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[2014] Hurricane Season

Discussion in 'BBS Hangout' started by davidio840, Jun 4, 2014.

  1. davidio840

    davidio840 Contributing Member

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    There is some possible development in the BOC going on. May be something, may be not. Only time will tell. Here are a few model runs as of this afternoon. The Navgem and Euro have been catching on to it.

    [​IMG]

    [​IMG]

    Models don't really have it moving for a few days. It will be interesting to see what happens.
    <script async="" src="//platform.twitter.com/widgets.js" charset="utf-8"></script><iframe style="display: none;" allowtransparency="true" scrolling="no" id="rufous-sandbox" frameborder="0"></iframe>
     
  2. Moleb

    Moleb Member

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    looks like the 2nd model has it going to Louisiana. Man they cant catch a break.
     
  3. davidio840

    davidio840 Contributing Member

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    With the Spurs being in the NBA finals I was reminded of a silly correlation I read about years ago and thought I would share it. Unfortunately I don't remember where I read it so I don't have a link to post. Every year the Spurs have won the NBA championship the Texas coast has been hit by a hurricane.

    1999 - Hurricane Brett hit Padre Island
    2003- Hurricane Claudette hit near Port O Connor
    2005- Do I really need to say anything. Hurricane Rita
    2007 - Hurricane Humberto hit near the TX/LA border
     
    1 person likes this.
  4. LonghornFan

    LonghornFan Contributing Member

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    Please wait until after Sunday and don't mess up the gulf! I want a peaceful flight to the BVI. Thanks.
     
  5. HPD

    HPD Member

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    Crap heading to Destin next week....
     
  6. Roc Paint

    Roc Paint Contributing Member

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    I always fear the first storm of the season.

    Alicia
    Alison

    These two have put a beat down on Houston.
     
  7. SwoLy-D

    SwoLy-D Contributing Member

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    Any of you hurricane follower peeps have any interest in the Pacific hurricanes Julio and Iselle? :confused:

    FIRST HURRICANES in 22 years :eek:

    [​IMG]

    [​IMG]

    <iframe width='416' height='234' src='http://www.cnn.com/video/api/embed.html#/video/weather/2014/08/07/lklv-steele-two-hurricanes-spinning-toward-hawaii.cnn' frameborder='0'></iframe>
     
    #7 SwoLy-D, Aug 8, 2014
    Last edited: Aug 8, 2014
  8. davidio840

    davidio840 Contributing Member

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    May need to pay attention to this little thing blowing up in the E. Gulf.

    [​IMG]

    It is starting to get some model support now for later this week:

    Yesterdays HWRF model

    [​IMG]


    Some of today's models:

    [​IMG][​IMG]
     
  9. davidio840

    davidio840 Contributing Member

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    In addition to the above, this is not an uncommon thing. This is 2008 (Tropical Storm Edouard)

    [​IMG][​IMG]
     
  10. SwoLy-D

    SwoLy-D Contributing Member

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    Ha. That last picture with the HURRICANE and then Thunderstorm circle and then triangle makes it seem like it's pointing from around South Oklahoma out to the Gulf. :grin:

    ->->->-O-O-O
     
  11. davidio840

    davidio840 Contributing Member

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    Something to certainly keep an eye on over the weekend into early next week.

    .



    [​IMG]

    [​IMG]
     
  12. SwoLy-D

    SwoLy-D Contributing Member

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    You posted that two weeks ago, but it's actually a "CURRENT" conditions .GIF that has its date at the bottom... it's current to what's going on at the time you load it.

    :eek: DANG, Florida... about to get some GARM type news... ("splash!" ;) )
     
  13. davidio840

    davidio840 Contributing Member

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    Yes that is correct :grin:
     
  14. Bäumer

    Bäumer Contributing Member

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    [​IMG]

    The storm intensity forecast.

    Looks like a fun weekend for Houston or New Orleans. Almost all of the models I saw yesterday had it curving to the Northeast but only a few today show that.
     
  15. LonghornFan

    LonghornFan Contributing Member

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    There are two fronts on the way. It ain't gonna make it here.
     
  16. davidio840

    davidio840 Contributing Member

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    It very well could be as that "cold front" won't be making it here as earlier expected.
     
  17. davidio840

    davidio840 Contributing Member

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    That so called 'monster cold front' is expected to be much less of an issue now across the NW Gulf. In fact, it may struggle to even make to Coastal Texas/Louisiana since most of the upper level support has shifted Eastward.

    If the storm were to strengthen rapidly in the Gulf (which isn't out of the question at all), it will likely move poleward into LA or Mississippi. Currently there is a High pressure over the SE and will be moving eastward and the storm will ride along the southern edge of the High straight westward.

    Just updated:

    [​IMG]


    EDIT: The ECMWF (Euro Model) just came out and takes this into Texas near Freeport area as a weak tropical storm/rain maker.
     
    #17 davidio840, Sep 11, 2014
    Last edited: Sep 11, 2014
  18. davidio840

    davidio840 Contributing Member

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  19. mogrod

    mogrod Contributing Member

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    I know very hard to predict this far out, but what kind of time table we guesstimating it will hit Texas (if it does)?

    The fam going on a weekend getaway to Galveston next weekend.
     
  20. LonghornFan

    LonghornFan Contributing Member

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    4-5 days is the word on the streets, playa.
     

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