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[2016] Hurricane Season

Discussion in 'BBS Hangout' started by Cohete Rojo, May 14, 2016.

  1. Cohete Rojo

    Cohete Rojo Contributing Member

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    Average season forecasted. Transition to La Niña to reduce windshear - making hurricanes more likely than last year. However, might see negative AMDO.

    [rQUOTEr]We anticipate that the 2016 Atlantic basin hurricane season will have approximately
    average activity. The current weakening El Niño is likely to transition to either neutral or
    La Niña conditions by the peak of the Atlantic hurricane season. While the tropical
    Atlantic is relatively warm, the far North Atlantic is quite cold, potentially indicative of a
    negative phase of the Atlantic Multi-Decadal Oscillation. We anticipate a near-average
    probability for major hurricanes making landfall along the United States coastline and in
    the Caribbean. As is the case with all hurricane seasons, coastal residents are reminded
    that it only takes one hurricane making landfall to make it an active season for them.
    They should prepare the same for every season, regardless of how much activity is
    predicted.

    http://hurricane.atmos.colostate.edu/forecasts/2016/apr2016/apr2016.pdf[/rQUOTEr]
     
  2. snowconeman22

    snowconeman22 Member

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    Slightly off topic but can't find the weather thread ... Holy **** !! Anyone else just get a severe downpour . These streets flooded fast
     
  3. A_3PO

    A_3PO Member

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    For about 20 mins, it was spectacular in Mo City. Just wow!
     
  4. CJLarson

    CJLarson Member

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    I was on the East side. I legit had to drive 5 mph down a road and still had major vision problems. Pulled over to a church parking lot and it began hailing. Absolute heaviest rain I've ever driven in.
     
  5. vstexas09

    vstexas09 Contributing Member

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    I live on the East Side..

    never seen it hail that badly...wow...
     
  6. snowconeman22

    snowconeman22 Member

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    I pulled up in someone's driveway and walked home . My car is fairly low to the ground and the atwell/ willowbend area is a mess when it comes to drainage
     
  7. cheke64

    cheke64 Member

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    Houston will be underwater soon. I'm moving to colorado high in the peaks of Mount Olympus.
     
  8. Cohete Rojo

    Cohete Rojo Contributing Member

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    Last year's forecast was fairly accurate, as was their forecast of the year before that.

    10 years since a major hurricane made landfall in the US, and also:

     
  9. Cohete Rojo

    Cohete Rojo Contributing Member

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    Today marks the one-year anniversary of Tropical Storm Bill.

    #wehaverebuilt
     
  10. Hustle Town

    Hustle Town Contributing Member

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    [​IMG]
     
  11. fallenphoenix

    fallenphoenix Contributing Member

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    I thought hurricane season was ova!
     
  12. Xenon

    Xenon Contributing Member

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    Looks like we might get something in the BoC soon. More than likely Mexico bound.

    [​IMG]
     
  13. Dr of Dunk

    Dr of Dunk Clutch Crew

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  14. davidio840

    davidio840 Contributing Member

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    Here we go.. Something to look out for as the week progresses

    [​IMG]
     
  15. Cohete Rojo

    Cohete Rojo Contributing Member

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  16. Cohete Rojo

    Cohete Rojo Contributing Member

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    Table below (and pic).
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/climo/#bac

    <left>
    <table border="3" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="1" width="40%">
    <caption align="left"><b>Table 1.</b> Progress of the average Atlantic season
    (1966-2009). Date upon which the following number of events
    would normally have occurred.</caption>
    <tbody><tr align="center">
    <th id="a1">Number</th>
    <th id="a2">Named systems</th>
    <th id="a3">Hurricanes</th>
    <th id="a4">Category 3 or greater</th>
    </tr><tr align="center"><td headers="a1">1</td><td headers="a2">July 9</td><td headers="a3">Aug 10</td><td headers="a4">Sep 4</td>
    </tr><tr align="center"><td headers="a1">2</td><td headers="a2">Aug 1 </td><td headers="a3">Aug 28</td><td headers="a4">Oct 3</td>
    </tr><tr align="center"><td headers="a1">3</td><td headers="a2">Aug 13 </td><td headers="a3">Sep 9</td><td headers="a4">-</td>
    </tr><tr align="center"><td headers="a1">4</td><td headers="a2">Aug 23 </td><td headers="a3">Sep 21</td><td headers="a4">-</td>
    </tr><tr align="center"><td headers="a1">5</td><td headers="a2">Aug 31 </td><td headers="a3">Oct 7</td><td headers="a4">-</td>
    </tr><tr align="center"><td headers="a1">6</td><td headers="a2">Sep 8 </td><td headers="a3">Nov 23</td><td headers="a4">-</td>
    </tr><tr align="center"><td headers="a1">7</td><td headers="a2">Sep 16 </td><td headers="a3">-</td><td headers="a4">-</td>
    </tr><tr align="center"><td headers="a1">8</td><td headers="a2">Sep 24 </td><td headers="a3">-</td><td headers="a4">-</td>
    </tr><tr align="center"><td headers="a1">9</td><td headers="a2">Oct 4 </td><td headers="a3">-</td><td headers="a4">-</td>
    </tr><tr align="center"><td headers="a1">10</td><td headers="a2">Oct 19 </td><td headers="a3">-</td><td headers="a4">-</td>
    </tr><tr align="center"><td headers="a1">11</td><td headers="a2">Nov 23 </td><td headers="a3">-</td><td headers="a4">-</td>
    </tr></tbody></table>
    </left>

    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/climo/images/c*m-average_Atl_1966-2009.gif
     
  17. Cohete Rojo

    Cohete Rojo Contributing Member

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    A disturbance in Louisiana right now.
     
  18. Buck Turgidson

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    Doesn't that happen every day somewhere between Baton Rouge and New Orleans?
     
  19. roxxfan

    roxxfan Contributing Member

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    I'm still recovering from Tropical Storm Bill.

    #neverforget
     
  20. Cohete Rojo

    Cohete Rojo Contributing Member

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    [rQUOTEr]Man Drowns in Louisiana Flooding; Evacuations and Rescues Ongoing as Rivers Rise Toward Record Crests

    Torrential rains have hit both Louisiana and southern Mississippi, flooding homes, forcing evacuations and water rescues, and sending area rivers rising quickly toward historic crests.

    More than 17 inches of rain have fallen in Livingston, Louisiana, according to observations relayed to the National Weather Service, and Gov. John Bel Edwards declared a state of emergency for the entire state. The heavy rain will continue over Louisiana and Mississippi through at least Saturday morning, said weather.com meteorologist Tom Moore.

    "It's going to going to get a whole lot worse before it gets better," Moore said.

    The flooding has already claimed one life. A 68-year-old man has drowned trying to escape floodwaters near Zachary, Louisiana, as heavy rains piled up water in the northeastern regions of the state, WAFB.com reported.

    ...
    [/rQUOTEr]
     

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