I'd love to catch OKC, but that seems like a pipe dream. We'd probably have to lose no more than 20 games the entire season which means only 2 more losses in our final 24. Not happening. Catching San Antonio is gonna be tough as well, but it's at least possible. Once we get through this brutal stretch of 13 games(we've got 10 remaining), the rest of the schedule is frankly a joke. Aside from the home game against OKC on April 4, the Rockets will technically be the favorite in every single remaining game. Granted, they won't win them all, but they also shouldn't lose very many if they maintain their intensity and avoid further injuries.
<B> Games H2H Div Con Overall Magic </B> <B> Team W/L L10 H2H Left TB Div TB Conf TB TieBreak Number Diff</B> 1 OKC Thieves 43-14 6-4 0-2 1H,1A L 26-9 L No<B> 31</B> (-2) 2 Spurs 40-16 7-3 3-0 1H W 8-3 L 24-10 L Yes*<B> 28</B> (-1) 3 Rockets 38-18 9-1 9-4 22-15 4 Clippers 38-20 5-5 0-2 1H,1A L 21-11 L No<B> 25</B> (-1) 5 Blazers 38-18 5-5 2-1 1H W 21-14 L Yes<B> 27</B> (-1) 6 Warriors 34-22 7-3 2-1 None W 21-16 W Yes*<B> 22</B> (-1) 7 Suns 33-22 6-4 2-1 None W 21-14 L Yes*<B> 22</B> (-3) 8 Mavericks 34-23 8-2 2-2 None T 8-4 W 17-15 W Yes<B> 22</B> (-1) 9 Grizzlies 31-24 6-4 2-2 None T 2-11 W 18-18 W Yes*<B> 20</B> (-1) 10 Wolves 27-29 4-6 2-0 1H,1A W 14-22 W Yes<B> 16</B> (-2) 11 Nuggets 25-30 3-7 1-0 1H,1A W 13-19 W Yes<B> 15</B> (-2) 12 Pelicans 23-32 4-6 2-0 1H,1A W 3-8 W 9-22 W Yes*<B> 12</B> (-1) 13 Kings 20-36 5-5 1-2 1A L 11-24 W No<B> 9</B> (-1) 14 Jazz 19-36 3-7 1-1 1H T 10-26 W Yes<B> 9</B> (-1) 15 Lakers 19-37 3-7 2-1 1H W 9-22 W Yes<B> 8</B> (-2) * Indicates the Tie Break is final Here is the latest batch of Magic Numbers after all games were played on <B>2/23</B>. Great win for the Rockets last night, and they continue to play well against every Western Conference contender except the Thieves and Clippers. All Magic Numbers drop 1. That was also a key victory over the Suns since it clinched the two team tie break. I don't think we'll wind up tied with Phoenix, but it's always good to have those in our pocket. Phoenix loses and additional point for the loss and a third for losing the tie break. Lakers, Nuggets, Wolves, and Thieves also lost last night and drop an additional Magic Number. We've got 3 teams under 10 now, so we're closing in on eliminating the Cellar Dwellers.
Here is my ideal final (reasonable) standings: Thunder Rockets Spurs Clippers Blazers Warriors Suns Dallas I think the best chance for us in the finals is Suns -> GSW -> Portland I want to avoid the Thunder, Clippers, and Memphis at all costs
If we compare the opponents the Rockets and Spurs have remaining, we have the toughest schedule by far (As of Feb. 24th). Rockets (9 out of 24 games remaining) are against Clippers twice, Heat twice, Thunder twice, Pacers, TrailBlazers, and Spurs. Spurs (8 out of 26 games) are against Heat, TrailBlazers, Warriors twice, Pacers, Thunder, Suns, and Rockets. Yes, I included Suns and Warriors to the list, but not Memphis, Dallas. So in comparasion, no question Spurs have the easier remaining schedule (even with injuries). Also, Rockets are know to lose to sub-par teams all the time. If we had won a few of those games, we would have been in the driver seat for the #2 seed, IMO.
The Spurs so far are 3-11 against the top five Western and top two Eastern teams. The Rockets are 5-6 against the same teams. An easier way to win the #2 seed is to win the Southwest division. We need to win the 3 remaining games in that division to end at 12-4, and wait for the Spurs to lose one game in their remaining five to end at 12-4. With the series lock we already have won over the Spurs, we will win the division and end at #4 seed lowest but most likely #2 at our current pace.
We have clinched the tie break over the Spurs already. First criteria is head-to-head which we've clinched with our 3-0 record and only 1 left to play. We are just two back in the loss column so if we keep up this pace, we can make that up while the Spurs are a bit banged up. And winning that last game against the Spurs would be very helpful towards winning the division.
I like those final standings, but there is NO WAY POSSIBLE that GS would beat the Spurs in 1st round and POR would likely lose to LAC in 1st round...even if POR beats LAC in your post, OKC would defeat them in no more than 5 games.
