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2016 General Election Polling Thread

Discussion in 'BBS Hangout: Debate & Discussion' started by Carl Herrera, Jul 30, 2016.

  1. peleincubus

    peleincubus Member

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    A new poll came out for Georgia with Trump up by 4 or 5.

    I guess it's over. Trump for president.
     
  2. Air Langhi

    Air Langhi Contributing Member

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    Yep black people are the only reason those states are poor.

    COL is higher in NY and California are higher because people actually want live there. Same with London, Paris, Tokyo, etc. No one wants to live in mobile Alabama.
     
  3. The Cat

    The Cat Contributing Member

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    Trump has a narrow lead in a battleground state!

    <blockquote class="twitter-tweet" data-lang="en"><p lang="en" dir="ltr">More Trump problems: Leads in Texas by only 6% in a new <a href="https://twitter.com/ppppolls">@ppppolls</a>. The most Red state you can think about <a href="https://t.co/jKO1HYDbDx">pic.twitter.com/jKO1HYDbDx</a></p>&mdash; Amichai Stein (@AmichaiStein1) <a href="https://twitter.com/AmichaiStein1/status/765573486068830208">August 16, 2016</a></blockquote>
    <script async src="//platform.twitter.com/widgets.js" charset="utf-8"></script>

    Err...
     
  4. peleincubus

    peleincubus Member

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    Trump leading in Mississippi!!
     
  5. pirc1

    pirc1 Contributing Member

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    Don't forget Alabama!
     
  6. T_Man

    T_Man Contributing Member

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    And Indiana...

    T_Man
     
  7. Rashmon

    Rashmon Contributing Member

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    You forgot Poland!
     
  8. CometsWin

    CometsWin Breaker Breaker One Nine

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    You forgot Serbia!

    [​IMG]

    The activists, led by the head of Serbia’s ultranationalist Radical Party, Vojislav Seselj, chanted “Donald Trump!” and marched outside the country’s Parliament wearing T-shirts bearing the name and likeness of the American candidate.

    Speaking to his supporters in somewhat broken English, Seselj said that the message for Serbian-Americans was simple: “Vote Trump, for future of Serbia.” In his own language he told Reuters later: “Trump is the alternative to globalization. He will destroy old centers of power in the United States and he is a supporter of Russia.” The Serb nationalist also praised Trump for “restoring American pride.”

    Seselj, who helped incite the ethnic cleansing of parts of Bosnia, Croatia, and Serbia in the 1990s — by recruiting volunteer fighters and calling non-Serbs “primates,” vampires,” and “excrement” — was acquitted of crimes against humanity and war crimes in a split decision by a panel of three judges at the United Nations court in The Hague in March.

    https://theintercept.com/2016/08/16...nsing-bosnia-leads-vote-trump-rally-belgrade/
     
  9. JeffB

    JeffB Contributing Member
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    Pew Research Center has Clinton up 41% to 37%:

    Currently, 41% of registered voters say they would vote for Hillary Clinton if the general election were held today, while 37% say they would vote for Donald Trump, 10% say they would vote for Gary Johnson and 4% say they would vote for Jill Stein.

    Differences in support across demographic groups are largely consistent with preferences at earlier points in this cycle.

    There continues to be a sizable gender gap in vote preferences: Women favor Clinton over Trump by 19 percentage points (49% to 30%), while men back Trump by a 12-point margin (45% to 33%).

    Educational differences also are substantial, especially among white voters. Overall, voters with postgraduate degrees favor Clinton by a wide margin (59% vs. 21%), with 10% and 5% expressing support for Johnson and Stein, respectively. College graduates also favor Clinton (47% vs. 34%). Preferences are divided among those with some college experience or less: 41% back Trump, 36% favor Clinton (9% say Johnson and 5% Stein).

    White voters without a college degree support Trump by roughly two-to-one (51% vs. 26%). By a smaller margin, college-educated white voters support Clinton (47%) over Trump (33%).

    And divides across religious groups continue to be wide, as white evangelical Protestant voters overwhelmingly show support for Trump over Clinton in the four-way contest (63% vs. 17%). By contrast, religiously unaffiliated voters are more likely to rally around Clinton than Trump: 56% back her, compared with 19% who support Trump, 13% who prefer Johnson and 5% who would vote for Stein.
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    Supporters of both candidates continue to voice attitudes of “negative voting” more now than in the past few presidential cycles. Those who choose Clinton or Trump in the four-way contest express mixed views as to whether their vote is more for their own candidate, or against the opposing candidate.

    Among Trump supporters, 44% say their choice is more a vote for Trump than a vote against Clinton, compared with 53% who say their vote is more against Clinton than for Trump. Those who support Clinton are slightly more likely to say their vote is more for the candidate (53%) than to say their vote is against Trump (46%).

    Eight years ago, far more supporters said their choice was more a vote for their candidate than said it was a vote against the opposing candidate. In August 2008, 59% of voters who favored John McCain thought of their choice as more for McCain, compared with 35% who said it was a vote against Barack Obama. And fully 68% of those who supported Obama said their vote was more for Obama, more than twice as many as said their choice was more a vote against McCain (25%).
     
