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2015 MLB Draft

Discussion in 'Houston Astros' started by Drew_Le, Jul 25, 2014.

  1. No Worries

    No Worries Contributing Member

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    Golden Spikes Spotlight: Dillon Tate

    By Kendall Rogers - Apr 7, 2015

    SANTA BARBARA, Calif. – Each time UC Santa Barbara prized junior righthander Dillon Tate takes the mound at Caesar Uyesaka Stadium, it’s further validation of what hard work can sometimes lead to for baseball players.

    UCS Santa Barbara logoWalk into the ballpark nestled along the Pacific Ocean, and it’s always easy to tell when Tate is on the mound. The scouts and radar guns combined outnumber fans in the lower bowl of the ballpark, and there’s just that constant buzz in the air each time No. 17 takes the mound for the Gauchos.

    That’s been the story of Tate’s life the past couple of months. The talented righthander entered the 2015 campaign with high hopes after putting together an impressive summer with the USA Baseball Collegiate National Team. But as dominant as Tate was out of the bullpen, UCSB head coach Andrew Checketts decided to move his power-armed righthander into the rotation when projected starter Dominic Mazza tweaked his ankle just before opening weekend. And from there, Tate’s evolved into one of the premier arms — if not the premier arm — in the country. Tate has displayed explosive stuff in each of his starts, and a lot of buzz on the scouting circuit has the 6-foot-2, 200-pounder as one of the leading candidates to be the top overall draft pick.

    In many instances when it comes to the draft, you could say the hype might outweigh the substance. But that couldn’t be further from the truth with Tate, whose imposing presence and overall stuff is very impressive. But Tate is a self-made man. He wasn’t some high-profile prospect out of high school. As a matter of fact, he went undrafted, and there were plenty of question marks about whether he could even be a significant contributor for the Gauchos.

    But, boy, has that all changed. Tate, who has a 1.34 ERA in 60.2 innings, along with 67 strikeouts and 16 walks, is truly one of the great college baseball success stories.

    “You get to see the stuff from him a lot more as a starting pitcher as opposed to a closer because you’re not using as many pitches as a closer. You saw that fastball and slider as a closer, but you’re seeing it all now,” UC Santa Barbara head coach Andrew Checketts said. “His velocity in the closer role has a chance to be more upper 90s, and potentially touching 100, if he was a back-end guy. But he’s been phenomenal as a starting pitcher. Pretty electric.”

    Electric indeed, and even more astonishing considering where Dillon Tate came from.

    Tate’s hard work pays off

    While many current high-profile college junior pitchers had options coming out of high school, Dillon Tate definitely wasn’t one of those guys.

    Tate was a skinny 165-pounder in high school, and his stuff certainly wasn’t in the same vicinity as it is today. The righthander was a mid-80s pitcher his junior season in Claremont (Calif.) High, and it was then Checketts and the Gauchos decided he was worth investing some scholarship money in, even though he was not ranked anywhere near the top of prospect lists. Sure, Tate didn’t have the premium velocity or size, but Checketts felt like, with a little hard work, he could involve into a quality bullpen option.

    “There was some arm strength there. He had a quick and loose arm, and that led us to believe, along with his delivery, that there was a chance for more velocity in there,” Checketts said. “Then, by the senior year of high school he was up to 90-91, and the summer after he went undrafted, he was up to 93-94. So we knew there was some arm strength there.

    “But that was only one part of it. Sure, Dillon threw hard by the time he went to college, but he didn’t have the secondary stuff, he didn’t have any feel for offspeed stuff, and his breaking ball was 62 mph, and by the way, he couldn’t throw it for strikes. It was just a really, really slow 12-6 curveball.

    “I don’t know if we saw him being a prospect type of pitcher, and I’m not sure we ever saw him being a true four-pitch-mix guy like he is now,” Checketts continued. “We thought he could be a back-end-of-the-bullpen arm strength type of guy, and potentially not much else. He was just raw, and he didn’t have very good command at all.”

    Most pitchers with 90-plus velocity out of high school would have a legitimate chance to be an instant impact type of guy with the usual limited pitching depth some of the smaller programs in college baseball tend to have. But Tate had trouble finding his way in his first season with the Gauchos. As the Gauchos fought their way to a regional, Tate found himself on the sidelines. He made just four appearances as a freshman and had an ERA of nine in just three innings.

    There was a good reason why he rarely threw as a freshman.

    “It’s crazy to think about, but his freshman year, he literally couldn’t get out of an inning in an intrasquad game. He couldn’t get three outs. He was just getting destroyed out there,” Checketts said. “So, as a result, he only had a few outings his first year, throwing a couple of mop-up innings here and there.