If we keep up this pace, we'll win the West. But with the games we have remaining, a couple of things must happen for us to be the #2 seed. 1) we need to win at least 6 out of 9 games from these teams (Clippers twice, Heat twice, Thunder twice, Pacers, TrailBlazers, and Spurs). 2) Spurs need to start losing to a few sub .500 teams. (like the Rockets have) 3) Clippers and TrailBlazers need to slip a bit more. A win is a win, but Rockets are winning some close games like they did with the wizards, suns, etc. Some of the other games Rockets are not maintaining leads, which allows some additional losses. The positive is, they're getting healthier, and the team are more confident.
I don't agree with this statement anymore. It's coming up on 2 months since the start of the new year and we have 1 bad loss this calendar year. We don't really lose to sub-par teams anymore. That statement is based on reputation and not really fact.
I'm not so sure about that (and not because they are 2-2 in rs), i think Portland matches up well with OKC and I'm not so sure if Westbrook is an upgrade this late over Jackson who seemed to get better and better. But the Clippers on the other hand might fend off the Blazers rather quick imo.
Oh I agree, I just think it'll be a lot tougher than people think to grab that #2 spot, especially with our brutal schedule the next ten games.
Some very surprising and intriguing WC standing/seeding scenarios will very likely happen by the end of the regular season as late as 4/14.* As things stand now, the Blazers have a high chance of winning the Northwest Division. They just need to win the remaining two games against the Nuggets and the one game against the Jazz to end at 13-3. Even if the Thunder (currently 9-5) wins the two remaining games in the division, they can only be 11-5.* And if the Rockets win the Southwest division over the Spurs, and the Warriors win the Pacific over the Clippers, then the WC standings will appear as follows: OKC HOU POR GSW SAS LAC PHX DAL (Or a less chance MEM) To make this happen, the Rockets just need to win the next two games against the Pelicans and one game against the Spurs, and wait for the Spurs to lose more than one game in their remaining five. And the warriors just need to win one more game each against the Clippers, Suns, Kings and Lakers. I have detailed all the scenarios in the Pacific Division in a previous post. How would you like this? Or you would prefer to have (a scenario I have outlined earlier): OKC HOU LAC SAS POR GSW PHX DAL Or you rather have (as it stands now): OKC SAS HOU LAC POR GSW PHX DAL* This season is really becoming more and more interesting for us Rockets fans, isn't it?
Tonight, the Clippers, Warriors, and Mavs kept pace, all won. There is no rest for the weary. The Rockets have to keep winning. This may go down to which teams "blink" first.
<B> Games H2H Div Con Overall Magic </B> <B> Team W/L L10 H2H Left TB Div TB Conf TB TieBreak Number Diff</B> 1 OKC Thieves 43-14 6-4 0-2 1H,1A L 26-9 L No<B> 31</B> 2 Spurs 40-16 7-3 3-0 1H W 8-3 L 24-10 L Yes*<B> 28</B> 3 Rockets 38-18 9-1 9-4 22-15 4 Clippers 39-20 6-4 0-2 1H,1A L 22-11 L No<B> 25</B> 5 Blazers 38-18 5-5 2-1 1H W 21-14 L Yes<B> 27</B> 6 Warriors 35-22 7-3 2-1 None W 21-16 W Yes*<B> 22</B> 7 Mavericks 35-23 8-2 2-2 None T 8-4 W 17-15 W Yes<B> 22</B> 8 Suns 33-22 6-4 2-1 None W 21-14 L Yes*<B> 22</B> 9 Grizzlies 31-24 6-4 2-2 None T 2-11 W 18-18 W Yes*<B> 20</B> 10 Wolves 27-29 4-6 2-0 1H,1A W 14-22 W Yes<B> 16</B> 11 Nuggets 25-30 3-7 1-0 1H,1A W 13-19 W Yes<B> 15</B> 12 Pelicans 23-33 3-7 2-0 1H,1A W 3-8 W 9-23 W Yes*<B> 11</B> (-1) 13 Jazz 20-36 4-6 1-1 1H T 10-26 W Yes<B> 9</B> 14 Kings 20-36 5-5 1-2 1A L 11-24 W No<B> 9</B> 15 Lakers 19-37 3-7 2-1 1H W 9-22 W Yes<B> 8</B> * Indicates the Tie Break is final Here is the latest batch of Magic Numbers after all games were played on <B>2/24</B>. The Rockets got no real help tonight. Warriors, Mavericks, Jazz, and Clippers all won. The Cellar Dweller Pelicans were the only team with a loss and drop one Magic Number. The Rockets simply must win this game tomorrow. They are better than Kings and need to take care of business. This is no time to drop a game to a Cellar Dweller. Eye on the prize! Lakers at Pacers, Wolves at Suns, Blazers at Nuggets are also on tap.
There is a good chance memphis gets in and either dallas or phx slides out. I wouldn't want the 2nd seed in that case.