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Chad Ford Mock Draft 3.0

Discussion in 'NBA Draft' started by J.R., May 24, 2011.

  1. J.R.

    J.R. Member

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    http://insider.espn.go.com/nba/draf...ory?columnist=ford_chad&page=MockDraft-110524

    [rquoter]
    The NBA draft combine is now behind us, and for the first time we have credible measurements, plus medical and athletic info on every prospect in the draft.

    This week a number of first-round bubble players are competing in group workouts in Minnesota. From there, NBA teams will start their individual workouts in earnest.

    There is still plenty of wiggle room here, as we're still a month away from the draft. But for now, here's our most informed take, after talking to numerous NBA team sources, about how the draft might play out in June.

    PICK
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    1. Cleveland
    (via L.A. Clippers)
    Kyrie Irving
    Position: PG
    Height: 6-foot-4
    Weight: 191 pounds
    Age: 19
    School: Duke
    Analysis: How sure are we that the Cavs will be selecting Irving? While they say they're bringing in a number of other prospects for a closer look, Irving has only scheduled Cleveland at this time. Unless the Cavs are persuaded to trade the pick, I think Irving is a very safe bet at the top. Long-term, the Cavs have needs everywhere, and Irving is the safest pick in the draft.

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    2. Minnesota
    Derrick Williams
    Position: SF
    Height: 6-9
    Weight: 249
    Age: Turns 20 on May 25
    School: Arizona
    Analysis: Owner Glen Taylor said Monday that he doesn't think the Wolves will trade their pick. That will come as a pretty big surprise to a number of GMs who claim that the Wolves are already talking to teams about the pick. The problem for the Wolves is that Williams plays the same positions as their best two players -- Kevin Love and Michael Beasley.
    They could trade either player (Love especially would welcome a trade), but I'm not sure Williams is an upgrade. That leaves them with dealing this valuable asset and hoping to get back a few solid veterans to stabilize the team. So that's why I'm very confident Williams will go No. 2 -- I'm much less confident on which team will actually do the drafting.

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    3. Utah
    (via New Jersey)
    Brandon Knight
    Position: PG
    Height: 6-3
    Weight: 177
    Age: 18
    School: Kentucky
    Analysis: The Jazz are looking at everything at this point. Trading up, trading down, trading out and then looking at a number of prospects at No. 3. Brandon Knight, Kemba Walker, Jan Vesely, Jonas Valanciunas and Enes Kanter are all in the mix here.
    But of that group, I think Knight has the edge. The Jazz love big guards, players who can defend multiple positions, guards who can shoot the basketball and high-character players. Knight checks off most of those boxes. The rest of the group all are a bit riskier.

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    4. Cleveland
    Enes Kanter
    Position: PF
    Height: 6-11
    Weight: 260
    Age: 19
    Country: Turkey
    Analysis: Kanter had a very good week at the Chicago combine. His measurements established him as a legit NBA center prospect. He played hard, showed he was in great shape and impressed during interviews. But there are still legitimate questions about how all those things will translate at the next level.
    On one hand, he could be the best prospect in the draft. On the other, he could be yet another in a long line of international workout wonders. I do think he'll have major appeal for the Cavs. Not only does he have tremendous upside, but he is tough, can play inside and out, rebounds the basketball and has a higher basketball IQ than most kids his age. You could do a lot worse than building around Irving and Kanter.

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    5. Toronto
    Jan Vesely
    Position: PF
    Height: 6-11
    Weight: 240
    Age: 21
    Country: Czech Republic
    Analysis: I'm still trying to get the pulse of what's happening in Toronto. Now that Bryan Colangelo has his extension, he can afford to take more risks. The question is … who does he gamble on? Last week we had Valanciunas here. He's still in the mix, but I've been told that Vesely is even higher on his list.
    A terrific athlete, Vesely is ready to play right now and adds great size to Toronto's front line. Kemba Walker is also a legit option here and if for some reason Brandon Knight falls, he won't slip past the Raptors.

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    6. Washington
    Kawhi Leonard
    Position: SF
    Height: 6-7
    Weight: 228
    Age: 19
    School: San Diego State
    Analysis: Leonard had a good week in Chicago as well. He measured with a 7-foot-3 wingspan and had the biggest hands in the camp. He also put on a brief shooting display for GMs on Friday morning, showing off a new and improved shot.
    With GM Ernie Grunfeld's job hanging in the balance, he doesn't have a lot of room to take risks -- especially on international players who might not come to Washington for years. Leonard's ability to come in and provide energy, defense and length right away makes him an attractive option and a potential impact player in Year 1.

