Instead of going by polls lets look at betting odds since betting lines are based on money. http://sports.ladbrokes.com/en-gb/p...election/2012-us-presidential-race-e212304268 Odds for Obama: 2/5 odds for Romney: 15/8 In terms of percentages: Obama 71.4% Romney: 34.7% I will try to keep this updated.
The entire right wing media is lying through their teeth trying to convince working class voters to not even bother voting since a Romney victory is inevitable.
Odds for today: Obama: 4/11 73% Romney: 2/1 33% Here is an opportunity to use Arbitrage to make money. Unfortunately ladbroker won't let you register from the US. The odds at intrade have obama pegged at 58% and ladbroker has romney at 33%. However the probability of one of them winning is a 100%. So there is 9% free money is you live outside the US.
http://www.oddschecker.com/politics/us-politics/us-presidential-election-2016/winner Given bettors are pretty accurate lets see what the gamblers are saying What are the presidential odds today? Hillary: ~52% Marco: ~28.5% Trump ~14% Sanders ~ 12.5%
Posted ont his years ago, but these markets usually tend to be a reflection of popular sentiment/polling rather than tapping into any unique wisdom of crowds.
While I think these markets are useful, yesterday they had trump instead of rubio in second They also had trump winning Iowa. Trumps president odds tanked after losing. Like any market it takes into account all available info, so it takes some interpretation
