Nerlens Noel

not really

 

lol almost every mock or prediction had him going first.

 

yeah he seemed to have a slight edge but no sure thing. Sure thing to go #1 means the player is going to get picked regardless of who has the pick. Anthony Davis was a sure thing.
For instance, Chad Ford had Noel #1 all season but take a look at any Chad Ford article, it was always along the lines of "there's no consensus #1, depends on who has the pick."

 

OK he had about a 95% chance to go 1.

 

well unless you have better sources than Chad Ford, no...

 

OK my sources say he will still be a top 3 pick