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Have we seen the bottom?

Discussion in 'BBS Hangout: Debate & Discussion' started by OrangeRowdy95, Mar 18, 2009.

  1. OrangeRowdy95

    OrangeRowdy95 Contributing Member

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    I thought this should merit its own discussion. With the latest developments with the Fed buying $300 billion in treasuries and injecting a total of $1.2 trillion into the economy, what will we see long-term with the market?

    I thought the market would dip to the upper 5000's, and I still think it may happen once it eases from the good news the past few days. My prediction is that by the end of August, it will reach 5800 or so. But by the end of 2012, it will rise to 20000 and we'll face massive hyperinflation. The treasury is monetizing the debt. Bernanke has pretty much said that in Sunday's interview and today's announcement. There's no doubt in my mind we'll face inflation.

    I'll be keeping a close eye on gold long-term and SKF short-term as a result. I'd still be in trade mode rather than holding long.

    Your thoughts?
     
  2. ymc

    ymc Member

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    What can push it down to 5800? Can you elaborate?

    I think it will require the Chinese and Japanese to not buying any T-bonds and start selling them. If they just print their own money to counter our action, I don't think we can see 5800.
     
  3. SamFisher

    SamFisher Contributing Member

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    Well basically nothing pushed it up 1000 points the last few weeks....so...
     
  4. pchan

    pchan Member

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    I don't understand the market at all
    i hope someone can explain to me
    didn't AIG goes up by like 100% the past few days?
    and Fannie and Freddie too?
    Aren't these companies essentially bankrupted?
     
  5. ymc

    ymc Member

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    Several banks claimed that they made a profit in the beginning of 2009.

    This plus bounce from the bottom equals 1000 points. :)
     
  6. MadMax

    MadMax Contributing Member

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    the government has made it pretty clear they're not going to let these groups fail.

    i think we've seen the bottom. or if we haven't, it won't go much lower than it already has this year.
     
  7. oschadha

    oschadha Contributing Member

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    Still have gotten to the credit card crisis that is looming. Once that occurs, we will be at the bottom.
     
  8. rockbox

    rockbox Around before clutchcity.com

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    We'll see the bottom the feds say that we don't need to pump any more money into the banking system.
     
  9. MadMax

    MadMax Contributing Member

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    no we won't. the credit card crisis is no where near what we went through with mortgages.

    credit card companies have been cutting lines for a while now...since about 2005...raising rates on others with little to no cause. it's a far more manageable problem.
     
  10. MadMax

    MadMax Contributing Member

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    we're talking about botton of the stock market....not when the economy bottoms out.
     

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