Harden.
     
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  5. BallSoHarden

    BallSoHarden Member

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    Is there another Lou Williams to be had at the deadline? I know people didn't think too highly of him here, but the guy won us two playoff games against the Thunder with his shooting. He is averaging 34 PPG in his last 6 on 48% and 44% from 3, he just dropped 50 tonight and got a win against the Warriors. It's surprising people aren't really talking about losing him at all on the forums.
     
    #65 BallSoHarden, Jan 11, 2018
    Last edited: Jan 11, 2018
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  6. dfbreyes

    dfbreyes Member

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    Yes it was ok to trade Patrick Beverley and Sam Dekker for Chris Paul.

    Having to part ways with Lou Williams and Montrezl Harrell though brought a huge sense of doubt for the future.

    The emergence of Eric Gordon and the recent acquisition of Gerald Green would offset in a way the lost point production from 'Sweet Lou'.

    Having signed Gerald Green, I would think Daryl Morey would be done trading this season. But if it means letting go of Ryan Anderson and his humongous contract, then yes, by all means go for it.
     
    #66 dfbreyes, Jan 11, 2018
    Last edited: Jan 11, 2018
    D-rock likes this.
  7. D-rock

    D-rock Member

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    Love Bev and Monstrez, huge fans of their attitude and work ethic. But I would do that deal again today without hesitation.

    Paul, PJ, Luc have been huge upgrades. Standing pat when you are trying to dethrone GSW would have been a losing strategy. Change was needed, Paul was needed.
     
  8. Ziggy

    Ziggy QUEEN ANON

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    To add. CP3 is a GSW big-4 level player. Lou Williams is... a Nick Young level player.
     
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  9. MorningZippo

    MorningZippo Member

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    Not op, but when you work in equities, one of your main concerns is whether future information is already priced into the stock or not.

    Draft position (aka stock price) is frequently not indicative of underlying value, even adjusting for the future. If it were, Morey could never find undervalued draft picks.
     
  10. PuzzledFan

    PuzzledFan Member

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    I have it on good authority that he has agreed in principle to a deal that would add $2M and another draft pick to the package we're trading to the Clippers for Chris Paul.
     
    D-rock likes this.
  11. ApacheWarrior

    ApacheWarrior Member

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    True, but we are dealing in human beings as well. Isaiah Hartenstein turns 20 in May. Some thought goes
    into projections such as boy changing into man. I would love a franchise to flip the bill on strength training,
    nutrition, skill development (with those with good rep such as Lucas/Roy Rogers) in the beginning years. Then
    swoop in and acquire said talent as they begin to mature. Stock can possibly go from cheap to untouchable
    as it did with Porzingis.

    Have land on a main road which brings you x-amount......then a freeway loop is projected to be built next to said
    property. Value jumps exponentially. Scouts will tell you, “you can’t teach height.” Qi and Hartenstein are
    both 7 footers who have potential to hit 3’s consistently. Bigs that can do that are all the rage nowadays.
    They have value that you may not see......doesn’t mean it doesn’t exist. I can supply you with scouting reports
    of each player by a reputable scout prior to the Rockets acquisition of Qi and Hartenstein. Hartenstein was said
    to be too raw. If allowed to continue playing overseas and not drafted by Houston.....could be a lottery pick in the
    the summer of 2018 draft.

    Some scouts value our guys. And those guys are employed by some nba teams.
     
  12. OTMax

    OTMax Member

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    With Redick getting that crazy contract, let’s trade Ryno for him!! He wanted to come here anyway and might as well go all out on shooting. Start him or Gordon, Ariza to the 4 spot. Can you imagine the shooting?! We would have 4 great 3pt shooters and 5 if Green keeps it up :)
     
  13. napalm06

    napalm06 Huge Flopping Fan

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    I ragged on Gordon a TON for his performances in late December. His ball-handling was looking like a mix of Ariza and Brewer for some reason. He has really turned it up a notch and helped the team in a major way, sticking to his strengths and pushing himself.

    And I agree, a backup ball-handling guard has to be a priority at the deadline, even if it's picking up driftwood like Gerald Green instead of pulling off a trade.
     
  14. mfastx

    mfastx Member
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    Just don't trade Gerald Green.
     
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  15. RocketsFido

    RocketsFido Member

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    We're missing 6 guys tomorrow playing against the Suns. Is Morey going to sign another FA to replace one of our scrubs any time soon?