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    7. Sacramento
    Kemba Walker
    Position: PG
    Height: 6-1
    Weight: 184
    Age: 21
    School: UConn
    Analysis: We continue to keep Walker planted here in Sacramento, though from what I can gather, Geoff Petrie is considering a number of options including trades. Petrie is in the same boat as Grunfeld. His job isn't very safe, and the past two years Petrie has opted for a "sure-thing" player who could produce in Year 1. Walker is that guy at this point in the draft and, as an added bonus, doesn't have the same character issues that Tyreke Evans and DeMarcus Cousins had.

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    8. Detroit
    Jonas Valanciunas
    Position: PF
    Height: 6-10
    Weight: 230
    Age: 19
    Country: Lithuania
    Analysis: For the third straight week, the Pistons' player changes. This time, it's because of opportunity. In the past two mocks I've had Valanciunas going before the eighth pick. If he slides this far, I think the Pistons will grab him.
    Yes, Detroit will also look at both Bismack Biyombo and Tristan Thompson here. But Valanciunas has two things the Pistons covet: size and major upside. They may have to wait on him a year, but many NBA scouts believe he's the most talented international player in the draft.

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    9. Charlotte
    Bismack Biyombo
    Position: PF
    Height: 6-9
    Weight: 243
    Age: 18
    Country: Congo
    Analysis: The Bobcats are desperate for a big man who can defend the paint. Enter Biyombo. How much do we really know about him? Not much. But the Bobcats desperately need his length, athleticism, rebounding and toughness. Michael Jordan has never been afraid to take risks and, if he is sold on Biyombo, he won't be afraid to do it here either.

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    10. Milwaukee
    Tristan Thompson
    Position: PF
    Height: 6-9
    Weight: 228
    Age: 20
    School: Texas
    Analysis: The Bucks are set at center and point guard, but could really use help at the 2, 3 or 4 position. If Thompson slides this far, it might be tough for them to pass on him.
    Thompson would give the Bucks athleticism and toughness in the front court -- something they tried to address during free agency with Drew Gooden last year. He is still a work in progress on the offensive end of the ball, but he may be the best offensive rebounding forward in the draft.

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    11. Golden State
    Marcus Morris
    Position: PF
    Height: 6-9
    Weight: 230
    Age: 21
    School: Kansas
    Analysis: The Warriors have a lot of front court needs, especially at the 5. But without a legit center available at this point, Morris is a serious option for them. His ability to play multiple positions and score the basketball both on the perimeter and in the post, plus his maturity level, make him a great fit in Golden State.

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    12. Utah
    Chris Singleton
    Position: SF
    Height: 6-9
    Weight: 230
    Age: 21
    School: Florida State
    Analysis: With Andrei Kirilenko heading into free agency this summer, the Jazz are set to lose their most versatile defender. Enter Singleton. He's not the most polished offensive player in the world (sound familiar, AK-47 fans?), but his ability to guard multiple positions and his size for his position are intriguing for the Jazz. The question is, with Singleton rising on many draft boards … will he still be here at No. 12? Teams as high as the Raptors at No. 5 are looking at him.

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    13. Phoenix
    Alec Burks
    Position: SG
    Height: 6-6
    Weight: 193
    Age: 19
    School: Colorado
    Analysis: The Suns are in that awkward spot between pushing for the playoffs and rebuilding. Burks takes them decidedly on the rebuilding track. He is one of the best athletes in the draft and should be a good long-term replacement for Vince Carter if he continues to work on his jump shot.

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    14. Houston
    Jordan Hamilton
    Position: SF
    Height: 6-9
    Weight: 229
    Age: 20
    School: Texas
    Analysis: Hamilton was another player who really impressed in Chicago. His size and ability to shoot the basketball combined with his aggressive scoring instincts should fit well in Houston. Since trading away Shane Battier, small forward has been a need.

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    15. Indiana
    Jimmer Fredette
    Position: SG
    Height: 6-3
    Weight: 196
    Age: 22
    School: Brigham Young
    Analysis: Will Pacers fans finally get the real life version of Jimmy Chitwood? Fredette's ability to score the basketball is legendary and actually fits a need for the Pacers. In the fourth quarter of games this season, they really struggled to find a player who could hit the big shot.
    I'm not sure Fredette is the point guard of the future in Indiana. He may be more of a scoring fixture (a la Ben Gordon) coming off the bench. Either way, his ability to contribute right away should give the Pacers another bump as they try to take the next step.

