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Trump 2016: Yes. We. Can.

Discussion in 'BBS Hangout: Debate & Discussion' started by Honey Bear, Aug 5, 2015.

  1. rimrocker

    rimrocker Member

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    This one is pretty good too.

     
    CometsWin likes this.
  2. tmacfor35

    tmacfor35 Member

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  3. SWTsig

    SWTsig Member

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  4. tmacfor35

    tmacfor35 Member

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    I believe it's just Super Tuesday. I believe 7 or 8 states.

    Trump and Hilary are about even in regards to retaining their base and Trump seems to be winning the independent voters.
     
  5. geeimsobored

    geeimsobored Member

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    It's super tuesday turnout. It means absolutely nothing. Super Tuesday turnout correlates with competitive presidential elections. Hence why Democrats had high turnout in 2008 while Republicans had it in 2016.
     
  6. mc mark

    mc mark Member

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    Keep the faith tmac.

    Bless your little heart
     
  7. rimrocker

    rimrocker Member

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    2008 you had a contested primary between Obama and Hillary, 2016 you had a contested primary between a bunch of Repubs and Trump.

    In 2008, it was clear McCain would win the nom and 2016 wasn't ever really close with Hillary over Bernie.

    In short, that chart means nothing.

    And Independents aren't what they once were since a bunch of Repubs became technical but not real Independents after 2008 and skewed the group to the right.

    But by all means, keep thinking Trump has a chance.
     
  8. tmacfor35

    tmacfor35 Member

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    He does.
    [​IMG]
    4h4 hours ago
    Bill Mitchell ‏@mitchellvii
    In the latest AZ Poll showing Clinton +5, they used a D+37 sample. I'm not kidding. Just wow.

    Media bias and over sampling seems like a trend to scare repub voters from showing up.
     
  9. geeimsobored

    geeimsobored Member

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    Are you going to be the new unskewed polls guy? Get to work. Start unskewing the data for us so we can look in awe at the upcoming Trump landslide.
     
  10. tmacfor35

    tmacfor35 Member

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    Bernie was in range in popular vote so that is not true at all. Interesting statement. Hilary was awarded the nomination via super delegate.

    He absolutely has a chance.
     
  11. tmacfor35

    tmacfor35 Member

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    I mean. It's crazy to think Arizona would vote for someone who wants open borders.

    Polls are skewed abnormally.
     
  12. mc mark

    mc mark Member

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  13. tmacfor35

    tmacfor35 Member

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    274 Clinton
    258 Trump
    Utah goes Independent

    I think people who are calling it a blow out are listening to CNN too much.
     
  14. rimrocker

    rimrocker Member

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    So, you have Trump winning NH, OH, IA, NC, GA, FL, AZ and 1 vote in Maine?
     
  15. rocketsjudoka

    rocketsjudoka Member

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    Not counting Super Delegates Clinton won 2,205 delegates to Sanders 1,846. She also had about 4 million more actual votes than Sanders did. The Democractic primary wasn't as close as many try to make it out to be.

    http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/democratic_delegate_count.html
     
  16. tmacfor35

    tmacfor35 Member

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    That's not to far off. What your missing is that Bernie energized the millennial crowd and that's where you could argue the numbers were inflated. Younger voters don't hit the polls as much as your middle age group.

    This election is a coin flip right now.

    My prediction is that it comes down to Pennsylvania.
     
  17. Jayzers_100

    Jayzers_100 Member

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    Pennsylvania is safe Clinton right now. The only feasible path I see for Trump is OH, FL IA, NC, NV, AZ, and NH. And he's behind in most of those. Tied at best in NC/AZ
     
  18. REEKO_HTOWN

    REEKO_HTOWN I'm Rich Biiiiaaatch!

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    You do know millennial s include people in their 30's right? Middle aged folk.
     
  19. tmacfor35

    tmacfor35 Member

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    Should I say people age from 18-30?

    That is where I'm getting at.
     
  20. REEKO_HTOWN

    REEKO_HTOWN I'm Rich Biiiiaaatch!

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    Then you don't mean millenials because you're eliminating 1/5 of them. Millenials started being born in 1980.
     

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