HURRICANE CLAUDETTE...

HectikG81 · 07-09-2003, 12:21 PM

HEY I SAW THIS AND IT LOOKS LIKE IT'S COMING UP OUR WAY....

sorry for the big image...

Rocketman95 · 07-09-2003, 12:54 PM

Looks like it might hit Houston just in time for the Dave concert next Wednesday.

MoBalls · 07-09-2003, 12:57 PM

Sweet..Im going to Tallahassee, Florida tomorrow for a PT concert. It wont interupt my schedule.

mfclark · 07-09-2003, 01:02 PM

Quote:

Originally posted by MoBalls
Sweet..Im going to Tallahassee, Florida tomorrow for a PT concert. It wont interupt my schedule.

PT - Porcupine Tree? Who the heck are they?

The Tallahassee concert scene has gone down the tubes in 2003...nothing decent since the end of last year here.

rockHEAD · 07-09-2003, 01:09 PM

no one know where this thing will go... the last one took a turn up north, it's a crap shoot....

MoBalls · 07-09-2003, 01:10 PM

Quote:

Originally posted by mfclark
PT - Porcupine Tree? Who the heck are they?

The Tallahassee concert scene has gone down the tubes in 2003...nothing decent since the end of last year here.

Brit band/Prog Rock .... dont get a lot of airplay in the US ......this will be a warm up concert for them .... check them out www.porcupinetree.com ......you might like them...... they have been around for years ...gonna stop and have dinner tonight in New Orleans......

underoverup · 07-09-2003, 01:10 PM

Anyone remember Tropical Storm Claudette that hit in 79? I was to young to remember it, but I recall my parents talking about the incredible amount of rain. It set the single day record in the US with 43" in Alvin-- thats almost our total rainfail for a year! I hope were not in for a repeat.

MoBalls · 07-09-2003, 01:10 PM

Quote:

Originally posted by rockHEAD
no one know where this thing will go... the last one took a turn up north, it's a crap shoot....

As long as it doesnt hit before Sunday....

Behad · 07-09-2003, 01:31 PM

Quote:

Originally posted by rockHEAD
no one know where this thing will go... the last one took a turn up north, it's a crap shoot....

Yes and no. They have gotten much better at deciding which steering currents will control any particular storm. They knew that TS Bill would make a hard turn north, but this one has a high pressure ridge to the north of it that's keeping it on a western path. That being said, there is still a large degree of inaccuracy involved. Still to be determined is how the low pressure system that may move down here will affect the location of landfall of Claudette.

MadMax · 07-09-2003, 01:34 PM

Quote:

Originally posted by Rocketman95
Looks like it might hit Houston just in time for the Dave concert next Wednesday.

yeah...thanks for that!

i'm calling b.s. on the "rain or shine" policy in the event of a hurricane.

Rocketman95 · 07-09-2003, 01:36 PM

Quote:

Originally posted by MadMax
i'm calling b.s. on the "rain or shine" policy in the event of a hurricane.

It'd be cool if it away from us (well, not cool for where it hit), but it produced some badass thunderstorms. I was there two years ago when it thundered and what not the entire show...it was badass.

Look at that, I'm already typing like I live in Houston!

MacBeth · 07-09-2003, 01:59 PM

Used to live in Florida, and had tornadoes and hurricanes all the bloody time. My only advice is stay away from trailer parks, they're like damned windstorm magnets...

MadMax · 07-09-2003, 02:02 PM

Quote:

Originally posted by Rocketman95
It'd be cool if it away from us (well, not cool for where it hit), but it produced some badass thunderstorms. I was there two years ago when it thundered and what not the entire show...it was badass.

Look at that, I'm already typing like I live in Houston!

yeah! i was at that show too! dave commented on how God seemed to be helping out his show with a light show of His own. that was amazing...

Buck Turgidson · 07-09-2003, 05:40 PM

Quote:

Originally posted by MadMax
yeah! i was at that show too! dave commented on how God seemed to be helping out his show with a light show of His own. that was amazing...

Those of us non yuppie-fan-club-member-scum who are in possession of lawn seats do not share your enthusiasm.

junglerules · 07-09-2003, 05:49 PM

Quote:

Originally posted by Buck Turgidson
Those of us non yuppie-fan-club-member-scum who are in possession of lawn seats do not share your enthusiasm.

No crap! I think i'm still squeezing the rain water out of my clothes from that one! It was an experience, to say the least. A Beautiful lightning display, curbed somewhat by the recurring reminder that we, out on the lawn, were all standing under huge metal light fixtures!

Glad I lived to tell about it, though. A great show, from under a tarp flopping in the heavy wind and rain.

Buck Turgidson · 07-09-2003, 05:51 PM

Quote:

Originally posted by junglerules
No crap! I think i'm still squeezing the rain water out of my clothes from that one!

Wasn't at that show, but was at the Floyd show at Rice Stadium back in the day...had a great time, but since I don't take drugs anymore I really don't think I'd like to experience that again.

**Jeff** · 07-09-2003, 05:53 PM

Quote:

Originally posted by rockHEAD
no one know where this thing will go... the last one took a turn up north, it's a crap shoot....

Every year, I read the NOAANHC site every day. I find forcasting storms really interesting.

As the season goes on, the various forcasting models (software) actually get much more accurate - so much so that they began adding a 5-day forcast track this year which they never had prior to this because they were so iffy.

Last year, by the end of the season, they were nailing long-range forcasting.

The problem is that it takes a few storms and a general overview of the summer weather patterns for the models to begin to show accuracy. We saw that with the tropical storm that hit Louisiana. Also, as the season wears on, one or two of the four major models almost always begin to show themselves to be the most accurate of the bunch.

With this one, a lot will depend on when the front that is heading our way gets here. The sooner it gets here and the longer it remains, the more difficult it will be for the storm to turn northward.

mfclark · 07-09-2003, 06:30 PM

Quote:

Originally posted by Jeff
With this one, a lot will depend on when the front that is heading our way gets here. The sooner it gets here and the longer it remains, the more difficult it will be for the storm to turn northward.

Just wanna clear that up quickly:

If the front arrives sooner and then leaves, it'll keep the storm moving more west than north, as the high pressure system currently steering it to the west will be able to build back in. Similarly, if the front didn't make it to Texas or was well delayed in doing so, the storm would continue on a more westerly path.

If the front arrives and lingers, then the front is likely to draw the storm further north, putting the Gulf Coast in greater danger. The longer it remains, the less of the influence of the steering Bermuda high, and the further north the storm is likely to go.

DaDakota · 07-09-2003, 11:14 PM

Actually,

The front will draw it towards itself...it is a low pressure front and pulls things before it.

So, if it stalls out over central Texas it could pull the storm northward....I expect people in Corpus Christi will be heading inland around Saturday.

DD

Mango · 07-10-2003, 12:56 AM

Quote:

Originally posted by DaDakota
Actually,

The front will draw it towards itself...it is a low pressure front and pulls things before it.

So, if it stalls out over central Texas it could pull the storm northward....I expect people in Corpus Christi will be heading inland around Saturday.

DD

I predict a bit higher than Corpus Christi........around Port Lavaca.

The forward speed is likely to slow as it gets into the Gulf of Mexico.

The prediction contest needs to close fairly soon............... Thursday afternoon at 4 pm?