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Five perfect free-agent fits Andrew Bynum to Phoenix? How about Josh Smith to Houston?

Discussion in 'Houston Rockets: Game Action & Roster Moves' started by 45souf, Apr 6, 2013.

  1. 45souf

    45souf Member

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    Smith
    Last October, Rockets general manager Daryl Morey was finally rewarded for years of patience and asset hoarding with the gift of James Harden, who has proved to be one of the most dynamic and, perhaps more important, efficient offensive players in the NBA. Although Houston has been stellar offensively this season, the Rockets' defensive efficiency is still below average (106.1 points allowed per 100 possessions, 17th in NBA), despite the efforts of defensive stalwart Omer Asik. The Rockets lack a long, versatile defender who can guard out on the perimeter as well as protect the rim, and have lacked consistent production from the power forward position since the departure of Patrick Patterson at the trade deadline.

    Smith's abilities on both ends of the court fit perfectly with the Rockets' needs. He's a high-wire athlete who would excel in Houston's up-tempo attack. He is versatile enough to play as a stretch PF who can face up and take bigger defenders off the dribble and who can guard multiple positions, particularly on the wing where the Rockets struggle to contain dribble penetration. Ultimately, Smith would benefit from Houston's stats-driven offensive strategy, which would help him become a much more efficient player from shot selection alone.

    The Rockets' cap number is projected to be about $52.4 million, but if they decline the team option on Francisco Garcia ($6.4 million) and waive a nonguaranteed deal like Greg Smith ($884,000) or James Anderson ($916,000), they'll have enough space to offer Josh Smith a deal starting at $13.1 million with 4.5 percent raises every year.

    Andrew Bynum | C | New team: Phoenix Suns
    Suggested contract: $40 million over 3 years (AAV: $13.3 million/year); 2013-14: $12.8 million; 2014-15: $13.3 million; 2015-16: $13.9 million; prior injury exception language in contract; player option on last year


    Bynum
    The Suns are a franchise in the midst of a massive overhaul, with a stable of players who, at best, would be complementary pieces on a good team. With no potential star waiting in the wings and no identifiable playing style or identity, Phoenix needs a franchise-caliber player not only to build around, but also to rally waning fan support (bottom 10 in attendance and percentage of capacity).

    Bynum, when healthy, has proved to be an elite player in the NBA. Of course, Bynum's main flaw is the "when healthy" caveat attached to any compliments to his game. Here's where a move to Phoenix makes the most sense: he would not only benefit from being the Suns' franchise player, he would also have the opportunity to work with one of the league's best training staffs. The list of players who have found basketball life in Phoenix after everyone has written their careers off is endless (Steve Nash, Grant Hill, Antonio McDyess, Shaquille O'Neal and Jermaine O'Neal to name a few). If Bynum is to show the league that he's capable of being relied upon, Phoenix is the place to do it.

    Contractually, a three-year deal worth $40 million with language protecting against injury (basically, second- and third-year guarantees kick in based on games played in prior seasons) would protect the Suns against an albatross deal should Bynum truly be beyond repair. A player option would allow Bynum to tear up his deal and sign one closer to his "true" value should he prove to be healthy. The Suns would need to renounce their free agents (Wes Johnson, Jermaine O'Neal) and Hamed Haddadi ($100,000 2013-14 guarantee) and Shannon Brown ($1.75 million 2013-14 guarantee) to have the cap space to offer Bynum a starting salary of about $12.8 million.

    Al Jefferson | C/PF | New team: San Antonio Spurs
    Suggested contract: $40 million over 4 years (AAV: $10.0 million/year); 2013-14: $9.4 million; 2014-15: $9.8 million; 2015-16: $10.2 million; 2016-17: $10.6 million


    Jefferson
    The Spurs are at a peculiar crossroads: on the one hand, they have the best record in the Western Conference -- and probably would have the best record in the league if it weren't for Miami -- and figure to be one of the favorites to win the title this season. On the other hand, they have yet to determine the future stars of the team outside of Tony Parker and, to a much lesser extent, Kawhi Leonard. Further adding to the matter, they have a number of key players due to become free agents: Manu Ginobili, Stephen Jackson, Tiago Splitter, DeJuan Blair and Gary Neal. But the key at this point is how to maximize the last few years of Tim Duncan's career.