  10. Cohete Rojo

    Cohete Rojo Contributing Member

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    Deez Nuts trumps Stein in Texas poll.
    [rQUOTEr]

    Green Party's Jill Stein tied with dead gorilla Harambe and lost to 'Deez Nuts' in Texas poll


    The results are in. Texans would rather vote for Deez Nuts, a fictional politician and prankster, than for the Green Party's Jill Stein. And the percentage backing Stein is the same as that expressing support for Harambe, the gorilla killed earlier this year in a Cincinnati zoo.

    Public Policy Polling (PPP) on Tuesday released its Texas poll data — an offbeat new survey — and found that only 2 percent would vote for Stein. Harambe also garnered 2 percent of supporters in this unconventional poll.

    ...[/rQUOTEr]
     
  11. JeffB

    JeffB Contributing Member
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    Donald Trump and Hillary Clinton are neck and neck in North Carolina, a state solidifying its position as a perennial presidential election battleground, while Trump holds a 5-point lead in the traditionally GOP-tilting state of Arizona, according to new CNN/ORC battleground state polls.

    Trump is the choice of 43% of registered voters in Arizona, while Clinton stands at 38%, followed by Libertarian candidate Gary Johnson at 12% and Green Party nominee Jill Stein at 4%. In North Carolina, Clinton stands at 44%, Trump at 43% and Johnson at 11%. Stein will not appear on the ballot there.
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    Both North Carolina and Arizona also illustrate the challenges Trump may face in his newly launched effort to appeal to minority voters. In North Carolina, more than 20% of the electorate was black in 2012, and about 18% of Arizona voters were Latino, according to exit polls in each state.

    In the new polls, Trump trails by a wide margin in both subgroups. Among blacks in North Carolina, 88% say they support Clinton, 7% Johnson and just 3% Trump. Among Hispanic voters in Arizona, 57% back Clinton, 20% Trump, 15% Johnson and 5% Stein. A key component of Trump's pitch to these groups is his claim to be able to improve their economic situation, yet in both states, non-whites broadly trust Clinton over Trump on handling the economy, with Hispanics in Arizona breaking 61% to 36% in Clinton's favor and blacks in North Carolina breaking 85% for Clinton to 12% for Trump.

    There's a gender gap between Clinton and Trump in North Carolina, but women and men in Arizona are largely on the same page. Women break 48% to 40% in Clinton's favor in North Carolina, while men break 47% Trump to 40% Clinton. In Arizona, women and men both favor Trump by narrow margins, 4 points among women, 5 points among men.

    Trump's lead in Arizona is also bolstered by support from independent voters, who back him by a 41% to 27% margin, with 20% behind Johnson. In North Carolina, independent voters are more evenly split, 40% Trump to 38% Clinton with 18% behind Johnson.

    In both states, Trump has an edge over Clinton as more trusted to handle both the economy and terrorism, two top issues for voters nationally. Voters in both states say Clinton is better able to handle foreign policy. In Arizona, where immigration policy has been a front-and-center issue for years, Trump holds a 6-point lead as more trusted on that issue, and he also narrowly tops Clinton by 3 points on handling health care. Arizona has been deeply affected by insurers curtailing their presence in the health care exchanges created by the Affordable Care Act, also known as Obamacare, with Pinal County becoming the first in the nation where no insurers are selling their policies on the exchange there.

    In North Carolina, Clinton and Trump are about even on who would better handle immigration (49% choose Trump, 47% Clinton), and Clinton has a 5-point lead on handling health care.

    Clinton's position in North Carolina is bolstered by a sense that she can better handle the responsibilities that come with being commander in chief (50% trust her vs. 43% who trust Trump on that score) and that she better shares voters values (47% think Clinton does, 42% Trump). Trump tops Clinton as more honest and trustworthy (49% to 39%), and 11% say neither major party candidate for president has the edge on honesty.

    In Arizona, the share who see neither as honest and trustworthy rises to 16%, and Trump continues to top Clinton on that measure (49% to 33%). The two are closer on shared values in the western battleground (44% Trump to 43% Clinton), but Clinton holds a 5-point lead as a better commander in chief. Among veterans, however, Trump tops Clinton on that in both states. In Arizona, veterans say Trump would better handle being commander-in-chief by a 56% to 35% margin; in North Carolina, it's a narrower 49% to 42%. Trump also holds an overall lead in veterans' vote preference in both places.
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    The CNN/ORC polls in Arizona and North Carolina were conducted by telephone August 18 through 23. In Arizona, 1,003 adults were interviewed in English or Spanish depending on the respondent's preference, including 842 registered voters. In North Carolina, the sample of 1,009 adults included 912 registered voters. The margin of sampling error for results among registered voters is 3.5 percentage points in each state.


    http://www.cnn.com/2016/08/24/politics/arizona-north-carolina-polls-trump-clinton/index.html
     
    #131 JeffB, Aug 24, 2016
    Last edited: Aug 24, 2016

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