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[Climate Change] Lake Erie up to 60% Covered in Ice

Discussion in 'BBS Hangout: Debate & Discussion' started by Cohete Rojo, Jan 13, 2015.

  1. Cohete Rojo

    Cohete Rojo Contributing Member

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    Sounds like the jet streams (polar and subtropical). The polar jet stream is currently experiencing higher amplitudes (arctic amplitude). The column of air above the Arctic is expanding upwards - increasing in altitude. This reduces the gradient in the upper atmosphere between the equator and poles (dipping down toward the poles), causes the jet stream to dip south, reach higher latitudes and break circulation (like a meandering river developing an oxbow lake).
     
  2. rhadamanthus

    rhadamanthus Contributing Member

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    This. Tallanvor must be a troll, because if he's really this stupid I'm amazed he can type.
     
  3. Nivos

    Nivos Member

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    Thank you, its so much fun having those discussions than others on this board.
    First you make valid points, its hard to argue with someone that don't want to pay now with an argument of "what if?" Its like convincing someone in his 20's to do a medical insurance, he's all healthy now, why should he think that it might all go to hell in the future?

    I will try to explain why I think that investing now in research and new technologies to help maintain pollution and depleting of natural resources (of all sorts, not only fossil fuels but also water, E-waste and the many aspects of man made consumption side products).

    I do agree that we need to find better ways to give a real cost/benefit analysis. We are still not there because of the field of giving an actual value to "free" natural resources and hidden costs of pollution is still very young. There is a miss communication of languish between science and economist due to the different ways we observe the world.

    Science has always seen further into the future, but scientist way of thinking is skeptic, always with a doubt. Decision makers find it extremely annoying and unproductive. "how can you tell me that something 'might' happen? will it or will it not?" The environment of scientific uncertainty is almost impossible to deal with in the real world.

    The business world however, is a little bit more visionary. It looks at opportunities. Looks for solutions. As early as 1800 Malthusian catastrophe theory of food shortage due to exponential growth of human population has brought real concern to the world.
    Right after WW2 a lot of money was invested in research and developing new technologies in modern agriculture to attack the future Malthusian catastrophe theory. It led to the "green revolution" and consequently saved the lives of billion of people in developing countries from starvation.

    Our dependent on fossil fuels and our over consumption and depleting of natural resources brought together scientist all over the world with a warning- "we can't continue in that road".
    Now we must hear them and look for solutions. Continue living like we do now "might" lead to our demise. It might not. We are smart. We're adaptive. We will find solutions- but it cost money.
    So why should you spend it in the sake of these "Islanders"? No, in the sake of your children.
    Using less nylon bags doesn't cost you money, changing your light bulb to a more efficient one will end up saving you money, thinking of ways to use less of your car will save you money. So why are we complaining?
     
  4. Cohete Rojo

    Cohete Rojo Contributing Member

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  5. Sweet Lou 4 2

    Sweet Lou 4 2 Contributing Member
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    The FACT is that there is more heat in the atmosphere now than in the last millions of years. That doesn't mean some places will not have colder temperatures. A warmer atmosphere may in fact make some places colder.

    Weather is far more complex as it involve things such as ocean currents and jet streams. One impact of a warmer climate is a weaker jet stream which would actually bring colder air into the u.s. in the winter and could result in greater ice extent.

    Over all the temperature is rising, and the oceans are rising as well.

    I suggest you stick to attacking religion vs. science.
     
  6. Sweet Lou 4 2

    Sweet Lou 4 2 Contributing Member
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    [​IMG]

    ANy questions?
     
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  7. Dubious

    Dubious Contributing Member

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    Yup, so the cold air that would be more over the poles is more over Lake Erie.... because the Earth is balancing more heat energy. But really it was just an O'reilly joke.
     
  8. FV Santiago

    FV Santiago Member

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    Yes, I have some questions for you:
    1. Why are you concerned about less than 1% of temperature anomaly from trough to peak over 130 years?
    2. Why did you choose the timeframe that you chose? Why did you choose a 130 year sample size when the earth is millions of years old?
    3. The chart speaks nothing to causation, what did you look at to determine what caused this rise?
    4. Why did you choose a 130 year sample size when the earth is millions of years old?
    5. What, if any, are the negative consequences of a 0.7% movement in "temperature anomaly"?
    6. How do you define "temperature anomaly"?


    As you can tell, it is intellectually deficient to look at an upward sloping line graph and draw any type of conclusions whatsoever. It must have context, which this simply doesn't have. And this is the work of "science" that some of you hold so sacred? This wouldn't even pass for a B in an introductory statistics class.
     
  9. Cohete Rojo

    Cohete Rojo Contributing Member

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    I think you meant pole and not poles. The jet stream, not the polar vortex, is not making it colder over the Great Lakes than it is over the North Pole. I don't know if this is some kind of balancing effect but the IPCC seems to think the majority of warming over the coming century will be in the polar regions. It is in fact warming in the Arctic that is pushing up the air mass; to my knowledge it is not equatorial heating causing the slope to flatten out.
     
