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[Official] Astros Offseason

Discussion in 'Houston Astros' started by Castor27, Oct 16, 2015.

  1. eric.81

    eric.81 Member

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  2. cangrejero51

    cangrejero51 Member

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    Why do we need Morneau on the team?

    To balance the lineup between right handed and left handed hitters. With Mornaue

    1. Springer RF
    2. Altuve 2b
    3. Correa SS
    4. Morneau 1b
    5. Gomez cf
    6. Rasmus lf
    7. Gattis DH
    8. Valbuena 3b
    9. Castro

    With no Morneau

    1. Springer rf
    2. Altuve 2b
    3. Correa SS
    4. Rasmus LF
    5. Gomez CF
    6. Singleton 1b
    7. Gattis DH
    8. Valbuena 3b
    9. Castro C

    Can Rasmus be good enough to hit 4th consistently? Singleton hitting 6th? Why Singleton 6th and not 7th or 8th? To split the lefties in the bottom of the lineup.
     
  3. kaleidosky

    kaleidosky Member

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    Since you won't stop posting about Morneau, let me respond once:

    2015 away from Colorado: .242/.308/.358 = .658 OPS
    2014 away from Colorado (good year): .309/.364/.475 = .839 OPS
    2013 (PIT): .259/.323/.411 = .734 OPS
    2012 (MIN): .267/.333/.440 = .773 OPS
    2011 (MIN): .227/.285/.333 = .618 OPS

    The guy is 34 and has had 2 good seasons in his last 5 (not going to give him the benefit of Coors inflation--we saw how Cuddyer did when he left, as a recent example of the many out there).

    He's not a "sure thing", though you seem to pretend he is every time you post about him. By no means can you shove him in the cleanup spot and assume he'll produce. Yes, he's probably better than Singleton... but Singleton is still young and needs to be evaluated at some point. Same with White and Reed. To shove Morneau in there and hope he replicates 2014 wouldn't make much sense.
     
  4. leroy

    leroy Member
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    ^^

    Not to mention that he's only played one remotely full season since 2008 (2013 when he played 152 games). Plus, that Coors inflation only meant a whopping 20 hrs over 184 games.
     
  5. awc713

    awc713 Member

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    The answer is clearly Brett Wallace:

    G AB H 2B 3B HR RBI R BB K SB CS AVG OBP SLG OPS
    64 96 29 6 0 5 16 14 10 31 0 0 .302 .374 .521 .895
     
  6. bobrek

    bobrek Politics belong in the D & D

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    Also, not to mention, that he is a slide or tag or HBP away from another concussion.
     
  7. No Worries

    No Worries Member

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    [​IMG]
     
  8. RasaqBoi

    RasaqBoi Member

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    I cannot wait for the Astros season to start. Don't remember the last time I've said that.
     
  9. right1

    right1 Member

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    Where the bleep is my boy Ty White with his career .421 obp through entire Astros system? Who the hell does that?? Altuve, Correa, Springer? Who has a less than 1/1 career BB/K rate? Who does that? Home run derby? No prob. Dominican league. MVP. No Morneau. Yes Tyler White. Bring on the season already.
     
  10. Joe Joe

    Joe Joe Go Stros!
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    http://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/fg-on-fox-the-top-plate-discipline-improvements-of-2015/

    Evan Gattis basically became a completely different hitter in the second half of the season. Jeff Sullivan already pointed this out in September, and this should act as further confirmation: after a rough first half in which he struck out 22.4% of the time, Gattis showed a remarkable transformation, cutting down on the rate of swings at out-of-zone pitches by 13.5%. That lowered his second half strikeout rate to 16.3% — better than league average – and raised his walk rate from 3.5% to a more palatable 6.8%. These are very good signs for him getting back on track for the Astros in 2016 after a tough campaign last season.

    For most stats, looking at half a season of data is usually not very helpful at determining if a player is hot or has made a change. K% and BB% are two stats that half a season is generally a large enough sample size. Basically, Gattis looks like a slightly below average DH if he keeps a low BABIP (~0.260). Not good, but not nothing and definitely not nearly the atrocity his ABs were the first half of 2015.
     
  11. cdain3

    cdain3 Member

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    The epitome of fools gold.
     
  12. Joe Joe

    Joe Joe Go Stros!
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    Wei-Yen Chen off the board at 5 years 80 million with a 6th year with a vesting option. Big drop to the rest of the SPs left. Starters (Gallardo, Latos, Morrow, and Kennedy) left don't look very appealing except at discount rates. Even then..maybe not.
     
  13. DaChamp

    DaChamp Member

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    $16M/year seems like a lot for a Feldman-type pitcher. Orioles also made him a qualifying offer which he rejected, so Marlins will have to forfeit a draft pick.
     
  14. eric.81

    eric.81 Member

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    I like Kennedy, but not at the price he'll likely command. Feldman is our 5th starter then?

    Dallas K.
    McCullers
    McHugh
    Fiers
    Feldman
     
  15. Joe Joe

    Joe Joe Go Stros!
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    He may become Feldman-like, but he has past performance compares very favorably with Feldman. Wei-Yin Chen appears to be a FIP beater with his ERAs on average being about a half a run less than his FIP (last year looks to a little lucky to have his ERA with separation closer to 1). He generates a lot of pop ups consistently.

    I think the AAV at 16 million would have been fine at 3 years as I think he's probably a little bit better than Feldman. Maybe even 4. 5th year plus lost of draft pick are huge negatives at that AAV.
     
  16. tellitlikeitis

    tellitlikeitis Canceled
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    The Marlins will be giving up their 2nd-round pick (#46 overall), since top 10 picks (they have the 7th pick in the 1st round) are protected.
     
  17. Joe Joe

    Joe Joe Go Stros!
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    Feldman is the likely 5th starter as long as he can hold off Straily.
     
  18. juicystream

    juicystream Member

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    I think Feldman is a lock for the rotation as long as he is healthy and we don't acquire anyone.
     
  19. GottaHaveHeart

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    Latos Fister Lee - don't think either will require big $$ and hopefully surprise
     
  20. eric.81

    eric.81 Member

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    I love the idea of giving Cliff Lee a 1-year deal.
     

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