Yeah, my parents were without power for about 2 or 3 weeks after Ike (? .... it was either Ike or Rita... can't remember). I think the military was delivering MRE's to the neighborhoods back then. It was nuts.
https://spacecityweather.com/harvey-late-night-some-final-thursday-thoughts/ In terms of rainfall, the picture is more grim. It still appears as though the Houston region will see manageable rainfall totals through most of Saturday. That is not to say it won’t rain hard at times, and streets may briefly flood. But for the most part I don’t expect mobility to be greatly impaired. If this forecast changes, we will of course be all over it. Now, looking ahead to the period of Sunday through Wednesday, uncertainty in the track forecast reigns. ... So let’s discuss three different scenarios. The Euro special Odds: 40 percent. Earlier today we discussed the European model solution for Harvey, which brings the storm into the Texas coast, stalls it, then pulls it back over the Gulf of Mexico and eventually into southwestern Louisiana. Under such a scenario, depending upon the track, much of the Houston area would likely get 5 to 25 inches of rainfall, with the greater totals closer to the coast. The wandering 59 special Odds: 35 percent. This solution is favored by many members of the GFS model ensemble, in which Harvey comes inland, and wanders around Corpus Christi, and the rest of the Valley until Sunday or Monday. Then it moves up the Highway 59 corridor, into Houston, over Beaumont, and off into Louisiana. Such a scenario would likely bring 10 to 25 inches of rain to much of the Houston metro area, but totals might not necessarily be greatest along the coast. Drowning in the Rio special Odds: 25 percent. Not all of the GFS ensembles pull Harvey back to the north. Some stay in south Texas and peter out. NOAA’s new hurricane model, the HMON, has depicted such a scenario over the last few runs, too. The HMON forecasts that Harvey’s remnants burn themselves out in northern Mexico and southern Texas. Under this scenario Houston might get 5 to 10 inches of rain from Harvey—a lot of rain, but certainly manageable. If this happens, a more than a few people will be mad at meteorologists for having stood in line at grocery stores today, and now what they heck are they going to do with all these Pop Tarts? Key takeaways A major hurricane is coming to the Central Texas coast. It will have bad consequences for that region. However the best available data as of Thursday night suggests the immediate impacts on Houston won’t be extreme. The unanswered question is what happens to Harvey once it reaches the coast. Where will it go, and will it go fast enough? Houston’s rainfall totals over the next five days depend on this, and we just don’t know. Big-time floods are coming to Texas. Certainly the Corpus Christi area and points immediately north and west of there will get too much rain. Flooding will spread to other parts of Texas too, quite possibly Houston. But right now we can’t say that for certain. As I’ve said, it’s either going to be pretty bad, or really really bad. We’ll have a comprehensive update early Friday morning.
Cleaned the garage. Bug out bag is ready. Generator acting up but working on it. Oh yeah, 2 cases of beer and two gallons of boubon.
Wife came home with what seems like all the bottled water in Katy. I've brought in the patio furniture and the bluetooths are charging. Cars gassed up. Grabbing my cold ones and Crown on the way in from work tomorrow. Just hate that I may have to use my phone data to watch the Thrones finale on Sunday. Man I hope we don't lose electricity. Can't stand the heat. I'll be dropping the thermostat down to get the house as cold as possible just in case.
Conroe ISD closed for tomorrow. Statement said so that people could get prepared and that they'll wait to make a determination about Monday depending on what happens this weekend.
Looks like from this map that Corpus Christi is going to get the worst of it. I have memories of '70 hurricane that did major damage there. I hope it's not as severe.