    Tarik, Nene, Zhou, Harden, Troy, Luc all are injured and out.

    If Onuaku and Webber doesn't at least put up some numbers tomorrow, Morey should just cut them sign more Vets like Green that are available from FA.
     
  16. J.R.

    J.R. Member

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    [ESPN] NBA trade deadline: How can Houston catch the Warriors?

    There is no shortage of confidence in Houston these days.

    After passing a litmus test Saturday night against the defending champion Warriors, the Rockets can now enter the next two weeks before the trade deadline with a baseline of their current roster.

    What moves will help them contend with the defending champs, and what kinds of deals can they make?

    The untouchables

    The new $169 million extension for James Harden also comes with a no-trade clause for one year (expires on July 7). Had Harden not signed an extension in the summer, the All-Star would be deemed untouchable on the trade market. Having an MVP-type season (once again), Harden's in the prime of his career at 28 years old and is the franchise cornerstone for this Houston team.

    Besides Harden, three pieces of this Rockets roster -- point guard Chris Paul, top sixth man Eric Gordon and center Clint Capela -- are deemed part of their core.

    "Our core is going to be our core and we feel very confident that this group can challenge for a championship", Rockets general manager Daryl Morey told ESPN in late December.

    The combination of Paul, Harden and Capela are 18-0 when all three play. Gordon continues to play a big role, either coming off the bench or starting when Harden and Paul were out with injuries. Even with Paul and Capela hitting free agency in the offseason, the Rockets are comfortable that both players will be part of the long-term future.

    He's not part of the core, but Gerald Green was signed to a one-year contract in late December and cannot be traded at the deadline.

    The value of the roster

    On any given night the Rockets can go 11 deep with their roster.

    Still dominant on the offensive end (second in offensive rating), Houston changed the personality of its team by signing PJ Tucker and Luc Mbah a Moute for a combined $9 million in the offseason. Both players -- along with the addition of Chris Paul (All-Defense first team the past four seasons) -- plus returning starters Trevor Ariza and Capela have Houston ranked 12th in defensive rating, up six spots from last season. Before the Mbah a Moute injury, Houston ranked second, behind only the Warriors in defensive rating.

    "We can roll out strong defensive lineups," Morey said. "We don't put out any lineup without three strong defenders. We have to be able to play both ends of the court."

    As evidenced by their 25-4 record to start the season and their recent win, the Rockets can challenge Golden State in the Western Conference when healthy. The only question: Can the Rockets get to mid-April in one piece? Harden, Paul, Capela and Mbah a Moute have all missed time this season because of injury.

    Rockets roster breakdown

    Player Current Salary Roster Type
    1. James Harden $28,299,399 Franchise
    2. Chris Paul* $24,599,495 Franchise
    3. Clint Capela* $2,334,528 Core
    4. Eric Gordon $12,943,020 Top starter
    5. Trevor Ariza $7,420,912 Starter
    6. Ryan Anderson $19,578,455 Key reserve
    7. PJ Tucker $7,590,035 Key reserve
    8. Luc Mbah a Moute* $1,471,382 Key reserve
    9. Nene Hilario $3,477,600 Rotation A
    10. Tarik Black* $3,290,000 Rotation A
    11. Gerald Green* $872,854 Rotation B
    12. Troy Williams $1,471,382 Development
    13. Chinanu Onuaku $1,312,611 Development
    14. Zhou Qi $815,615 Development
    *2018 Free Agent

    The chemistry factor

    Don't think that the Rockets' front office is content with the third-best record in the NBA.

    "When you are in our window of a chance to win it all, you need to be aggressive like last year when we added Lou Williams," Morey said.

    Since taking over as GM in 2007, Morey has been active at the deadline with 14 different trades, the most of any current front office in the past 11 seasons. However, Houston's 33-12 record also brings with it concerns that making an in-season trade could disrupt the chemistry on and off the court.

    "I think the better your team is, the more you think of continuity and chemistry," Morey said.

    Case in point: Ariza. The starting small forward is on an expiring contract and continues to have value in the NBA based on his durability (he has missed only two games because of an injury in three seasons) and leadership. The Rockets could lose the small forward in free agency in five months, but trading him now would be detrimental.

