http://weather.cod.edu/satrad/exper/?parms=meso1-13-96-1 It's still heading NW. Eyewall is very close to Corpus Christi now. Hopefully, they miss the worst of it. Any jog west is bad news for them, especially considering they did not have mandatory evacuations. Edit again: Recon is reporting cat 4 winds (130 mph). We might get another upgrade soon.
If it didn't during the memorial or tax day floods or Allison - you should be fine. It's just such an odd forecast...so it could be unprecedented. But probably not? I'd rather be in areas of Clear Lake before Meyerland or anywhere near Addicks Reservoir
Live stream from Rockport. He is reporting hurricane force winds already. https://www.pscp.tv/w/1rmxPqngkaDKN
It could go anywhere from it just rains and our bayous are able to process the water and everyone feels stupid for freaking out, or something catastrophic. I really do think we'll be alright with localized flooding in the normal areas though.
I'm out of practice with this stuff, but I don't remember them strengthening two whole categories this quickly in water that shallow. Must be incredibly warm water (duh, what else).
The forecasters really screwed the pooch with this one. And by "screwed the pooch", I mean, Rover got bent over. With such a slow-moving storm over 85 degree Fahrenheit water, they might have guessed the storm would get to a Cat 2 at least. I think some were whistling past the graveyard.
Not really sure where you heard that, unless you're talking about 2-3 days ago? Everywhere I've seen and people I've talked to with knowledge and in the meteorological private sector has said cat 3/4 is certainly possible for the last 2 or so days..
Shallow water (it's about 120 ft or so where's it at now) doesn't mean that much. If you're referring to upwelling (which will affect a storm that sits in the same spot for a while), it won't have much affect on Harvey because at 120 ft the water is probably still quite warm. Compared to it being in 1/2 mile or more deep water where the water is considerably cooler below 150 feet and beyond.
Hurricane Harvey Tropical Cyclone Update NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL092017 600 PM CDT Fri Aug 25 2017 ...6 PM CDT POSITION AND INTENSITY UPDATE... ...HARVEY BECOMES A CATEGORY FOUR HURRICANE... ...SUSTAINED HURRICANE-FORCE WINDS SPREADING ONTO THE MIDDLE TEXAS COAST... Air Force Reserve Reconnaissance aircraft data indicate that Harvey has become a category 4 hurricane with maximum sustained winds of 130 mph (215 km/h).