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    16. Philadelphia
    Markieff Morris
    Position: PF/C
    Height: 6-9
    Weight: 241
    Age: 21
    School: Kansas
    Analysis: The Sixers really need a big man, and Morris, a Philly native, is the best left on the board. Morris has a rep as a good defender, shot-blocker and rebounder -- but he also proved at Kansas this year that he can step out and hit the 3. He's a bit rawer than his brother, but he's a good get at this point in the draft.

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    17. New York
    Josh Selby
    Position: PG
    Height: 6-3
    Weight: 195
    Age: 20
    School: Kansas
    Analysis: GM Donnie Walsh may have made the biggest mistake of his career when he passed on a number of terrific young but unproven point guards in 2009 so he could draft Jordan Hill. Brandon Jennings, Ty Lawson and Jrue Holiday -- and even Darren Collison, Eric Maynor and Jeff Teague -- all appear to be on their way to a long NBA career. Don't expect the Knicks to make the same mistake again.
    They've been looking long and hard at Selby for a while, thinking he'd thrive in Mike D'Antoni's system, which allows guards much more freedom than they get at Kansas. Selby has lottery talent but a shaky résumé. It may be a risk taking him this high, but he has a very high upside.

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    18. Washington
    (via Atlanta)
    Klay Thompson
    Position: PG
    Height: 6-7
    Weight: 206
    Age: 21
    School: Washington St.
    Analysis: Nick Young is heading into free agency, and the Wizards could use another shooter in their backcourt to complement Wall. Thompson rivals Fredette as the best shooter in the draft and would be a great fit for the Wizards.

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    19. Charlotte
    (via New Orleans)
    Marshon Brooks
    Position: SG
    Height: 6-5
    Weight: 195
    Age: 22
    School: Providence
    Analysis: Brooks continued his rapid rise on draft boards with a terrific performance in Chicago. Two weeks ago, when I first wrote about him after a workout in Chicago, he sat in the mid-second round on most draft boards. Now there's talk about his ceiling being somewhere in the lottery.
    For now we have Brooks going to a team that could really use an aggressive scorer. Gerald Henderson came on late in the season, but they're totally different players.

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    20. Minnesota
    (via Memphis)
    Donatas Motiejunas
    Position: PF
    Height: 7-0
    Weight: 220
    Age: 19
    Country: Lithuania
    Analysis: The Wolves have the best group of international scouts in the NBA and if Motiejunas falls this far, I think they'd snap him up. He's an aggressive scorer and he has size -- two things the Wolves could use in the post.

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    21. Portland
    Kenneth Faried
    Position: PF
    Height: 6-8
    Weight: 225
    Age: 21
    School: Morehead State
    Analysis: The Blazers fell in love with Faried last year before he withdrew from the draft. If they are fortunate enough to get a second chance at him this year, they'll grab him. His relentlessness on the boards is a nice complement to LaMarcus Aldridge's more offensive-minded style.

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    22. Denver
    Tobias Harris
    Position: PF
    Height: 6-8
    Weight: 223
    Age: 18
    School: Tennessee
    Analysis: Harris may be one of the more underrated players in the draft. He can play both the 3 and 4, and he has a very high basketball IQ and an NBA body. Harris doesn't do any one thing at an elite level, but he is one of the most well-rounded players in the draft.

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    23. Houston
    (via Orlando)
    Reggie Jackson
    Position: PG
    Height: 6-3
    Weight: 208
    Age: 21
    School: Boston College
    Analysis: Kyle Lowry is coming off a career year, but Jackson would give them a very different look. Jackson is a terrific athlete, has a ridiculous 7-foot wingspan and shot the lights out his junior year. He has virtually every quality you look for in a modern NBA point guard and would likely be a good complement to Lowry.

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    24. Oklahoma City
    Nikola Mirotic
    Position: SF
    Height: 6-10
    Weight: 226
    Age: 21
    Country: Serbia
    Analysis: Sam Presti is an opportunist, and he is patient -- two critical traits in a great GM. Mirotic, based on talent, is a lottery pick. But a massive buyout means he won't be playing in the NBA anytime soon. If he stays in the draft -- a big "if" at this point -- someone will gamble on him. If it's Presti, he could be getting a major steal down the road.

