I'll just feel bad for hazmat in the bayous having to clean up so much mascara, Rave hair spray and Target yoga pants.
so what's going on? i was just at walmart and it was packed. I got a case of lone star (unrelated) and i have about 4 gallons of water. will i survive this?
My balls would turn into a fine jerky. This chick I was with earlier was chewing on them like they were carne asada.
This storm has a higher likelihood of being the next Allison than the next Ike. That said, Katy is still on pins and needles about evacuating.
Looks like the projections have it hitting further south than originally anticipated so it might not be a problem for Houston.
I don't think we will know anything for certain until tomorrow evening at the earliest . That the storm could be pushed back into the gulf is a complicating factor.
I've been to many hurricanes (when Charlie Thomas owned the team), I only fear the wind against tree and no power. If you are going to buy water and food, do it when grocery store opens at 6am, or whenever it opens because they restock at night. Avoid buying food at gas stations, they will rip you off (I guarantee they will markup in those no-name gas stations).
Harvey has organized a lot overnight. This is now a very serious threat to the Corpus Christi area as not only a severe flooding event but perhaps a major hurricane. Keep you eyes tuned. We still don't know where this thing ends up.
The next 24 hrs is going to be interesting. So far it's been kind to us vs initial projections do st least that's good. Let's hope it continues.
SCW: Likely a hurricane at landfall, Harvey approaches a wary Texas Spoiler Spoiler ... Barring a major change in forecast, locations further up the Texas coast, including Houston, will see seas rise 3 to 5 feet above normal levels, gusty winds, and perhaps 2 to 4 inches of rain through Saturday. ... For example, here’s how this morning’s ensemble GFS model predicts the location of Harvey’s center on Friday evening. Note the tight clustering of 50 different model runs—that means there is pretty high confidence in the solution as the storm nears the coast. Spoiler However, when we fast forward to Tuesday morning, as depicted in the graphic below, and can see a broad spread in the model solutions for the center’s location. This uncertainty, also seen in the European model, reflects the challenging nature of the forecast for Texas and Houston early next week. Note that this forecast is for Harvey’s location three days after landfall, after the storm has moved inland, and the center has wobbled around. By Tuesday morning, about one quarter of the models have dragged the low into south Texas, the majority have brought the center back to the coast near Corpus Christi, or offshore. The remainder have brought the center up to Galveston and Houston. Spoiler Scenario One: Highway 59 or Gulf This seems like the most likely scenario (75 percent), in which Harvey loops around the Rio Grande Valley and then gets pulled to the northeast, either moving back over the Gulf of Mexico (and toward Louisiana), or up the Highway 59 corridor through Houston. In either case the Houston metro region is going to get drenched. Under the Highway 59 track the entire region gets a lot of rain, probably 10 to 20 inches (with higher isolated amounts), and under the Gulf scenario the rains are much higher in the southern half of region, perhaps around Interstate 10 and points south. In this case, the heavy rains would probably not begin before late Saturday night or Sunday morning and persist, on and off, through Wednesday. Scenario Two: Dying in the Rio There is a lesser chance for this scenario (25 percent), but it seems plausible to me, and some of you have asked me about a “best case scenario.” This is a relatively good one for Houston, but a terrible one for South Texas, which picks up 20 inches of rain (plus or minus) and sees widespread flooding. In this scenario, some of the ensemble members show the center of the storm dragged inland long enough that it burns itself out before ever getting pulled northeast, toward Texas and Louisiana. Under this scenario, the Houston region would be largely “spared,” with perhaps 5 to 10 inches of rain spread over several days. Key takeaways It’s probable that a hurricane will make landfall along the southern Texas coast late Friday or early Saturday This will not have immediate drastic effects for Houston, and while intermittent heavy storms and gusty winds are possible through Saturday, conditions for travel seem OK at this time. By Sunday, running through about Wednesday, the greater Houston region will be at risk for very heavy rainfall and potentially widespread flooding, and coastal regions may be most at risk. If you are traveling later on Sunday or early next week, your flights may be delayed or canceled. The forecast for next week remains highly speculative for Texas, but ranges from bad to very, very bad in terms of flooding potential.
Even if it hits further south it just goes from very bad to bad. Still rather take the lesser of the evils but not many scenarios very good.