    Toughest contract to trade

    A year from now, the Ryan Anderson contract will be deemed more of an asset. The starting power forward is under contract through the 2019-20 season with cap hits of $19.6 million, $20.4 million and $21.3 million. As the offseason showed in the dialogue with the New York Knicks about Carmelo Anthony, moving the current Anderson contract presents obstacles. However, as the months pass and his salary begins to decrease in the amount owed and years left, Houston will have a trade chip. Although his contract is bloated -- like the rest of the 2016 free-agent class -- and he has been plagued by inconsistent play, Anderson will not turn 30 until May and still presents challenges for opponents with his ability to space the floor.

    Because the Rockets are also unlikely to be a major factor in free agency over the next few years because of the Harden extension and new contracts for Paul and Capela, Houston can shop the Anderson contract in 2019 and balance out the roster.

    The tradable contracts

    Houston does not have any trade exceptions available to acquire a player without giving up a contract. Without disrupting their depth, the Rockets do have young players like Troy Williams, Zhou Qi and Chinanu Onuaku on minimum-salary-type deals that they could package together or separately. All three players are on either a partial or non-guaranteed contract for next season and could bring back salary ranging from $2.5 million to $6.4 million.

    The Rockets are currently $2.67 million below the luxury tax and taking back salary would likely push them into the tax for only the third time since the 2002-03 season. Going into the tax could be justified based on Houston's record and title ambitions.

    The roster change that moves the needle

    Houston will need to keep Paul fresh for the second half of the season. Though Harden or Gordon can handle point guard duties when Paul is out of the game, Houston relied on two-way players (recently: Briante Weber) when Paul was out with an injury.

    One name at backup PG stands out: the Grizzlies' Mario Chalmers. Chalmers is a free agent in the offseason and the asking price to acquire him is not high since Memphis is out of playoff contention.

    Chalmers is on a minimum contract and can be acquired without giving up a player. There also is no need to give up a draft pick for a three-month rental, and Houston can send back cash to make a deal work.

    The limited draft assets

    Unlike last season when Houston was able to trade its 2017 first-round pick and add scoring off the bench in Lou Williams, the Rockets do not have that luxury this trade deadline.

    The Paul trade in June has left the Rockets without their first-round pick this year. Houston is not allowed to trade a first during the season until two years after its pick owed to the Atlanta Hawks is conveyed. The Hawks (via the Clippers) are projected to land the 28th pick in the draft from the Rockets (top-four protected).

    Houston does have what is projected to be the 53rd pick (from Miami) in the draft and, starting in 2020, its own second picks.

    Post-trade deadline roster movement

    Houston will have an open roster spot available if there is no trade to be made.

    The Rockets have only the prorated minimum exception available and will have an eye on the buyout market at the end of February.

    One veteran who could be available by March 1 is the Magic's Arron Afflalo. While offense is not an issue in Houston, adding another shooter off the bench -- even if Afflalo is on the downside of his career -- could prove to be beneficial.

    Signing a player would cost Houston roughly $400,000 and keep the Rockets under the tax.​
     
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  17. OTMax

    OTMax Member

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    Lol @ Chalmers and Afflalo.
     
  18. Rocket River

    Rocket River Member

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    I think the only thing that could be in play would be something like
    Anderson for Love .. . . If Love is Truly unhappy and checked out

    I also think Morey is trying to keep himself in the game for the Summer
    and would not do anything to lower flexibility this summer

    Rocket River
     
  19. D-rock

    D-rock Member

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    Great analysis but do not agree with conclusion. Adding another PG is not a need. The clear need us at PF. However not seeing too many trade opportunities that could 1)move Ryno's contract and more importantly 2)improve the 4 spot.

    A small trade to upgrade backup 5 may be all that is needed. Nene is prone to injury while Clint is prone to wear down when played too many minutes and Black is just not capable of providing similar production should he go down, especially in postseason.
     
  20. mightybosstone

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    I actually don't mind the idea of bringing in Chalmers or Afflalo. Those were both guys who were discussed in this forum in the offseason as potential targets, and I think both guys could bring something to the table. The problem is that, given D'Antoni's rotations, the Rockets already have one guard who isn't getting playing time in Green. So whose minutes would Chalmers or Afflalo be taking in this scenario?

    I agree that PF is probably the greater need, but Kevin Love is a pipe dream unless the Rockets are dealing half of the roster or the Cavaliers' front office completely screws up. And I just don't see another PF target out there that's a significant upgrade from Ryno right now. Mirotic would be perfect, but I have no idea what Houston has that the Bulls would covet.
     
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