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    25. Boston
    Nikola Vucevic
    Position: C
    Height:7-0
    Weight: 260
    Age: 20
    School: USC
    Analysis: The Celtics need size and Vucevic was one of the players who helped his draft stock the most the past week in Chicago. His measurements were off the charts and gave teams hope he could be a legit NBA center. Given his skill in the post, he could be a steal at this point in the draft.

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    26. Dallas
    Davis Bertans
    Position: SF
    Height: 6-10
    Weight: 210
    Age: 18
    Country: Latvia
    Analysis: It's unfair to compare any young European player to Dirk Nowitzki. But after watching Bertans shoot the lights out in practices at the Nike Hoop Summit, that's how some scouts were referring to him. Bertans doesn't have Nowitzki's size or strength and looks to be a pretty serious project. But long-term, he could be a really nice addition.

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    27. New Jersey
    (via L.A. Lakers)
    Justin Harper
    Position: PF
    Height: 6-9
    Weight: 228
    Age: 21
    School: Richmond
    Analysis: Harper fits a need for New Jersey. He is big and athletic and can shoot the ball with range. After experimenting with guys like Yi Jianlian and Troy Murphy in this role over the past few years, Harper is cheaper and has more upside.

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    28. Chicago
    (via Miami)
    Tyler Honeycutt
    Position: G/F
    Height: 6-8
    Weight: 187
    Age: 20
    School: UCLA
    Analysis: The Bulls continue to look for long-term answers at the 2, and Honeycutt could be a really nice steal here if he slides this far. He not only has a great basketball IQ and the ability to handle the ball but is also a good shooter who can stretch the defense.

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    29. San Antonio
    Jeremy Tyler
    Position: C
    Height: 6-11
    Weight: 263
    Age: 19
    Team: Tokyo Apache
    Analysis: The Spurs have done a good job over the years of finding young international players and stashing them overseas for a few years until they're ready. Tyler doesn't quite fit that model. He stashed himself overseas … but the point is he's got tremendous upside for a team willing to be patient with him. Given the strong reaction to Tyler at the predraft camp, I'm not sure he lasts this long on the draft board.

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    30. Chicago
    Charles Jenkins
    Position: SG
    Height: 6-3
    Weight: 217
    Age: 22
    School: Hofstra
    Analysis: The Bulls need scorers in their backcourt and ultimately need to find a backup for Derrick Rose at point guard. Jenkins' ability to play both backcourt positions is intriguing. He is big, strong, a very good shooter and one of the best pure scorers in the draft. He is a real sleeper.

    Next Five In: Nolan Smith
    , G, Duke;
    Darius Morris
    , PG, Michigan;
    Jordan Williams
    , F/C, Maryland;
    Lucas Nogueira
    , C, Brazil;
    Travis Leslie
    , SG, Georgia

    [/rquoter]
     
    2 people like this.
  2. Ricksmith

    Ricksmith Contributing Member

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    Thanks for posting. Surprised to see Bebe out of the 1st and Jeremy Tyler in. I would be OK with Hamilton, but would prefer to move up (I know this is if everyone stays put) and grab another SF or PF/C.
     
  3. desi tmac91

    desi tmac91 Member

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    Thanks for posting.

    Reggie Jackson has been impressing a lot of teams, dude has a great NBA body and a good work ethic to go along with it. Apparently the Celtics have promised to that they will take him at the 25th pick if he was available. Jackson would be the 3rd point guard on the roster and gives the Rockets a backup plan for next season when Goran Dragic's contract expires. Dragic has been very impressive and I hope that he's a Rocket for many years to come but if he's going to cost the Rockets a big contract to keep him around then it might be time to move on from him, and play a much cheaper backup to Lowry. However, I am still much in favor of taking an international prospect at this pick and stashes him away in Europe for a few years.

    Something to take note of is that Ford has Donatas Motiejunas dropping all the way to the 20th pick. Hamilton wouldn't be a bad pick for the Rockets but it would be tough for them to pass up on a center oozing with potential like Motiejunas.

    Also Ford lists his top 5 prospects for the 2nd round and ranks Lucas Nogueira (assuming he was ranking them instead of placing them in a random order) as going 34th. Nogueira is an extremely raw prospect out of Brazil but he's got great potential to be a defensive anchor in the NBA, if he slips a bit further to the Rockets at #36 then that would be a HUGE steal.
     
