There is something about FSU. I don't like their QB, their coach, or anything about them. They feel "sleazy." Auburn will upset Alabama, and throw the playoff into chaos.
So, probably should be Oregon, Florida St, Alabama and Mississippi St. Baylor, TCU and (ugh) Ohio St. as the 1st 3 out I know it's a recent loss, but there is no reason Miss St. should fall out of the top 4 as of right now, they still have a better resume than the first 3 out IMO.
If it keeps playing out as it looks like. MSU is going to have 0 top 25 wins if Auburn loses to Bama.
That's not how it works. All official tallies of top 25 wins are based on what teams are ranked at at the time the game is played.
You might want to go look at some interviews from Jeff Long. For example, He was saying this week that TCU had 2 top 25 wins in K State and Minnesota and BU only had 1 in TCU. Both BU and TCU beat OU when they were ranked but they weren't in the top 25 in last weeks playoff rankings.
Ole Miss, even with another loss, should be ranked, assuming they beat Arkansas. Auburn also might remain ranked with 4 losses - other teams below them will be losing a lot too, so you do tend to have some 4 loss teams ranked at the end of the season.