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[Views from Ithaca] The Jobs Market Isn't as Healthy as it Seems

Discussion in 'BBS Hangout: Debate & Discussion' started by SamFisher, Dec 19, 2019.

  1. SamFisher

    SamFisher Contributing Member

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    Worth reading, but basically it confirms with empirical data what many people are saying: Even though unemployment has rebounded to record lows in the last decade, the economic status of most people feels like it is deteriorating due to lower job quality - and side hustle/gig economy type/basic low paying jobs are a part of that picture, though inequality and monopoly/sony is probably a bigger deal here.

    The cure could be an infrastructure program. Maybe the White House can have another infrastructure week.
     
    #1 SamFisher, Dec 19, 2019
    Last edited: Dec 19, 2019
  2. dachuda86

    dachuda86 Member

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    Oh you mean because we have outsourced our manufacturing and let illegals compete for the remaining low skill jobs, thus suppressing available work and the wages of said work? SAY IT AIN'T SO! But trying to get companies to bring some jobs back and raise the value of the worker by enforcing immigration laws is terrible. TERRIBLE.

    That doesn't even mention the glut of useless college degrees we doled out to an entire generation fed terrible boomer advice like "just get a degree and you'll be good" or "just pursue your passion and the money will be there."
     
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  3. dmoneybangbang

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    Where the jobs are being created matters, but maybe not to the overall narrative.

    The Rust Belt and rural areas are still being left behind to the cities.
     
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  4. No Worries

    No Worries Contributing Member

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    The economy may be tired of all of this winning.
     
  5. jiggyfly

    jiggyfly Member

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    Who do think outsourced those jobs?

    It's the same people who got massive tax breaks and claimed that money would help bring more jobs.

    You know the so called job creators.

    Who is hiring the immigrants?
     
  6. pgabriel

    pgabriel Educated Negro

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    A couple of things

    On immigration and outsourcing, if Mexicans cant come here, GM will go to Mexico, they already did. The economy is global because of advances in technology and communication. It will only become more global.

    That also is the reason for slow wage growth. The minimum wage should be raised to a livable level, however American wages have to be competitive with other countries.

    IMO the long term solution is getting serious about teaching trades in high schools. If the job boils down to putting round pegs in round holes, companies can find anyone anywhere to do that. Unfortunately the automotive workers unions didn't realize this
     
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  7. snowconeman22

    snowconeman22 Member

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    Can’t agree more

    On the job market being tough , this is apparent to any recent college grad trying to get a job . Unless you had internships and connection built up while in school you are at a pretty big disadvantage.

    I have a masters and couldn’t find a job , so I’m currently back in school getting my PhD . It’s a good thing I test well .
     
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  8. DaDakota

    DaDakota If you want to know, just ask!

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    Exactly more server jobs is not the same as more executive level positions.

    DD
     
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  9. dmoneybangbang

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    Neither does the the political party that believes in small government...

    I think the private sector has proven it can’t have the responsibility of retraining workers.
     
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  10. dmoneybangbang

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    Spare me the working class populism. It sucks, but you have to adapt and you may have to move.

    I believe we convinced ourselves with this free market dogma that people would get back on their feet.... but we need public investment in our labor.
     
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  11. bigtexxx

    bigtexxx Contributing Member

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    L-O-L

    With amazing economic news, SamFisher turns to anecdotal evidence to let everybody know the economy actually sucks! I love it when NYC lawyers think they have their finger on the pulse of the American economy!
     
  12. DaDakota

    DaDakota If you want to know, just ask!

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    100% agreed.

    Ike had it right, be like IKE !

    DD
     
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  13. Rashmon

    Rashmon Contributing Member

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    Is it because of our trade issues with Wakanda?

    US government lists fictional nation Wakanda as trade partner

    The US Department of Agriculture listed Wakanda as a free-trade partner - despite it being a fictional country.

    A USDA spokesperson said the Kingdom of Wakanda was added to the list by accident during a staff test.

    The department's online tariff tracker hosted a detailed list of goods the two nations apparently traded, including ducks, donkeys and dairy cows.

    In the Marvel universe, Wakanda is the fictional East African home country of superhero Black Panther.

    The fictional country was removed soon from the list after US media first queried it, prompting jokes that the countries had started a trade war.

    Wakanda first appeared in the Fantastic Four comic in 1966, and made a reappearance when Black Panther was adapted into an Oscar-winning film last year.

    The unusual listing was spotted by Francis Tseng, a New York-based software engineer who was looking up agricultural tariffs for a fellowship he was applying for.

