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Draft is like a box of chocolate...

Discussion in 'Houston Rockets: Game Action & Roster Moves' started by meh, Jun 20, 2010.

  1. meh

    meh Contributing Member

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    ...You never know what you're going to get.

    And indeed, if there's anything I learned from reading clutchfans, it's that the draft is a crapshoot. No scouting involved, no projection involved. After all, who the hell studies a crapshoot? Do you try to project which numbers are going to be the next lottery balls? Of course not. You wear your lucky socks and pat your dog 3 times because the last time you did that, you got 4 numbers.

    What's REALLY necessary in a draft, obviously, is LUCK.

    So let's study some lucky teams, and unlucky teams.

    Utah Jazz - Lucky

    The hated Jazz may not attract free agents, but they can certainly get lucky in the draft. After years of being in the playoffs with Stockton and Malone, the Jazz finally sunk into lotteryville in 2005.

    And DD snicker after they did the unthinkable. They traded up. They gave up an asset to do so too, giving Portland the #27 pick, which, quite frankly is 15 spots higher than where CBud was drafted.

    But alas, they got lucky. For some reason, Deron Williams turned out to be the real deal. Damn it!! If only the Rockets could've gotten Elgin Baylor close to their war room, maybe they'd have taken Raymond Felton instead. But no, the force was with the Jazz. And they took BPA of the entire freaking draft(assuming Bogut doesn't become Dream-like in his 30s), and bid farewell to lottery land quickly after one season.

    OKC - Lucky

    Okay, so Durant was a no-brainer. But Jeff Green, James Harden, and Russell Westbrook were not. Basketball gods says two of them would suck. And on average, they'd be no better than CBud or worse. But alas, the traitorous team overcame all karma and odds to get one likely future all-star in Westbrook, and two above average players at least in Harden and Green.

    This is, of course, simply blasphemy. And you have to wonder if Petrie has some great Fengshui offices and priests to clean out the bad karma. And if so, Morey needs to do the freaking same!

    Boston Celtics - Fair luck

    Boston had good and bad luck. They had good luck when they got Bird, but then the basketball gods decided they should be punished, and tooketh away Duncan from them.

    But in recent years, Boston again started to get good luck. How else do you explain Jefferson at #13, Rondo at #19? But notice something here. Morey was part of their "good luck era". Which was obviously the reason why Les hired the man. Les was smart, because Morey indeed brought some of that luck with him to the Rockets, which resulted in some lucky draft for Houston.

    Houston Rockets - Fair luck

    Like the Celtics, the Rockets had its highs and lows, to a lesser extent. But the basketball gods are fair. They give us Hakeem, but decided he was too overpowered. So as a result, the gods nerfed Sampson and later nerfed Yao when he started looking like he was dominating. But with T-Mac and Yao's injuries, said gods decided to throw the Rockets a bone, so they gave them some luck in the draft. Not Lebron-like luck, but Brooks/Landry/Budinger type.

    LA Clippers - Bad luck

    The Clippers must've really angered basketball gods. Because they never get any luck. Even when they're lucky, they get unlucky(see: Griffin, Blake). People used to blame Elgin Baylor. But it's not Baylor fault he cannot help but dance at basketball gods' whims. It's not his fault luck had him drafting the Kandiman. And it seems clutchfans is beginning to realize this. That the Clippers utter failures in drafts aren't really their own fault. No more so than a guy who keeps failing at craps, or can't even get 3 numbers from buying tons of lottery tickets. The Clippers cannot go against their destiny. They can only hope to survive it.

    Conclusion

    I used to think Morey's success came from his team of brilliant minds. But I think that's only his first step. His next step? How to obtain GODLY LUCK. I bet he's trying to combine SA's Duncan luck, Cleveland's Lebron Luck, Miami's Wade's luck, LA's Kobe luck, and combine all of them together to create the ultimate luck. And then the Rockets will never again draft Bryce Drew or Mirstad Turkjan. They'd forever draft only BPAs every time.

    That, my friends, is the next step of number crunching. LUCK CRUNCHING.
     
    1 person likes this.
  2. mike_lu

    mike_lu Member

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    In response to your post ... Mehhhh
     
  3. iconoclastic

    iconoclastic Member

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  4. kingjosh

    kingjosh Member

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    i really hope this was meant to be a joke
     
  5. clos4life

    clos4life Contributing Member

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    If anyone can develop an algorithm to crunch luck numbers it is Morey.


    Ger r' dun Morey!
     
  6. rockets88MT

    rockets88MT Member

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  7. RudyTBag

    RudyTBag Contributing Member

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    Haha great post...:) Love it... +Rep...
     
  8. Easy

    Easy Very Calm
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    I've always said, you have to be BOTH good AND lucky to win it all.
     
  9. Trip

    Trip Member

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    I don't know what chocolate you get but I stick to the tried-and-true where I know what every variety tastes like.

    As for the post, entertaining read. I don't believe in anything regarding "basketball gods" but do agree that luck is the number one factor in making draft choices. You can have the best evaluator of talent but that won't mean anything if the player is perennially injured or worse, goes down the Len Bias route.
     
  10. PotStu

    PotStu Member

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    The draft isn't gunna make our team!!!!
     
  11. meh

    meh Contributing Member

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    Glad to see you understand. :)
     
  12. Carl Herrera

    Carl Herrera Contributing Member

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    I know what you are hinting at.

    [​IMG]

    At the NBA draft, your possible choices include a few white ones here and there, but are mostly brown, some lighter in shade than others.
     
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  13. Spacemoth

    Spacemoth Contributing Member

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    And if you are Utah you can only choose the white or light brown ones :rolleyes: .
     
  14. ArtV

    ArtV Contributing Member

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    And how did the great teams come about?

    Lakers? Trade for a good pick that allowed them to get a drafted Kobe.
    Celtics? Draft Pierce and trade everything you have for Allen and Garnett.
    Heat? Draft Wade.
    Magic? Draft Howard.
    Cavs? Draft Lebron.
     
  15. coachbadlee

    coachbadlee Member

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    The team is already made. The draft will be used to upgrade.
     
  16. Yetti

    Yetti Contributing Member

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    I like the black chocolate ones myself. they are the most beneficial, much better than the dark ones, which are blended !! :p
     
  17. k-money

    k-money Member

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    and if ur boston u can only choose black and light brown.
     
  18. RyanB

    RyanB Member

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    luck or destiny
    yes we need it so baad
     
  19. thaidizzle

    thaidizzle Member

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    lol so true!
     
  20. rocketblaze

    rocketblaze Member

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    Well hopefully we get lucky on draft night, so we can move up to get Cousins...

    --RB
     
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