Well said my friend, well said. Im gonna go ahead and read those two previous posts over again as my bed time story...
the cat layed a beat down.... how many spring trainings have i heard how good the cubs are going to be? lmao, i'll believe it if i ever see it.
I can't type as much as you. Cards and Cubs will have a better season. It's my opinion, bring this thread back up at the end of the season if I'm wrong.
Kudos to you for presenting your opinion as such: an opinion. I disagree with you as well, and I'm convinced I'm right , but mine is just as much opinion as yours.
If anyone is headed to Vegas, please put a bet down for me too! I can't believe I didn't search a sportsbook out that had these odds listed (I swung by 3...none of them were doing season games over/unders)
Right. Anomalies. There's a bunch of 'em every year. Which is why predictions of their type are not functionally useful. They're interesing or fun, I guess, but not useful. Way too many variables.
If you don't mind my asking, what are you baseing this projection on? Jennings posted a career-best 3.78 ERA last year, and his peripherals really weren't very impressive (low K-rate, mediocre WHIP, 1.67 K/BB). It's not like he was hurt by pitching in Coors either, his ERA was lower at home (3.56) than it was on the road (3.97) and he probably benefitted from the tall infield grass in Colorado. Even if he duplicates the year he had last year (and I think it's probably more likely he'll regress a bit), I'm not so sure the Astros' lineup will give him enough run support to win 17+ games. If your predictions is based on optimism, that's fine, everyone's entitled to it in Spring Training.. I was just wondering if there was evidence of a big improvement from Jennings that I wasn't aware of.
i realize his splits were better at home. he's a sinker-ball pitcher. pitching in Houston REGULARLY is going to help him. and definitely "hope springs eternal" is part of it!
I do think pitching full time away from Colorado will help him. I'm just not sure to what degree. Having the break on your pitches change half the time is bound to disrupt some things. Whenever you went on the road you'd have to adjust your release point to locate the pitch where you want it. At least Coors was consistent 'cause you're playing half your games there. Although somewhat unexpected, it's not entirely that surprising he pitched better at home.