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[ESPN Insider] Roster Reload: Rockets should chase Love or Aldridge

Discussion in 'Houston Rockets: Game Action & Roster Moves' started by Broford, May 27, 2015.

  1. Broford

    Broford Member

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    As teams complete their seasons, ESPN Insider's NBA team will take a look at the offseason picture and priorities for all 30 teams. Below, Kevin Pelton offers a snapshot of the Houston Rockets.

    2014-15 record: 56-26
    Pythagorean record: 50-32
    Offensive rating: 104.2 (12th)
    Defensive rating: 100.5 (6th)

    Under Contract For 2015-16
    PLAYER SALARY RPM WARP
    James Harden $15,756,438 8.3 20.2
    Trevor Ariza $8,193,030 1.1 5.2
    Dwight Howard $22,359,364 0.9 3.1
    Terrence Jones $2,489,530 0.1 2.6
    Donatas Motiejunas $2,288,205 0.3 1.0
    Clint Capela $1,242,720 -1.8 0.0
    Joey Dorsey $1,015,421 -0.6 -0.3
    Nick Johnson $845,059 -4.0 -0.9
    Possible Free Agents
    PLAYER TYPE RPM WARP
    Josh Smith Unrestricted -1.6 3.9
    Pablo Prigioni Partially guaranteed -0.9 2.5
    Patrick Beverley Restricted -1.2 1.9
    Jason Terry Unrestricted 0.1 1.9
    Corey Brewer Player option -1.0 1.6
    K.J. McDaniels Restricted -4.2 -0.3
    Kostas Papanikolaou Team option -3.0 -0.6
    Draft picks

    New Orleans first-round pick (18th)
    New York second-round pick (32nd)

    Projected cap space

    Maximum: $9.4 million
    Minimum: $0
    Likely: $0

    What's returning

    Four of the Rockets' five starters are under contract, starting with the runner-up in MVP voting. James Harden will be a bargain during the remaining three years of his rookie extension, which will pay him a combined $50 million as the cap escalates. The value proposition is a bit more dubious for Dwight Howard, the team's highest-paid player at $45.6 million over the next two years. Howard wasn't the same during an injury-plagued regular season that saw him play just 41 games. However, he was terrific in the postseason, averaging 18.4 points, 14.1 rebounds and 3.2 blocks per 36 minutes. Houston will hope to get that Howard over a relatively full season, though injuries may remain an issue as Howard nears his 30s.

    In his second tour of duty, Trevor Ariza saw his 3-point percentage regress from 40.7 percent with the Washington Wizards in 2013-14 to 35.0 percent. Ariza was much better at the defensive end, playing a key role in the Rockets' improvement to fifth in defensive rating.

    Young big men Terrence Jones and Donatas Motiejunas give Houston depth behind Howard in the frontcourt. Despite dealing with his own litany of injuries, Jones averaged 15.6 points and 8.9 rebounds per 36 minutes while on the court. Motiejunas enjoyed a breakthrough third season, starting 62 games in place of Howard and Jones, before his own campaign was ended prematurely by -- you guessed it -- injury.

    Rookies Clint Capela and Nick Johnson saw intermittent playing time. Capela was effective in the D-League and flashed potential as a pick-and-roll finisher and rim protector off the bench late in the season and in the playoffs.

    Free agents

    Point guard Patrick Beverley hits restricted free agency after a season marred by -- you'll never imagine! -- injuries. Beverley was limited to 56 games and missed the entire postseason after wrist surgery. When on the court, he wasn't nearly as effective, making just 42.6 percent of his 2-point attempts and failing to play his typical bulldog defense. That may limit his value on the market.

    Several veteran Rockets reserves will be unrestricted free agents. Jason Terry was seemingly on his way out of the league before resurrecting his career in Houston. He can still help as a combo guard off the bench. According to Grantland's Zach Lowe, Corey Brewer agreed to decline a player option for 2015-16 as a condition of his midseason trade to the Rockets. He padded his value with impressive play as part of an up-tempo bench unit.

    Speaking of enhancing value and resurrecting a career, Josh Smith will be an unrestricted free agent after demonstrating to teams he can still play a role on a contender. While Smith's shooting will always be an issue, in Houston he played to his other skills as an undersized rim protector and playmaker from the frontcourt.

    Biggest need: Secondary playmaking

    Harden effectively served as the Rockets' point guard, making a team-high 7.0 assists per game. On the rare occasions opponents were able to contain him one-on-one, Houston's offense became disturbingly one-dimensional. Adding Smith helped, and his pick-and-rolls with Howard were a major factor in the Rockets carving up the Dallas Mavericks in the opening round. But Beverley, Terry and veteran Pablo Prigioni aren't really playmaking point guards. While a player who needs the ball in his hands won't fit well with Harden, Houston could use a player capable of setting up teammates in a pinch.

