Was thinking about this winning vs losing streak, and people like to blame specific players, shooting, etc. I decided it might be interesting to look at it from a different perspective, IE, the number of actual Play types being called. So, hit my trusty friend Synergy Sports. I wanted to look exclusively at the NUMBER of each type of play called and see if there has been a significant shift in offensive play distribution from the winning to the losing streak. Specifically I wanted to look at the percentage of PnR plays, Iso, Spot up Shooting and Transition. Here's what I found... Winning Streak Atlanta - 10.8% ISO, 6.9% PnR Handler, 6.9% PnR Roller, 28.4% Spot up, 17.6% Transition Hornets - 23.2% ISO, 6.1% PnR Handler, 10.1% PnR Roller, 16.2% Spot up, 14.1% Transition Bucks - 6.4% ISO, 9.1% PnR Handler, 4.5% PnR Roller, 33.6% Spot up, 20.9% Transition Cavs - 8.3% ISO, 11.9% PnR Handler, 3.7% PnR Roller, 22% Spot up, 19.3% Transition Lakers - 7.9% ISO, 17.5% PnR Handler, 2.6% PnR Roller, 24.6% Spot up, 20.2% Transition Losing Streak Hornets - 18.8% ISO, 9.9% PnR Handler, 4% PnR Roller, 27.7% Spot up, 16.8% Transition Celtics - 19.8% ISO, 4.7% PnR Handler, 5.7% PnR Roller, 21.7% Spot up, 15.1% Transition 76ers - 11.2% ISO, 7.5% PnR Handler, 2.8% PnR Roller, 34.6% Spot up, 14% Transition Clippers - 14.4% ISO, 6.7% PnR Handler, 1% PnR Roller, 19.2% Spot up, 10.6% Transition Dallas - 13.3% ISO, 14.2% PnR Handler, 3.5% PnR Roller, 26.5% Spot up, 15% Transition Indiana - 5.6% ISO, 20.6% PnR Handler, 15% PnR Roller, 17.8% Spot up, 14% Transition Minnesota - 15.5% ISO, 13.6% PnR Handler, 3.6% PnR Roller, 27.3% Spot up, 10% Transition Winning Streak Average - 11.32% ISO, 10.3% PnR Handler, 5.56% PnR Roller, 24.96% Spot up, 18.42% Transition Losing Streak Average - 14.09% ISO, 9.08% PnR Handler, 3.16% PnR Roller, 24.97% Spot up, 13.64% Transition Differential Win/Loss Average - +2.77% ISO, -1.22% PnR Handler, -2.5% PnR Roller, +0.01% Spot up, -4.78% Transition In a nutshell, the stats point to the following. We're running more ISO's, fewer PnR plays (Handler and Roller), doing about the same amount of spot up shooting, and significantly less transition. The decline in Transition I would conjecture is coming mainly from tired legs. Tired legs didn't only impact our transition game. Comparing the Winning vs Losing stretch, we saw significant drops in Pace and Shooting, as well as an increase in Turnover differentials per 100 possessions (Rockets vs Opponent). Stats of winning vs losing Possessions - 100.2 vs 93.57 eFG% - 58.68% vs 47.7% TOR Diff - -3 vs +3.65 So yes, we're running WAY less resulting in fewer possessions and fewer transition plays, shooting worse, turning over the ball more, running more ISO's and fewer PnR's. And for final reference, here's our last game... Charlotte - 11.3% ISO, 6.6% PnR Handler, 0.9% PnR Roller, 34.9% Spot up, 22.6% Transition Possessions - 93, eFG% - 45.9%, TOR Diff +3.2 I certainly hope that more rest will start curing some of these ills. As for the decline in PnR's... I hope that this is just a short blip in the play calling radar.
I watch every game, and also like to review individual plays and play sets to confirm my impressions and put context to the numbers.
So to sum up...basically during the losing streak we had more iso, less PNR, and less transitional points.
I have no doubt that you watch the games. My post wasn't meant as any type of attack. Do you ENJOY watching the Rockets?
Is this sarcastic? Finding out what type of plays are being called in wins and losses isn't some intangible mumbo jumbo. It's a pretty valid stat imo.
To sum it up pre-losing streak people thought we are going to outrun everyone. Jus like how Forrest outrun the rest. Post-losing streak people are now more negative about the team. You can look at the game thread to see how it affected the members of the garm.
I Love watching basketball in general. And I like analyzing it too. I watch the Rockets, Knicks, and a lot of OKC, Denver and the Clippers. A little bit of Memphis and Miami as well. And lately (though I hate to admit it), I'm watching the Lakers. Though I got to admit, watching the Lakers is more of a schadenfreude thing than anything. I don't hate the Lakers, there's just a certain beauty in watching a $100M payroll team burst into flames. :grin:
You may like watching that, but I'm sad that Nash can't get his ring before his retirement. The guy totally deserves one.
Don't get me wrong, I do feel sad for Nash. I really respect him as a player. As for the Lakers... meh. I'm just not a fan of buying your way to a ring. Oh, and forgot to mention the Spurs. I love the Spurs organization and culture.
First of all, thank you for this. Would rep you if I could. I think it's easy to say that the schedule and the tired legs could be the reason why the team is scoring less transition points. But I'm also thinking the scouting report is out that you need to get back on defense vs the Rockets. Same with the slower pace. The scouting report on the Rockets is to slow them down. What I'm more interested in is the reason why we're running fewer PnR plays. A lot of the teams during the losing streak had good interior defenders and the Rockets lack players with interior presence on the offensive end. Of course correlation doesn't equal causation. In general, we don't do enough PnR it would seems. That's always the commonly held belief. Would love to get a straight forward answer from the coaching staff. While we're at it, would also love to get some serious answers about how they plan to adjust to the current scouting reports.
Actually I'm a Morey (Go figure, a stats guy that likes Morey... who knew?), Lin and Harden fan, though Asik, Parsons and Delfino are really growing on me. And my latent Toney Douglas hate from his time on the Knicks has pretty much disappeared with his play this year.
I agree with Torocan, buying your way into a championship is a cheap thing to do and deserves failure.
