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Capela has missed 10 games this season. Rockets are 9-1.

Discussion in 'Houston Rockets: Game Action & Roster Moves' started by bmd, Feb 3, 2020.

  1. bmd

    bmd Member

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    I calculated the Rockets' offensive and defensive ratings in those games. There was one game which I'm throwing out, which was the game on November 30th against the Hawks in which the Rockets won by 47 points. That is such an outlier that it would skew the results, so I'm not counting that game in these numbers:

    In games Capela missed:

    Offensive rating: 115.0 (2nd)
    Defensive rating: 105.7 (5th)
    Net rating: 9.3 (2nd)


    That net rating would be a comfortable 2nd in the NBA today behind Milwaukee. That offensive rating would be a comfortable 2nd behind Dallas, and that defensive rating would be good for 5th, ahead of the Lakers and Clippers and close to the 3rd ranked Celtics.


    As of now, the Rockets rank for the season:

    Offensive rating: 113.3 (3rd)
    Defensive rating: 109.6 (15th)
    Net rating: 3.7 (8th)



    Not only has Capela's absence not hurt them, it seems to actually have helped them. They've been going small for a reason. If they can add a legit 3 and D guy like Covington, it could really help to supercharge both the offense and defense. Rather than spending 14 million on a center, with this specific team, it makes more sense to spend that money mostly on a SF, and find a center that fits and can contribute elsewhere. The money would be better distributed for what this team needs.
     
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  2. KingCheetah

    KingCheetah Contributing Member

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  3. fryjol7

    fryjol7 Member

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    I can live in a world where straightforward you tell me we won't go into Luxury and I'll buy the idea that going ultra small, like 60s small, is our best option. And I'll root for it and enjoy the ride.

    But you (not you, but you get the point) have been talking about the right moment to spend, so we are angry about the lies and the posturing. And being bad at that.

    I think it may be even poetic that Mike D'Antoni and Daryl Morey's last ballad with us is going to be a small ball, all guards 6'5 lineup. We may be even go from boring to fun in the same season. It's frustrating to see all the lost rebounds, but we may even make it to the 2nd round playing like that.

    Bottomline, it may not make a difference, but that does not make better the lousy scenarios we have discussed.
     
    clutchdabear likes this.
  4. fallenphoenix

    fallenphoenix Contributing Member

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    quick, don't let our trade partners see this!
     
  5. Air Yordan

    Air Yordan Member

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  6. Vivi

    Vivi Member

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    Another guy posted this early today, with the list of the games we won, give it a look, it was only against bad teams aside for Miami (without Butler), Indiana (without Turner) and Utah (Harden and Westbrook also out). The rest of the games were against Atlanta, NOLA, Minnesota, Brooklyn and similar teams so, i don't know what we can really make about that, maybe there's something here, but the opponenets just weren't good.
     
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  7. RudyTBag

    RudyTBag Contributing Member

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    Seriously... Spacing over everything. Switching over everything.

    Go get Covington and Crowder already.
     
    BaselineFade likes this.
  8. snowconeman22

    snowconeman22 Member

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    That’s because we played Hartenstein ;)
     
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  9. DreamShook

    DreamShook Member

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    I won't allow cluthfans to slander Clint in this way!

    [​IMG]
     
  10. Hank McDowell

    Hank McDowell Member

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    I feel like this is exactly the logic they are using, and if it allows Tilman to shed some salary all the better. I’m still not crazy about the idea because it all hinges on getting someone like Covington, who they’ve already had before in Trevor Aliza, and, well, Covington. It just feels like we are always driving in circles.
     
  11. bmd

    bmd Member

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    That's good no matter who you're playing. Just for example, I'll pick a comparable 10 game stretch like the one from December 7th to December 25th. During that span, the Rockets went 7-3 against some similar teams:

    Phoenix
    Sacramento
    Cleveland
    Orlando
    Detroit
    San Antonio
    LA Clippers
    Phoenix
    Sacramento
    Golden State


    Most of those teams suck. Yet they went 7-3, losing to Sacramento, Detroit, and Golden State.

    Their offensive and defensive ratings during that stretch?

    Offense: 114.4
    Defense: 110.7
    Net: +3.8


    Those efficiency ratings almost exactly mimic their ratings for the season. Yet in the games Capela didn't play vs. similar competition, their efficiency ratings were much better.
     
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  12. icewill36

    icewill36 Member

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    because we dont play teams like lakers or bucks every night. this will get exposed in the playoffs for sure.
     
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  13. bmd

    bmd Member

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    It's not Clint as a player. He's very good. He just doesn't fit in as well with this year's specific team. He could 100% help other teams.
     
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  14. bmd

    bmd Member

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    Maybe. But do you think they're beating those teams with the team how it is now? Some personnel needs to be shuffled around to make this work, and Clint is the only realistic pathway to making that happen. Getting a legit forward 100% absolutely has to happen for this year and going forward. If that happens, it's much easier to fill in the holes.
     
  15. DaDakota

    DaDakota Contributing Member

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    They were like 56-3 with him and Harden and CP3 - about 2 years ago....so....uh....your point is/was?

    DD
     
  16. Reeko

    Reeko Member

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    the equivalent of “Rockets were 14-0 without Ariza during the regular season...let his ass go, he’s overrated and not worth the money”...2 years later, and we’re still trying to replace him
     
  17. HP3

    HP3 Member

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    We get it man...the point is Cp is gone and Russ is here so we gotta do what we gotta do. I hate trading one of our players as much as anyone.
     
    D-rock likes this.
  18. Juxtaposed Jolt

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    If bmd's next thread is something positive about Hartenstein, we'll know @bmd is Harty's CF handle. ;)
     
    D-rock likes this.
  19. D-rock

    D-rock Member

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    http://www.espn.com/nba/tradeMachine?tradeId=su8ahnq

    Russ/Rivers
    Harden/Ego/Okogie
    Covington/Iwundu
    AG/Thabo
    Timelord/Harty/Tyson

    https://bellyupsports.com/2019/08/the-most-versatile-pick-n-roll-defenders-in-the-nba/

    This is what happens when AG is allowed to play in pace and space system. 2nd best offense behind GSW in 2018.

    https://basketballforever.com/2017/11/01/aaron-gordon-driving-orlando-magics-stunning-turnaround
     
  20. ipaman

    ipaman Contributing Member

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    I appreciate the effort and posts but there are so many variables (did Harden go off, Bad Russ or Good Russ, etc...) that it's not as simple as Clint. I think this team should be built to beat the Denver, Clippers, and Lakers. Those are the only teams I legit see getting in the way to a Finals runs. They are not exactly the same but we should build a roster than can adjust to win against those teams.
     
    pgabriel likes this.
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