    Biggest question: What does GM Daryl Morey have up his sleeve?

    Fresh off 56 wins and a trip to the conference finals, most teams would probably be content to stand pat and re-sign their free agents. That seems unlikely with the Rockets, given their GM's predilection for bold strokes. The defeat at the hands of the Warriors reinforced that Houston must still improve to win a Western Conference title, and Morey has set up the Rockets for flexibility. They could create more than $9 million in cap space. Despite not currently having enough money, Houston will be in the hunt for top free agents like LaMarcus Aldridge and Kevin Love -- both of whom would play a role similar to the one the Rockets hoped Chris Bosh would fill last summer -- via either sign-and-trade deals or by trading players to clear the necessary room. If a max player signed on, Houston could put together a package of Ariza, Jones or Motiejunas, Prigioni and a free agent or two signed to a new contract -- better value than their previous teams are likely to get elsewhere if Aldridge or Love decides to leave.

    Ideal offseason

    Love decides to reunite with Rockets coach Kevin McHale, who originally drafted him in Minnesota, to give Houston another shot creator on offense. After completing a sign-and-trade, the Rockets re-sign Beverley to a three-year, $15 million deal, and also bring back Brewer and draft Cameron Payne with the first-round pick they acquired from the New Orleans Pelicans last summer for Omer Asik. Smith takes a discount to re-sign for one year using Non-Bird rights, allowing Houston to use the mid-level exception to re-sign McDaniels to compete with Brewer to start at small forward.
     
    1 person likes this.
  2. J.R.

    J.R. Member

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    That's frightening!
     
  3. rhino17

    rhino17 Member

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    I want NoTHING to do with Love

    If they have any money, it needs to be spent on a guard, I am totally fine with DMO at pf
     
  4. BossHogg713

    BossHogg713 Member

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    So trade Ariza and let KJ Brewer do the work?

    I honestly wouldn't' mind that.
     
  5. J.R.

    J.R. Member

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    The thought of McDaniels or Brewer starting is scary (and I'm not talking about in a good way).
     
  6. Rockets_12

    Rockets_12 Member

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    I only trade Ariza if it lands us Aldridge. I wouldn't trade him for Kevin Love.
     
  7. Rockets25

    Rockets25 Member

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    No way. Need Ariza's shooting and defense. KJ doesn't have a clue on the offensive end and Brewer is a good energy that you want coming off the bench.
     
  8. Franchize

    Franchize Member

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    Go for Love?
    Our defense will be even more **** if we get Love
     
  9. mkahanek

    mkahanek Member

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    Jesus. So our offense built on 3's and you want Brewer to start. eesh
     
  10. Phillyrocket

    Phillyrocket Member

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    So it would be:

    Bev/Terry?/NJ
    Harden/Payne
    Brewer/McDaniels
    Love/Smith
    Howard/Capela

    Hmm...
     
  11. deshen

    deshen Member

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    LoL, there are still Love fans by now?
     
  12. J.R.

    J.R. Member

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    Let me make this clear :grin::

    I DO NOT WANT MCDANIELS OR BREWER STARTING!

    KEEP ARIZA!
     
  13. RedRedemption

    RedRedemption Contributing Member

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    People act like Bosh and Love suck now because their stats dropped with LeBron-led teams.

    I would be ecstatic if we could somehow nab Love.

    That being said, not realistic. No way it happens.
    We need to go after the next best thing in Lawson and trade Jones for a power forward that doesn't play like a 7 year old girl.
     
  14. Blurr#7

    Blurr#7 Contributing Member

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    We must keep Ariza.
     
  15. J Sizzle

    J Sizzle Member

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    After what Ariza did in the playoffs, trading him and all he does for the team for a career underachiever at a position we're not terribly bad at, I can't do that.
     
  16. baller4life315

    baller4life315 Contributing Member

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    Well, if losing Ariza means getting Love that's something that you have to live with. I say that as a monster Ariza fan.
     
  17. SooneRockStro

    SooneRockStro Member

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    Does Love or Aldridge rebound any better than TJ or Smith?
     
  18. J.R.

    J.R. Member

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    Of course. If you want something, you gotta give to get.
     
  19. BossHogg713

    BossHogg713 Member

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    lol.

    We just need better shooters all around but if Ariza has to be thrown in a trade for a Start caliber player? I'm doing that all day.

    I think KJ brings a diff mentality and athleticism to our team.

    NBA DRAFT - Draft shooters. I don't care what position.
     
  20. peleincubus

    peleincubus Member

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    id rather sign beverley to come off the bench with brewer and have a decent point guard born no earlier then the late 80's.

    people born in the 70's should not be starting for a team going to the finals in professional basketball :p
     

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