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Interesting Stat: Rockets PPS is #9 in the league

Discussion in 'Houston Rockets: Game Action & Roster Moves' started by heypartner, Dec 5, 2015.

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  1. heypartner

    heypartner Member

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    Rockets have a 1.21 Points per Shot, which is 9th in the league. Of course, we shoot the most 3s, which is surely the reason for a higher PPS than I'd expect.

    Higher than I'd expect, because we are also:

    26th in the league for 3FG%
    24th in the league for FT%
    12th in the league for 2FG%​

    Looks like we have a lot of room for improvement, even at 9th in the league.

    Our Points per Possession is probably pretty bad, though. Will try to look that up.
     
  2. heypartner

    heypartner Member

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    fwiw: by comparison, San Antonio is #19 in PPS. They appear to be winning with the best defense by far, stats wise.

    On quick look, only found one site with Points per Possession for Teams. We looked to be in the Average range.
     
  3. rockets2012

    rockets2012 Member

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    Probably means we can't even take a shot in many possessions...turnovers?
     
  4. Bobbythegreat

    Bobbythegreat Member
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    That's what happens when you take the best shots in the league, even when your execution is god-awful, the results are still pretty good. Imagine if we were making our shots or if we were playing even halfway competent defense?
     
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  5. OpenLayup-Why3?

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    Long story short.
     
  6. heypartner

    heypartner Member

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    fwiw: PHI is 4th in the league in three-pointers as a % of total shots, and Top 5 in Open Looks on those threes. Yet, they are 28th in the league in PPS.
     
  7. durvasa

    durvasa Member

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  8. bmd

    bmd Member

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    Their defense is really bad which means the other teams are probably shooting a high PPS when they play the Rockets, plus bad defense leads to a slower pace because they keep having to take the ball out. Slower pace = less possessions.

    In the last 5 games, the Rockets are 4-1. They have the 2nd best offensive rating in the league at 108 points per 100 possessions. But their defense is the 26th in the league, giving up 106.5 points per 100 possessions.
     
  9. heypartner

    heypartner Member

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    But does PPS count FTs? I assumed it counts AND-1s, but maybe not. And what about FTs when no FGA occurred?
     
  10. Houstunna

    Houstunna Mr Graphix
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    Interesting thread


    We're 24th in FT% and #2 in FTA.

    Looks like we're better at getting FTs than we suck at making them :p:grin:
     
  11. AstroMechPLZ

    AstroMechPLZ Member

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    I think PPS doesn't include FTA and that's where the discrepancy lies.
     
  12. try

    try Member

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    The PPS on ESPN, which heypartner is probably referring to, simply measures PTS/FGA. The Rockets make a lot of free throws, that's why they rank rather high in that category. However, the stat doesn't really tells us much as it doesn't take the efficiency from the line into account.
    If we look at TS%, which measures how efficiently a team is scoring, the Rockets rank 19th.
     
  13. heypartner

    heypartner Member

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    but if they were then we'd have an even higher ranking.

    I guess why this is interesting to me is that we can have such a relatively high ranking despite turrible 3pt% and eFG% (which includes FTs)

    Obviously our poor W/L record is greatly affected by our poor defense. And SAS proves a low PPS ranking and their low reliance on 3s is offset by their #1 defense
     
  14. heypartner

    heypartner Member

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    thx for looking up the definition. Yes, i was using ESPNs rankings.

    to your comment that TS% or efg% tells us more, games arent won based on %s though, they are won based on points. PPS is a fine stat for the offensive side if the ball
     
  15. try

    try Member

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    I'm afraid I have to disagree with you on this point. PPS does nothing better than TS%, it only does less. TS% is not a perfect measure for offensive efficiency by any means because it omits turnovers, but so does PPS.
    To illustrate the basic concept of these stats (TS% is calculated a bit differently to account for and-1s, but the main idea is reflected here):
    • PPS: (Points from 2PTA + Points from 3PTA + Points from FTA) / (2PTA + 3PTA)
    • TS%: (Points from 2PTA + Points from 3PTA + Points from FTA) / (2PTA + 3PTA + FTA)
    In other words: If two teams shoot and hit the exact same number of two pointers and three pointers on average, but team 1 shoots 20/30 from the line while team 2 shoots 20/20 from the line, PPS gives them the same number. However, team 1 will be way worse because they "waste" about 5 possessions per game by missing free throws. TS% corrects that. If you want to, you can just multiply TS% by 2 to get a better PPS-measure.

    I hope my point became clear.
     
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  16. try

    try Member

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    Just to make it technically correct: the exact formula is (PTS) / (FGA + 0.44*FTA).
     
  17. DraftBoy10

    DraftBoy10 Member

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    My dear NGL friend please refer to this thread:

    http://bbs.clutchfans.net/showthread.php?t=270858

    And for this particular stat, we need the following:
    1) League average possessions in a game vs. Rockets possessions(how many and where do we sit)
    2) Free throws(is this accounted for)
    3) Is it adjusted for when Dwight is playing and when he is not?(is this accounted for)

    Let's start there, before we say this is an "interesting" stat and before we think our offense is actually good.
    4)
     
  18. basketballholic

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    Rox PPP is 1.00389. Good for 20th in the league.



    Total Points Scored/(FGA's+.44*FTA's+TO's-ORB's)



    Golden State Warriors 1.137013589
    Oklahoma City Thunder 1.068065113
    Cleveland Cavaliers 1.04906043
    Charlotte Hornets 1.038587386
    Los Angeles Clippers 1.038386246
    Atlanta Hawks 1.036907017
    Toronto Raptors 1.031883342
    Indiana Pacers 1.028345051
    Portland Trail Blazers 1.027549433
    Phoenix Suns 1.026570048
    San Antonio Spurs 1.02637317
    Sacramento Kings 1.016480853
    Miami Heat 1.015105665
    New Orleans Pelicans 1.014787614
    Dallas Mavericks 1.012894127
    Boston Celtics 1.009755794
    Orlando Magic 1.008607902
    Minnesota Timberwolves 1.006417089
    Utah Jazz 1.004932182
    Houston Rockets 1.003895567
    Milwaukee Bucks 0.996172189
    Memphis Grizzlies 0.994183408
    New York Knicks 0.99398818
    Detroit Pistons 0.990836774
    Washington Wizards 0.984311272
    Denver Nuggets 0.982375183
    Chicago Bulls 0.974353921
    Los Angeles Lakers 0.966165809
    Brooklyn Nets 0.963132172
    Philadelphia 76ers 0.913077431
     
    #18 basketballholic, Dec 5, 2015
    Last edited: Dec 5, 2015
  19. heypartner

    heypartner Member

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    try,

    Yeah, I understand how the TS% and eFG% is calculated. And that .44 multiplier is an average, which clearly the Rockets surpass as #2 FTA team in the league. PPS gets more to the point (pun intended), imo, and uses no generalized multiplier. Points per Possession is a better stat than that, since it naturally accounts for TOs. But since it is not easily determined by box scores, it's hard to find as a stat.
     
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  20. Easy

    Easy Boban Only Fan
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    The true measure of offensive efficiency is Points Per Possession, not Points Per Shot. As some have pointed out, we shoot a lot of FT which are "free" points in PPS, but not in PPP.

    If a player or a team shoots a lot of FT, the PPS will be good. Guys like James Harden and Kevin Martin always have great PPS because they get a lot of foul shots.
     
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