    Jefferson is an accomplished low-post scorer with the ability to step out and knock down the midrange jumper, but he's a negative on the defensive end. The opportunity to play alongside Duncan and for an accomplished coach like Gregg Popovich would be about the only thing that can save him defensively. Meanwhile, his ability to provide a second offensive workhorse to Parker gives the Spurs an opportunity to stretch the title window.

    Because of the number of impending free agents they have, San Antonio will have to exercise some creative bookkeeping and deft timing in closing deals. In order to fit Jefferson at a starting salary of $9.4 million, they'd have to renounce the rights to Jackson and Blair, waive Matt Bonner (only $1 million guaranteed), then come to terms fairly quickly with Ginobili and Splitter on favorable deals (using the valuations I came up with in my Monday piece, they'd start at $5.3 and $6.5 million, respectively).

    Jeff Teague | PG | New team: Utah Jazz
    Suggested contract: $30 million over 4 years (AAV: $7.5 million/year); 2013-14: $7.75 million; 2014-15: $7.75 million; 2015-16: $7.75 million; 2016-17: $6.75 million; player option on last year; 10 percent signing bonus applied


    Teague
    Watching Utah this season, the most glaring need has been at point guard, where they have shuffled in and out a motley crew of players. It should not be lost on us that the guy who has done the best job at the position technically isn't even a point guard (Alec Burks). And although the Jazz have an exciting collection of young talent (Burks, Enes Kanter, Derrick Favors and Gordon Hayward), they need a dynamic young orchestrator to create offense for others. That player must also be a guardable threat on the court.

    Teague's ability to penetrate and get to the rim forces defenses to collapse, which would open up playmaking opportunities for dump-offs to bigs like Favors and Kanter. His ability to shoot from the perimeter would also make him a nice fit in the Jazz flex offense.

    As Larry Coon pointed out, the Jazz figure to have the second-most cap space heading into the offseason, with potentially more than $30 million in room. This gives Utah a lot of flexibility in structuring Teague's offer sheet to make it as unpalatable as possible for Atlanta to match. Other than offering a descending scale contract, they can give Teague a 10 percent signing bonus, which would apply itself equally to all non-option years of the deal. Furthermore, they can arrange to have the cash-out payment schedule (i.e., the actual checks that go out) to pay 50 percent of the salary before the start of the season.

    J.J. Redick | SG | New team: Portland Trail Blazers
    Suggested contract: $26 million over 4 years (AAV: $6.5 million/year); 2013-14: $6.1 million; 2014-15: $6.4 million; 2015-16: $6.6 million; 2016-17: $6.9 million


    Redick
    Like the Suns, the Blazers also hit the reset button this season. Unlike the Suns, the Blazers actually have several assets to be excited about, starting with presumed Rookie of the Year point guard Damian Lillard, All-Star power forward LaMarcus Aldridge, and do-it-all wing Nic Batum. What the Blazers desperately lacked this season was depth; they had one of the league's worst bench production and were forced to play a lot of relatively inexperienced players like Luke Babbitt and Will Barton on the wings. They also lacked perimeter shooting, ranking 19th in the league in 3-point percentage this season, with only one player shooting better than 38 percent from 3-point range (Wes Matthews, 40 percent).

    Redick has established himself not only as one of the premier 3-point shooters in the league (career 39.0 percentage), but also as a versatile contributor as a pick-and-roll ballhandling option and as an underrated defensive player. He'd add veteran leadership to an extremely young team, and he'd fill in those on-court needs and bring depth to the backcourt, either as a reserve or as a starter (sending Matthews to the bench).

    Cap-wise, Portland would have to waive Jared Jeffries and Sasha Pavlovic (both fully unguaranteed deals) and renounce free agents Babbitt, Nolan Smith and Elliot Williams (highly likely since their team options were all declined before the start of the season). They'd also have to come to terms fairly quickly with free agent Eric Maynor to reduce his cap hold to a more manageable number (my suggested contract for him was two years, $5 million for an AAV of $2.5 million). Taking those steps would allow them to sign Redick to a deal starting at $6.1 million, while still giving them the flexibility to make a decision on J.J. Hickson without having to renounce his rights.

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    Amin Elhassan
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    Video coordinator, college scout, Phoenix Suns
    Assistant director of basketball operations, Phoenix Suns
    MBA from Arizona State University
     
  2. 45souf

    45souf Member

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    It cut off the first part...