    “We got to the point where we knew we had someone with a good arm, and we knew we wouldn’t have him for very long. We knew there was a chance he wouldn’t perform, but we also knew that someone was going to draft him and he’d definitely be gone after his third year.”

    Following his freshman campaign, Checketts and Tate had a frank discussion. The rising head coach wanted Tate to head off to a summer league somewhere, working to refine his repertoire in that fashion. Tate, though, was very committed to his way of doing things, and decided to spend the summer working out at the MLB Urban Youth Academy in Compton, Calif.

    Tate came back his sophomore season a completely different pitcher. He had gained almost 30-40 pounds of muscle and went from 165 pounds to 200 pounds. With those advancements came vastly improved overall stuff. He showed electric stuff at times as a sophomore with mid-to-upper 90s velocity, and the development of his slider and changeup were huge pluses. He finished 2014 with a 1.45 ERA in 28 games, along with 12 saves and 46 strikeouts in 43.1 innings.

    “He’s a thinker, and he’s a worker. He’s put on 40 pounds since he’s been here, and his velocity has really skyrocketed. And honestly, he’s still got more room for some body fat,” Checketts said. “He can put on another 10-12 pounds in pro ball.

    “Dillon loves the weight room and he was really able to lift aggressively throughout that summer after his freshman season. He was lifting for mass, trying to improve mobility and preventing injuries. And he’s shown more velocity by doing that way. I guess it’s a good thing he didn’t listen to me.”

    Tate’s sophomore season opened doors to the big-time, including a date with the USA Collegiate National Team.

    The Summer of Tate

    Some might be surprised Tate has evolved into one of the nation’s premier arms and potentially the top pick in the draft, but Texas A&M head coach and last summer’s Team USA pitching coach, Rob Childress, isn’t the least bit surprised.

    It didn’t take long after meeting the ultra-physical Tate for Childress to realize he had the potential for greatness. Every morning while on the road, Tate would always eat very healthy and adhere to a strict diet. And when he had the time, Tate was working out in the hotel’s fitness facility. On top of that, and perhaps most impressive, Childress enjoyed how the righthander would take notes on all of his appearances.

    “Dillon is such a wonderful kid. He’s got a neat family background and he has come from nothing from a baseball standpoint. His work habits have allowed him to blossom into this amazing pitcher, and you could just see it coming. He’s a great worker, preparer, and he’s just very, very disciplined in his daily regimen,” Childress said. “You could just tell this was a guy on a mission.

    “He wasn’t a hard invite to Team USA. He came with a potential opportunity, and he had to make the team. He was not only on a mission to make the team, he was also on a mission to do big things after making it. He was a real pleasure to be around. He was just one of those guys you could tell was chasing greatness.”

    Tate, as with Illinois lefthanded closer Tyler Jay, greatly increased his prospect status with a strong summer with Team USA. He made 11 appearances and tallied a 0.79 ERA in 11 innings, along with three saves. He showed an explosive fastball, slider and changeup, and also flashed his now plus curveball at times.

    “All of his stuff was pretty electric. It was just outstanding,” Childress said. “You could see it in Dillon, but he had the aptitude and ability to make an easy transition from the bullpen to the starting pitcher.

    “Am I really surprised where he’s at right now? Not at all. He’s without question a 1-1 type of guy in the draft. He’s very athletic and he’s a big, strong physical kid. He’s very competitive on the mound and he just continues to get better. He’s just a really neat kid and player.”

    Substance over hype

    Tate and UC Santa Barbara entered the season with high hopes, the Gauchos expected to take the next step in the Big West Conference hierarchy, and Tate expected to have a strong campaign, ranked the No. 15 college prospect by D1Baseball.com back in February.

    The Gauchos have since emerged as the Big West favorite and are a top-15 club, while Tate has emerged as perhaps a leading candidate to be the top overall pick in the draft. The righthander was 93-95 mph and up to 96 with his fastball last week against Fresno, while his 84-86 mph slider was dominant to both lefthanded and righthanded hitters, and his changeup was a plus offering with downward fading action. Tate also is flashing a filthy 79-80 mph curveball that has big-time late breaking action.

    Everyone in the baseball and prospect industry knows what Dillon Tate is now. But it’s important to remember what he was, too. That’s what makes his remarkable ascension most impressive, and surprising.
     
  2. mateo

    mateo Contributing Member

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    Its weird that MLB.com's Prospect Watch only has Dillon Tate as the 30th best prospect, while I have seen others picking him to go in first 5.
     
  3. Baseballa

    Baseballa Member

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    After my 15 extensive minutes of research, Dillon Tate is now my must-get prospect.
     
