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[TrueHoop] Analytics guys say Harden is MVP

Discussion in 'Houston Rockets: Game Action & Roster Moves' started by kevC, Mar 15, 2017.

  1. kevC

    kevC Contributing Member

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    http://www.espn.com/nba/story/_/id/...iest-most-analytically-correct-mvp-debate-all

    I like Kevin Pelton's point the best:

    Minutes played and games played should absolutely matter. VALUE means TOTAL CONTRIBUTION to me, and I have no respect for players who take games off for rest in the MVP discussion.
     
    roslolian, da_juice, Vivi and 13 others like this.
  2. FTW Rockets FTW

    FTW Rockets FTW Contributing Member

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    Yeah but he is not on ESPN or Fox Sports screaming Westbrook triple double deserves MVP!!!

    No one will even notice this.
     
  3. Chamillionaire

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    So used to watching Harden do what he does, I take it for granted. If he doesn't win, I will be disappointed. He deserves this.
     
  4. Fyreball

    Fyreball Contributing Member

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    I love the support from the advanced metrics guys because it shows how deep Harden's influence on the game actually goes. However, because the average person is only getting force-fed their sports info from 15 second highlight clips, and "experts" spewing their hot takes like geysers, all we ever hear about is Westbrook's inconsequential triple-doubles and Kawhi's 3-and-D play on Harden.
     
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  5. Os Trigonum

    Os Trigonum Contributing Member
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    this thread is a win for analytics.

    oh yeah. media conspiracy.
     
  6. J Sizzle

    J Sizzle Member

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    Irrelevant

    Not averaging a triple double

    Westbrook = MVP
     
  7. Daddy Long Legs

    Daddy Long Legs H- Town Harden

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    The amount of threads ive seen with your media conspiracy comment is hilarious.

    I swear Ive seen at least 4 or 5 in the last 2 days
     
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  8. Fyreball

    Fyreball Contributing Member

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    Ummm, it's actually been like 400-500 in the last 2 months bruh.
     
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  9. Pen15clubber

    Pen15clubber Member

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    "If Westbrook falls to 9.9 assists per game I will give the MVP to harden"

    Chris Broussard

    ****ing idiot
     
  10. Wylo

    Wylo Member

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    Very interesting. I always thought the fact that Rockets are doing relatively well when Harden sits on the bench - as reflected in Harden's mediocre on/off net rating - will be counted as a pretty big strike against him, but I guess by that metric Kawhi should be penalized more. I think one of Harden's main strengths is that his numbers (traditional or advanced) are very good across the board, whereas other candidates are more hit or miss.

    For instance, Westbrook absolutely crushes BPM and VORP, but his Win Shares, WS/48 and TS% aren't very impressive. Curry's on-court net rating is awesome, but other than that he has nothing to show for. Durant and Kawhi are very efficient, but their volume stats are somewhat lacking. Harden actually has great team record (check), great traditional stat line for regular media people & journalists (check), and great advanced stats for more analytic-minded voters (check). So yes, Harden has a real shot at MVP this season. Just has to win 55+ games and at least maintain current season averages.
     
    #10 Wylo, Mar 15, 2017
    Last edited: Mar 15, 2017
  11. DonKnock

    DonKnock Member

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    This is the difference between "media people" (Beadle, Bayless, Broussard, Nichols) and "experts" (Duncan, Lowe, Pelton; ElHassan, Haberstroh to a lesser extent)
     
  12. Daddy Long Legs

    Daddy Long Legs H- Town Harden

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    For real. There is almost nodifference between averaging 30, 10, 10 or averaging 30,10,9.99

    People are too hung up on the novelty of a triple double. Skip Bayless is a hypocrite. Just last year he was saying triple doubles are the most overrated stats in sports.

    what would you guys prefer in this hypothetical?

    1) harden scores 35 gets 13 assists 5 rebounds on 14/21 shooting and a W

    Or

    2) Westbrook gets 45 points, 10 assists, 13 rebounds on 15/40 shooting and an L

    They are just random numbers im throwing out but I feel like the answer should be 1 but it seems a lot of media members choose 2 because "triple double"
     
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  13. J Sizzle

    J Sizzle Member

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    Easy question. Triple double obviously. Those 5 rebounds are more important than the win.
     
  14. PhiSlammaJamma

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    It seems like the field of Analytic Chemistry would heavily favor Harden too.
     
  15. DonKnock

    DonKnock Member

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    The Spurs are actually BETTER defensively when Kawhi is off the court.


    Imagine that:rolleyes:

    Minutes | OPP FG% | Opp Off Rtg

    On Court | SAS | 1988 | .506 | 106.4
    Off Court | SAS | 1200 | .463 | 97.9
    On − Off | SAS | 62% | +.043 | +8.5


    http://www.basketball-reference.com/players/l/leonaka01/on-off/2017
     
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  16. Air Langhi

    Air Langhi Contributing Member

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    Westbrook has by far the the best Box Score plus minus in the league. So when he is on the court the thunder are a much better team. They win 80% of their games when he has a TD. When he doesn't have TD they lose. They aren't just empty stats. I don't really even like WB's game but the homerism is getting ridiculous.
     
  17. DreamShook

    DreamShook Member

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    Do they have votes though? The people that love Harden never have votes...
     
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  18. Mr. Clutch

    Mr. Clutch Contributing Member

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    Can't remember a year there were so many legit candidates.

    Each has a unique case to make.

    In 2014-15 it was pretty much just Curry vs. Harden
     
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  19. DaDakota

    DaDakota If you want to know, just ask!

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    Not to mention an all new position in PG to learn.

    DD
     
  20. Os Trigonum

    Os Trigonum Contributing Member
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    [​IMG]
     
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