  4. coachbadlee

    coachbadlee Member

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    I noticed that Marshon Brooks is shooting up in the draft over the past week or so. I gaurantee this kid will not make it out of the lottery. Especially with a whole month left for the draft. He would be my pick for #14, but he will probably go at 12 or 13. Vucevic would be my pick for 23. He has an Enes Kanter kind of vibe.
     
  5. jopatmc

    jopatmc Contributing Member

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    I agree with all this except I still feel we would be better suited to draft Butler in the second over the Noguiera project, especially if we already got another big in the first. And if we haven't gotten a big in the first, I would still take that Oakland boy or Jordan Williams over the Noguiera kid.

    And yes, I think the point guard idea makes a ton of sense.

    One thing I've noticed about Morey. He drafts guys late at positions where there are a lot of good players at, so he can keep trading out and up. It would not surprise me one bit if he drafted either Jackson or Jenkins if we indeed pick towards the end of the first. And then he gets the new coach to give Dragic major burn to run his value up through the roof before he trades either him or Lowry.

    This draft is a guard heavy draft and more specifically it is a point guard heavy draft. And I'm sorry but Jackson and/or Jenkins could very well have just as good if not a better career than Kemba. When you lump Kyrie, Knight, and Kemba together against Jimmer, Jackson, and Jenkins, there is not much of a spread. And their values will get watered down in a league that is point guard dominant right now.

    I have been watching this Vucevic kid. Still not sold on him. Not really sold on any bigs in this draft being anything more than bigs that take up space other than Kanter and Biyombo. One of those guys or one of Derrick Williams, Vesely, or Marcus Morris (small forwards) should be our first targets in this draft.
     
  6. Commodore

    Commodore Contributing Member

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    What is the basis for this claim?
     
  7. Ricksmith

    Ricksmith Contributing Member

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    Another thing I forgot to mention. 1 of the analyst, I wanna say Chad Ford, said something about his shoulders being broader than Lucas'. If he is truly that skinny, I definitely wouldn't use a 1st on him. It will be hard for him to put on adequate weight. I'm still interested in drafting him and seeing what he can do in a few years, but he seriously needs to bulk up.
     
  8. Seven

    Seven Contributing Member

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    I would like to know where he got this also. Could be true, but the only international player they have on their roster is Nikola Pekovic.

    They do have quite a few international players stashed overseas, but they're all unproven (Paulo Prestes, Rubio, Nemanja Bjelica, Henk Norel). All are talented prospects...but unproven none-the-less.
     
  9. desi tmac91

    desi tmac91 Member

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    All were drafted by Minnesota in the past two drafts. I guess what Ford meant is that no team puts a stronger emphasis on international scouting than the Wolves.

    Bjelica is extremely talented by the way.

    Right. Having 3 center projects on the roster might be a bit much but from a value standpoint they would be great picks at #14 and #36. I'm not well informed of many prospects expected to go in the 2nd round so I'll take your word for it.
     
  10. Commodore

    Commodore Contributing Member

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    [​IMG]
     
  11. Joe Joe

    Joe Joe Go Stros!
    Supporting Member

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    No way Mirotic is passed twice by the Rockets. He is an excellent canidate in a weak draft to gedt stashed overseas while his buyout becomes more manageable.
     
  12. Seven

    Seven Contributing Member

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    LOL. That's such an epic pick.
     
  13. JMAD21

    JMAD21 Member

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    I like Hamilton at 14 but do we really need another PG? Id rather take a chance with a bug guy
     
  14. JMAD21

    JMAD21 Member

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    Fixed
     
  15. T-Slack

    T-Slack Member

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    Does anybody know anything about Davis Bertans? The dude is only 18 and they say he can shoot like Dirk.
     
  16. Seven

    Seven Contributing Member

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    Could you share what you know about Vucevic. From just looking at his numbers, he appears to be a solid rebounder. He also appears to have a decent jumper, but i really don't know much about him other than he measured very well.
     
  17. Seven

    Seven Contributing Member

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    Add Keith Benson to that list....his shotblocking/rebounding is intriguing.
     
  18. crash5179

    crash5179 Contributing Member

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    When did Jordan Hamilton become a PG?
     
  19. CJLarson

    CJLarson Member

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    He's referring to the pick at 23.
     
  20. OHMSS

    OHMSS Rookie

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    Mirotic's nationality is Spain and his heritage is Montenegrin. Yet they list him as "Serbian". These writers are all hacks.
     

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