    Josh Smith | PF/SF | New team: Houston Rockets
    Suggested contract: $56 million over 4 years (AAV: $14.0 million/year); 2013-14: $13.1 million; 2014-15: $13.7 million; 2015-16: $14.3 million; 2016-17: $14.9 million; player option on last year
     
  3. ngazi

    ngazi Member

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    Smith is the most expensive...
     
  4. bucket

    bucket Member

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    What's the source? You should post a link.

    There's no way Morey gives Smith a $14m player option. Morey hates player options.
     
  5. 45souf

    45souf Member

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    Espn insider....
     
  6. BreakYoSelfFool

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    Smith is also the best available free agent listed. Dwight will make more, but if we can get Josh for 12-14 mil, which I think is quite possible; he will be the 2nd best value for a non-rookie contract big man in the league behind Omer Asik.
     
  7. SirKen

    SirKen Member

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    Lol @ Rockets waiving greg smith
     
  8. nbalopez23

    nbalopez23 Member

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    Smith said he wasn't looking for a max contract. So why does everyone assume we would offer him the max? For the right price I'm down for Smith
     
  9. rocketblaze

    rocketblaze Member

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    If we truly go after Josh Smith ... then I think we should use Greg Smith, Terrence Jones and/or Thomas Robinson as assets to get one of the young top center's in this years draft.

    Nerlens Noel is probably out of reach, but guys like Alex Len, Rudy Gobert, and Isaiah Austin may be attainable. Having a young true center to develop behind Asik provide us with some insurance in the long-run, given that Asik's contract only has two more years on the books.
     
  10. Old Man Rock

    Old Man Rock Contributing Member

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    I am okay with smith in a sign and trade to dump one of our other PF's and also sign Korver.Sign and trade Smith and Korver or sign Korver outright and SnT Smith and throw whatever salary we must to make the trade work. Korver becomes an upgrade over Delfino and Garcia. The deadliest 3 point shooter ever. That's what this team needs. If DMo can become an off the bench stretch 4 we will become one of the best 3 point shooting teams.

    The Rockets are very close with this squad. If they pick up another star they may become a true title contender. Unfortunately Howard and Paul or doubtful. I do not see Morey walk away this offseason without at least a second tier star. Josh Smith meets that bill. I would try to trade for Kevin Love first but Smith and Korver would be a good alternative.

    We retain two of our young PF while upgrading the PF spot and Smith can play some 3. We also upgrade Delfino and Garcia both who have proven valuable. Smith Jones and Dmo at the 4, Asik and Greg Smith at the 5, Parsons and Korver at the 3, Lin and Beverly at the 1, Harden and Maybe Anderson or some other 3 point shooting vet at the 2. Maybe Royce White comes around this off season and we pick up one second round keeper. Thats a roster to go forward with.
     
  11. douglasreedy1

    douglasreedy1 Member

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    Not sure if that's realistic, but it's a nice thought...
     
  12. Verbal Christ

    Verbal Christ Member

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    JJ Redick? Yes please.
     
  13. Raven

    Raven Member

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    Ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha.
     
  14. thedude077

    thedude077 Member

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    No to Josh Smith.
     
  15. GoRox2013

    GoRox2013 Member

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    I think Josh Smith would be great here. It depends on what we do afterwards though. Not sure why everybody's infatuated with getting a big name center. All we truly need is a shot blocker who can defend and finish (Ibaka, Mcgee etc..) and honestly Asik is already some of that. Id honestly try to pry & up & coming point guard to run the offense and create off the dribble
     
  16. jayhow92

    jayhow92 Member

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    No to josh smith. He's the Rudy gay of power forwards.
     
  17. Commodore

    Commodore Contributing Member

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    lol at giving Bynum a $13.9 million player option
     
  18. Zacatecas

    Zacatecas Member

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    What is amazing is that with all this cap space upcoming, the Rockets are in the thick of the hunt. Talk about gravy or the cherry on top. Whomever they pick needs to be an ace and provide what they pay for. Bynum is too injury prone and that could sidetrack this awsome effort by Morey of building the current team.
     
  19. dachuda86

    dachuda86 Member

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    Smith is going to play with Harden... no brainer...
     
  20. The Stig

    The Stig Member

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    I'd still think waiting for LaMarcus Aldridge is a better move for the Rockets...
     
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