Considering his age and competition, his hit tool looks pretty good. There are 5 guys at his level with a better BABIP at his age or less. There are 6 position players in higher levels. Typically, teams put guys as high as their hit tool will allow. That said, hit tool without power or defense can only carry a guy so far.
Martin has some tools (above average speed, average power), but as an undersized LF prospect (don't think anyone who would know thinks he can stick in CF) without an elite tool and without even showing plus on-base ability, he is a long shot to make an MLB impact even as a 4th outfielder much less an everyday player. That said, he has shown improvement as he's moved up and players young for their level sometimes surprise. AA will be the true test. If he's able to show 20 HR power in Corpus while keeping his k rate below 20% he will start to get some hype. But for now he's a C grade prospect.
I think the interesting comp is Brett Phillips last year (at Lancaster) -- Martin's numbers are actually pretty similar at the same age in High-A (Martin's a bit younger). Phillips was hitting .320, but Martin has shown the better ability to draw a walk, yielding pretty similar OBP, and fairly similar power profiles (slight edge to Phillips, but not a major one). I think there's similar positional questions as fringe CFers, and Phillips has more flexibility to profile in right given his arm. Phillips is a consensus top 50ish prospect, which feels a bit high. I wouldn't be surprised to see Fisher get bumped up to AAA at some point, and Martin to close in AA. If he finishes the year strong, he would then be in some position to be a top 100ish type of prospect.
So yall are telling me I should pick up Bregman now in Fantasy? His callup has to be by around the end of this month no?
depends on how deep your league is and what stats y'all use. he's probably not worth a stash in 8-10 team non-keeper leagues...but worth a roster slot in 12 teams (in my opinion), especially if you have an open N/A slot.
Great comp/point. Those numbers surprise me. As you said Phillips has the higher ceiling given his better all around tools, especially defensively. My skepticism on Martin is mostly related to his size and arm. I don't see how a guy as small as he is ends up hitting 25 HR in the majors, and he's not getting on base, playing elite defense, or stealing the bags that would make up for it. But I agree with you, if he were to get a 40 game audition in AA this year and play well, he will probably be a Top 150 guy with a lot of hype/momentum heading into next season.
Continue watching Altuve this year as he'll probably do it. It takes a combination of plate discipline, picking the right time to sell out on pulling a pitch, and have a short porch in LF for home games. Not sure Martin can do it, just saying its possible for a small guy to do it.
I did just to be safe. Guys in my league are quick and I don't want to lose a chance at getting him. I had a spot to stash him, though, so it won't affect me if he isn't up for a while.
Want to take this opportunity to tell Major to eff off. He's outbid me by $1 for several free agents and of course he already has Bregman. Dangit!! :grin:
Alex Bregman "expected" to be called up this weekend according to Jim Bowden. Great news if true we need his offense
I guess you missed this thread that has been at the top of the forum much of the night: http://bbs.clutchfans.net/showthread.php?t=276295
http://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/this-is-plus-command-prospects-phil-bickford-joe-musgrove/ Excerpt from article linked talks about 1-seam. Article also talks about change up usage (10-12 times a game) among otehr things. While Bickford has rise, Musgrove thrives on sink. But it’s a different kind of sink with that different kind of grip. “I get a little more downward action than side to side,” the Astros’ righty told me before the Futures Game. The grip was a godsend, actually. Musgrove has an over-the-top release point and found that a traditional two-seamer wasn’t working for him last year. “I started losing it and it wasn’t sinking or running, so Bryan Radziewski told me to try the one-seam,” he remembered. “The more you stay on top of the one-seam, the more downward action you get it on.” That meshing of arm slot and movement also helps him with the command and the ball-in-play results on the fastball. “It presents well as strikes, and appeals to the hitter,” Musgrove said of his one-seamer, “but it also shows up in a different spot than they think it’s going to be. It’s got a little velo on it and it looks good for a good amount of time. It’s a ground-ball pitch, and I’m a guy that likes to pitch for contact.”
[rquoter]Keith Law: Top 50 prospects: Astros' Bregman leaps to midseason No. 1 1. Alex Bregman 2. Lucas Giolito 3. Andrew Benintendi 4. J.P. Crawford 5. Yoan Moncada 6. Julio Urias 7. Rafael Devers 8. Tyler Glasnow 9. Brendan Rodgers 10. Victor Robles 11. Alex Reyes 12. Dansby Swanson 13. Amed Rosario 14. Anderson Espinoza 15. Ozhaino Albies 16. Orlando Arcia 17. Kevin Newman 18. Joey Gallo 19. Austin Meadows 20. Manuel Margot 21. Lewis Brinson 22. Braden Shipley 23. Aaron Judge 24. Jose Berrios 25. Franklin Barreto 26. Gleyber Torres 27. Ian Happ 28. Willy Adames 29. Eloy Jimenez 30. Trent Clark 31. David Dahl 32. Kyle Tucker, OF 33. Corey Ray 34. Clint Frazier 35. Mickey Moniak 36. Gary Sanchez 37. Alex Verdugo 38. Kolby Allard 39. Robert Stephenson 40. Jorge Alfaro 41. Chance Sisco 42. Raul Mondesi 43. Blake Rutherford 44. Dom Smith 45. Michael Kopech 46. Luis Ortiz 47. Sean Newcomb 48. Cody Bellinger 49. Yohander Mendez 50. Jorge Mateo Honorable mention Kohl Stewart, RHP, Twins Jeff Hoffman, RHP, Rockies A.J. Puk, LHP, A's Brent Honeywell, RHP, Rays Nick Senzel, 3B, Reds Tyler Jay, LHP, Twins Hunter Harvey, RHP, Orioles[/rquoter]
<blockquote class="twitter-tweet" data-lang="en"><p lang="en" dir="ltr">Trent Thornton impressive again. 7-inning SHO in Gm 1 of DH. Deep arsenal, FB up to 95, quality CT. Eyewitness up soon <a href="https://twitter.com/baseballpro">@baseballpro</a> <a href="https://twitter.com/hashtag/Astros?src=hash">#Astros</a></p>— Wilson Karaman (@vocaljavelins) <a href="https://twitter.com/vocaljavelins/status/753763967277727744">July 15, 2016</a></blockquote> <script async src="//platform.twitter.com/widgets.js" charset="utf-8"></script> 3.33 ERA away from The Hangar and overall a 54/10 BB:K ratio in 54 innings.
Franklin Perez allowed a run on 3 hits, walked 2, and struck out 7 in 5 innings for Quad Cities tonight. Albert Abreu followed with 4 scoreless, allowing a hit and striking out 5. Quad Cities beat Fort Wayne 2-1; Perez now has a 3.15 ERA with 50 strikeouts in 45.2 innings, while Abreu's ERA now stands at 4.05. He has 89 strikeouts in 73.1 IP.
<blockquote class="twitter-tweet" data-lang="en"><p lang="en" dir="ltr">FYI: Matt Duffy designated for assignment to make room for Yulieski Gurriel on the <a href="https://twitter.com/hashtag/Astros?src=hash">#Astros</a> 40-man roster.</p>— Greg Rajan (@GregRajan) <a href="https://twitter.com/GregRajan/status/754362782259159042">July 16, 2016</a></blockquote> <script async src="//platform.twitter.com/widgets.js" charset="utf-8"></script>
Stinks for Duffy, especially when there's dead weight (Peacock and Chapman), but they do need to create 3B time for Bregman, too. Though one of Bregman or Gurriel is going to have to play LF.