  4. Buck Turgidson

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    That has to be an old report. Haven't seen anything that has him out of the top-10, if not top-5.

    Either of Rodgers or Tate would be what I'd do at #2. #5 gets a bit more interesting.
     
  5. astros2018

    astros2018 New Member

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    Here is a new mock draft Fueled by Sports. It has the Astros taking Dilllon Tate and Nathan Kirby in the first.
     
  6. tellitlikeitis

    tellitlikeitis Canceled
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    <blockquote class="twitter-tweet" lang="en"><p>Fulmer’s last 2 outings: 16 IP, 5 H, 0R/0ER, 1 BB, 23 K
    <a href="https://twitter.com/hashtag/VandyBoys?src=hash">#VandyBoys</a></p>&mdash; Vandy Baseball (@VandyBaseball) <a href="https://twitter.com/VandyBaseball/status/588891406799876096">April 17, 2015</a></blockquote>
    <script async src="//platform.twitter.com/widgets.js" charset="utf-8"></script>
     
  7. HstnSprtsFan101

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    Love this guy
     
  8. Rocket Fan

    Rocket Fan Member

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    Admittedly, I'm biased since I'm A huge Vandy baseball fan. However, I think Swanson, Fulmer and Buehler are all awesome. I'd love to see them in Astros uniforms. Fulmer has filthy stuff.

    Hoping Tony Kemp can work his way to the majors. That guy can play too.
     
  9. Rocket Fan

    Rocket Fan Member

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    He actually is a shortstop. He was playing second base because Vandy already had a great shortstop his first two years. He can certainly play both positions though.

     
  10. tellitlikeitis

    tellitlikeitis Canceled
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    Updated April 15

    2. Nathan Kirby
    5. Michael Matuella
    37. Kyler Murray
     
  11. agslai

    agslai Contributing Member

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    Isn't Kyler Murray going to A&M for football? I would hate to invest in a high pick on him IF he plans to go to A&M.
     
  12. Baseballa

    Baseballa Member

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    Like all players, he'll have a "magic number" that I'm sure any team will know if they can meet before picking him.

    FWIW, and there's a lot of misinformation this time of year, I've seen it rumored that $3 million is what the Murray's want. If that's the case, the Astros are probably his best (only?) bet as I don't think many other teams will have that kind of extra cash for a late first rounder.

    As a Longhorn, I'd love to see the Astros steal him from A&M. As a realist, I don't see any team giving $3 million to an undersized second base prospect.
     
  13. No Worries

    No Worries Contributing Member

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    That is a bit of a reach for Matuella.

    Here is Kiley McDaniel's 2015 MLB Draft Rankings, April Edition

    Astros picks

    McDaniels has Matuella here

    and Brady Aiken here

     
  14. bigtexxx

    bigtexxx Contributing Member

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    I think we can probably get Kirby at 5, which I think would be a great pick.

    Take either Rodgers or Tate at 2. Which ever one Arizona leaves us.
     
  15. awc713

    awc713 Member

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    I guess we'll find out as the season develops, but this is looking like the worst draft to own the #2 and #5 pick...seems like anyone we take would feasibly be a 8-15th overall pick in any other year. Yes, there is good depth in this draft, but we have depth in our farm. We direly need all-star potential.

    I guess I'm learning to like Tate, but I don't see a projectable, long-term #1 pitcher there. I would be very happy if we land Rodgers, but that's seeming more and more unlikely
     
  16. bigtexxx

    bigtexxx Contributing Member

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    let's put it this way -- I'd rather have the #2 this year than have signed Aiken last year!

    You can never tell how the players will pan out, so I always laugh about people saying this is a down draft.
     
  17. desihooper

    desihooper Contributing Member
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    Admittedly, I'm not a huge college baseball guy, but has Kirby done enough this year to maintain a top of the draft grade? Also, is two college arms in the first round a good strategy? Does logic dictate one has a better chance of landing a bat in free agency/trade than a pitcher?
     
  18. DoitDickau

    DoitDickau Contributing Member

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    I think Kirby is injured. Left his last start after 2 or 3 innings. Might explain his down performances the last month or so.
     
  19. vince

    vince Member

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    I agree!!! The #2 pick has a more favorable future than Aiken at this point.

    And regarding the people who say this is one of the weakest drafts in years, I'll say, I hear that in every draft. But reality is, that there will be plenty of All-Stars that come out of this up coming draft. It's just a matter of finding them, as some might not be slam dunk consensus top 10 picks.
     
  20. Buck Turgidson

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    Carson, Nathan, Walker, Kyle, Brady, Dez, Alex, Kyler, Dansby, and Dillon sounds like a most proper SEC frat.
     

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