    He told Reuters news agency that, when he first saw Wakanda on the list, he got "very confused": " thought I misremembered the country from the movie and got it confused with something else."

    After the listing was removed, a USDA spokesman told the Washington Post that Wakanda's listing was added as a test file for staff, and was never supposed to be public.

    "The Wakanda information should have been removed after testing and has now been taken down," he said.

    After its removal, an Orlando-based reporter asked: "So do we, or do we not have free trade with Wakanda? Also where are things at on negotiations with Agrabah?"

    Our incompetent administration working hard for us...
     
  14. dmoneybangbang

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    I guess you missed the Bloomberg article...

    The pulse of the American economy is in the cities, but not so much the rust belt still.
     
  15. B@ffled

    B@ffled Member

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    This can't be overstated. Having a skilled trade is so valuable now. Having experience in a skilled trade affords you leverage.

    All that being said, I'm about to blow it all up and go out on my own. I'm scared shitless. But I have to check that box or else I'll always look back and wonder what if. But having an expertise in a trade is what is affording me this opportunity, which is why PG's post resonates so strongly with me.
     
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  16. Sweet Lou 4 2

    Sweet Lou 4 2 Contributing Member
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    A) 6 out of 7 manufacturing jobs were eliminated by automation, not trade.
    B) Manufacturing jobs will decline everywhere in the world. They are going to be replaced by machines soon enough
    C) If illegals are putting downward wage pressure, just raise the minimum wage. In reality, this is not the case. Illegals are not the reason customer service and working at the mall pays squat
    D) I work in business and have hired people out of college for over 20 years. And I will tell you the most useless degree people get is in business where they learn a bunch of useless ideas about how to do business that has to be unlearned and they have a lack of critical thinking. You know who perform the best? English and Philosophy majors. Go figure. If you want to be successful in business don't get a degree in business (unless its accounting).
     
  17. Aleron

    Aleron Contributing Member

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    One of the biggest lies ever sold to the public was the retraining nonsense, meme version "learn to code", if you actually believe that, you've either never met these people or there's a solid object lodged somewhere in your brain preventing its function.
     
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  18. pgabriel

    pgabriel Educated Negro

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    While i dont disagree about automation, it still leads to more Americans need to learn trades. Another myth of immigration is they take low paying jobs

    I don't have numbers i also have an overall anecdote. I have been on a lot of commercial contruction sites and the higher paying trade jobs are dominated by Hispanics, looking at residential construction sites, it's not close
     
  19. SamFisher

    SamFisher Contributing Member

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    You could extrapolate that out to a lot of the educational emphasis on STEM, practical college degrees vs liberal arts and whatnot.

    I understand in the abstract that a freaking bachelor's degree in Accounting seems eminently more practical than a degree in Art History. And it probably is

    But let's be real - to truly have an aspirational Peloton commercial you gotta be born rich and routed into the elite meritocracy path. You can study Classics at Harvard,a graduate with straight B's, and you are substantially further ahead on the gilded glide path than the goingest Engineering go getter from State U.

    Likewise, it's not like the machines aren't coming for the tax planners before they come for the poets.
     
    #19 SamFisher, Dec 19, 2019
    Last edited: Dec 19, 2019
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  20. Aleron

    Aleron Contributing Member

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    That's simply not true, the fed assisted in a rather long study on this, and what they found was that the computing manufacturing, a very low labour intensive industry would expand in productivity, whereas the rest of the manufacturing industry was offshoring, and because we were all busy sticking minicomputers in our pockets, it was outshining the rest of manufacturing losses alone.

    So they'd see, manufacturing productivity up, labour down and conclude : because automation, but what it really was, was computer productivity up, jobs increased by say, 50, air conditioning factory closed and moved to Mexico/China/India, jobs lost 3000.

    Of course even from an observable position, the massive closure of factories should have been telling people that it wasn't "automation", because machines need factories too, if you replace a worker with a machine, the machine doesn't exist in a hole in the fabric of the universe.

    But of course, the people benefiting from it will roll out the "experts", more phds the better, to tell people that "it's the automation", whether it's a lie or ignorance, well that's on each person to decide, but either way it's an empirically false statement.

    Um, the demand for illegal labour is because legal labour is more expensive, by pushing up the cost of legal labour further, it just increases the demand for illegal labour, creating a greater pull for illegal immigration, whilst increasing the unemployment rate amongst citizens. It's the type of policy a government would enact if it actually hated its own poor, the type of outcomes you'd get from that is more homelessness, more people living in squalor (crap on the streets, garbage everywhere), etc.
     

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