Rubio isn't running for re-election to the Senate this year. The guy is toast. Maybe he runs for governor in a couple of years but I doubt it.
LOL, he's not exactly positioning himself for that kind of earnest apprenticeship: Rubio gives up on Senate: ‘He hates it’ Here's the problem with Rubio - he's doesn't have the necessary combination of intelligence, skills and drive to become president. His campaign was poorly planned and lazy - he believed the winsome projections of establishment fops like David Brooks and Mitt Romney and the whole "GOP elites"/plutocrat panderers circle who deluded themselves into thinking that he was "the GOP Obama" when other than superficialities, he was nothing of the sort. Obama beat Hilary not only because he was a better politician but because he had a strategy that included the hard, slogging work of establishing the the so-called ground game, to WIN...Rubio did not have this, partially because the Republican party doesn't really have a natural consitutency for him and partially becuase he thought he could pretty much hang around and win by default. not this year, little marco.
Everyday I keep hearing the Rubio demise doom scenarios. Yet, everyone keeps forgetting what this race has become: a marathon to a brokered convention. Rubio has said it plain and clearly. Cruz is also on board as well. So is Kasich. Neither candidate is going to beat Trump straight up especially Cruz now that we are moving away from southern states. The cries for Rubio to exit gracefully are legitimate. He may risk his political career in landslide in Florida. However, there might not be much left for him to lose. He's not going back to the senate. His only move left is to try and win Florida then use his chips to make a move at the convention for a Cruz-Rubio ticket that would trump the Donald if we end up with a 3 or 4 way race at the convention with Trump holding a plurality lead. Again, Rubio and Kasich's game is now simply getting enough delegates to make a run at VP on a Cruz ticket if he's the runner-up going into the convention. Therefore, these talks about both candidates dropping out fail to understand the greater political dynamics at play here. Rubio is not going to quit and neither is Kasich unless Trump wins Florida and Ohio.
So basically thwart the will of the voters, such as it is, so that the3rd or 4th place guy who has no power base, can be selected by fiat over the strenuous objections of not just Trump but also Cruz, and their attendant delegates (who collectively will likely constitute 60-70% of pledged delegates) While this may seem like a possible way to Stop Trump, the reality of this scenario should it unfold is way more messy and chaotic than its proponents believe.
A brokered convention would do a LOT less damage to the Republican party than allowing Trump to be their nominee....and you know it.
Or it would do even more? Nobody really knows...either way they probably lose in November because if it's a trump coronation or a coup de trump - it's a slow motion trainwreck either way.
Why would Libertarians feel marginalized by a brokered convention? There isn't any candidate currently on the Republican ticket that Libertarians could fully support.
Sure, against legitimate nominees, not nominees stained by a Cleveland Steamer of a convention we are headed for. A coup-ed in Cruz would be beaten by a zillion points, I would love it.
I honestly don't think you believe that....which is why you are worried about it. Running with a nominee who is disliked by more than 60% of the Republican party is a recipe for disaster. Having the majority come together on one alternative candidate is a much more legitimate and solid decision.
Replacing him with someobdy who 90% of Republicans voted against is an even bigger disaster. The biggest disaster of all - the Republican party, this is a realingment period, it is done.
The "why" is more important in this case than the "what". Sure you could say that a large portion of the Republican party voted against someone like Cruz or Kasich, but they did so because there was a different non-Trump candidate that they wanted. If there was a one on one race between Trump and literally any other candidate left in this race, Trump loses every time. Trump can get a plurality when there are 4 or more candidates on the ballot with his 35%, but he never gets a majority in a 2 man race.
Trump has a better shot in November than Cruz does because he's a wildcard. Republicans may not like him, but many will vote against Hillary. Trump also can appeal to a weird mix of true independents and anti-establishment Bernie supporters. With Cruz, you get a textbook election with a GOP candidate that has no appeal at all with moderates. There's not really any possible outcome except him losing, probably fairly badly.
I've got this crazy idea. Vote Libertarian if you are a Libertarian and let the GOP get back to important stuff like outlawing dancing.
The numbers show that Cruz has a lead head to head against Hillary, Trump doesn't and never has. Trump is actually Hillary's best chance to win. Enough people dislike and distrust Hillary to put just about any candidate over her. Hell it's enough to let a socialist win states over her in a one on one race for the Democratic nomination. Cruz would have a solid chance against her, Trump goes down in flames and it wouldn't even be close.
General election numbers are completely meaningless 8 months before an election. Only a fraction of the country is even paying attention right now. Unlike Cruz, who is ideologically rigid, Trump has a lot of ability to change his image over the course of 8 months. It will all be fake, of course, but it certainly can happen. Cruz has no ability to win against Hillary. None. He's basically the only person in the world that has less charisma than she does, and that's been the #1 indicator of a Presidential winner over the last 30 years or so. In every single election, the more likeable candidate has won, issues/economy/everything else be damned.
The Libertarian Party is a joke. Here is LP candidate "Elvis Presley" - yes, that is his real name. If that's not your style, how about this fellow? Spoiler
Huh? I pretty much agree with all that. Too bad Mitt decided not to run he's a pretty likable guy. Cruz on the other hand.... he's the kid that got bullied and you never felt sorry for him because he deserved every bit of it. I think Trump smokes Hilary if it comes to that.
And that's why people don't like Trump, it's obvious that he's a fake. Trump has the absolute lowest likability numbers in this race. Cruz and Hillary are pretty close to equally unlikable. This is a REALLY bad election all around, but Trump is by far the worst candidate on either side.
