How is the Dem vote down? You involved in the early voting process and illegally viewing the results before the election? RIGGED! RIGGED!
Republicans fell for that same damn trap in 2012 when Romney was drawing massive crowds at his rallies compared to Obama. How did that turn out?
I'd never judge the sanity of the nation by Florida. Which I think Trump still loses. But even if he wins it, he still needs Iowa, Ohio, North Carolina and Pennsylvania. So....he's still a Jack-0-Lantern. Orange on the outside, hollow on the inside, and gone by early November.
I said in another post that Trump should be embarrassed for things he has said. This is one of them. My point again.... there are men who say some pretty offensive **** when around other men. It in no way shape or form am I condoning it. Just saying that it does exist to people who say it does not. It's that we've got some people in glass houses throwing stones. Hillary taking money from countries that abuse women isn't a good look for someone claiming to be a champion for women.
Meanwhile in Arizona... Clinton leads early voters 52-42 and has 32 field offices with 161 staffers. In a must-win state, Trump has zero offices and zero staffers.
Only a fool like Trump can manage to lose an election to a candidate like Hillary. In a landslide, no less. What a total and complete disaster this has been for the Republican party. I only hope they can learn something and regroup by 2020, but it doesn't look good with all this talk about the election being "rigged." Although I'm a little encouraged by so many turning their backs on Trump, it's too little too late. I still think they will probably double down on the stupid. Hell, I had hoped we could learn something and regroup after 2008 and look where we are now. #losingfaith
You should start considering what you want your new moniker to be after the election. I can guarantee you that you and rocketslegend's pre-election posting history will haunt you forevermore. The humiliation coming your way has led others to change their moniker out of shame. Maybe you should guarantee your prediction...
Do you ever get tired of just making things up? You're wrong both that he's ahead in Florida AND that it's the first time he's polled ahead in Florida all year. http://www.realclearpolitics.com/ep...rump_vs_clinton_vs_johnson_vs_stein-5963.html If you're going just make things up, at least try to be subtle and make things up that can't be disproved by an easy link.
I expect some testing by Republicans on a reset, and they'll say things like, "After the 2016 campaign disaster, it's time to reform the party to make sure the candidates we put forth hold to the ideals the party is built upon." Then, they'll get so many phone calls from angry Trump voters and backroom threats from Trump himself to create his own party to split the Republicans, that they'll all scurry back to their defensive positions, completely unwilling to risk their own careers in the short-term to save the party. The top-shelf candidates won't want to run in 2020 against an incumbent Clinton so they'll probably lose again. And maybe they'll have hit rock bottom by then and can reform themselves a bit before the 2024 campaign season.
And from where do you draw the "HIllary is easily beatable" theory? Believe it or not, she is actually pretty good at this election/candidating/governing thing - all of the evidence points to this. She's lost one campaign, narrowly, to a generational talent in Obama. For all intents and purposes, Sanders didn't really come that close to her delegate wise either, and in terms of the general election she is pretty much whipping the crap out of Trump. I understand that "if we'd merely nominated somebody less offensive we'd win some of the not-as-downtrodden whites too!" theory - but that may not have been enough either. Meanwhile, the Republican brand has become increasingly Toxic, Trump stamped his name on it in gold letters, but all of the anti-intellectual and racist rot was there for a long time before that...and its leaders have repeatedly encouraged it and profited from it.
Probably you don't get another candidate as bad as Trump, but I think that's idiosyncratic and not because the party had some kind of come-to-Jesus moment. The best thing would be a sort of cathartic disaster in which Trump voters are pimp-slapped so hard even they cannot deny the error of their ways. Losing the presidential election in a landslide is a disaster, but if the Trump voters walk away saying the election was rigged and that Clinton voters were merely manipulated by the media and the elites, then you'll get no repentance. They'll do the same dumb **** in the next election if they can find an enabler. Or, they'll get snookered by an establishment guy pretending to be an outsider (like a remade Cruz). I honestly think it'd be healthiest for Republicans to split. Hopefully the populist fragment fails and falls apart, leaving the more principled conservatives in charge of their party again.
http://www.newsy.com/videos/norpoth-model-predicts-donald-trump-will-be-president/ I have already stated in the past that I feel Hilary will win a close election. The polls are tightening significantly as predicted and a little present called "Obamacare" finally reared its ugly head. This is important, because now every day americans who were on the fence are now getting screwed by this awful health care plan that Hilary actually tried to say was hers in January. This is going to change the tide significantly. I am changing my prediction. I feel the Donald will win this year barring massive voter fraud. The most accurate poll from last year is showing Hilary +1 over Trump currently. It is sampled at +8 towards the democrats. The nation in the primaries was rated a R+1. If that would have been sampled based off the primary Trump would be up +7 which is a significant. You have to expect that several Bernie followers are going to jump ship or not show up. You have to assume Donald is winning the Independent vote which has been a pattern in every state thus far. Sorry. It doesn't look good for you right now.
The party has already changed. It will need to form a more moderate view. Marco Rubio should consider a re-run with the establishment getting behind him. The Hispanic vote is becoming very important.