  10. Faust

    Faust Member

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    my head hurts after someone linked this page for me to read. i think i may have been wrong.. it bothers me after i read what the pentagon also said and those guys aren't stupid which is why our military is #1. still it doesnt change that we all go down together because we have the freedom to destroy ourselves. global warming or climate change is a way for our species to suicide. you either need to do a better job at stopping us from jumping or just to letting us do it. in the end most of us will return to jesus.

    http://grist.org/series/skeptics/

    How to Talk to a Climate Skeptic: Responses to the most common skeptical arguments on global warming

    Below is a complete listing of the articles in “How to Talk to a Climate Skeptic,” a series by Coby Beck containing responses to the most common skeptical arguments on global warming. There are four separate taxonomies; arguments are divided by:

    Stages of Denial,
    Scientific Topics,
    Types of Argument, and
    Levels of Sophistication.
     
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  11. Nivos

    Nivos Member

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    Thank you Faust- a great piece that is doing a much better job than me of explaining what is happening and why its important to address it.

    FV Santiago, I urge you to read it. It will answer most of your questions.
     
  12. Sweet Lou 4 2

    Sweet Lou 4 2 Contributing Member
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    2014 the hottest year on record.

    http://www.nbcnews.com/science/envi...rd-warmest-year-noaa-nasa-experts-say-n287551

    When are you guys going to pull your head out of the sand? Seriously, do you not have kids or anything?

    The earth is clearly warming. The links to man-made emissions are by scientific standards - rock solid. This is not correlation - it is causation. If you don't understand that than you don't buy into science at all and might as well believe that dinosaur bones are 4000 years old.
     
  13. rimrocker

    rimrocker Contributing Member

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    [​IMG]

    The blue is now the anomaly.
     
  14. Cohete Rojo

    Cohete Rojo Contributing Member

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    It is colder now than it was 8000 years ago. I haven't seen any evidence in this thread of a link between man made influences and warming. As I said earlier, there is no evidence to show CO2 as a climate driver in the past.

    Though, if 2014 is the warmest on record then we have returned to a state of warming, obviously.
     
  15. Faust

    Faust Member

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    ive found some answers to you from that website i linked earlier. i think all your objections are found on that website. http://grist.org/series/skeptics/

     
  16. Sweet Lou 4 2

    Sweet Lou 4 2 Contributing Member
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    There wasn't 7.5 billion people with half that population living in low lying areas 8000 years ago either.

    There a ton of evidence by the way that co2 is behind climate change that goes beyond correlation. It has been posted here. Why are you ignoring it?
     
  17. KingCheetah

    KingCheetah Contributing Member

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    Austin Water to add more rules to Stage Three restrictions

    Even with the recent rain in Central Texas, it hasn't fallen in the right places to help alleviate drought conditions.

    The Austin Water Utility is hoping for the best but planning for the worst, and one business says homeowners are preparing, too.

    link
     
  18. val_modus

    val_modus Member

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    As someone who is absolutely on the side that climate change is anthropogenic and denying it would be ignorant, can somebody link me an informative article or shortly summarize how it leads to more natural wildfires, droughts, and extreme storms? This is not me being sarcastic, I am actually interested to learn more on the subject. (Although it is sad that some would see this post as sarcastic, because there are actual people who would ask those questions to mock those of us who believe in the people who's entire careers it is to study this science).
     
  19. FV Santiago

    FV Santiago Member

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    Can someone please enlighten me as to why we should be freaking out over whether the earth's temperature has increased by a mere 1 degree over 100 years? This is a negligible increase, yet people are acting like 1 degree will somehow tip the scales to make the earth uninhabitable. The hyperbole is very damaging to the credibility of the global warming movement.

    Why is a 1 degree rise over 100 years something that a family should spend $1000's of dollars on per year?
     
  20. Spacemoth

    Spacemoth Contributing Member

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    You cannot reference actual temperatures, but rather you must think about the buffering mechanisms within the planet to help keep things the way they are, the way humans were evolved to eke out a life under, and how those mechanisms are changing. Those two things, of course, are the oceans and the polar ice caps.

    Think back to your chemistry class and what you may have learned regarding buffers. In a given solution you may place a salt which can simultaneously form acid or base under different pH's. Under most conditions, the pH of the solution will remain near constant, and you can add acid or base in either direction and the salt will simply compensate to make neutral compounds out of what you are adding in. But eventually, there comes a time when all the salt has been consumed, and now you lose your buffering capacity. You have overwhelmed the system. The human body works like this, with the blood pH calibrated to be 7.4 and carbon dioxide/bicarbonate serving as the buffer.

    Well, in terms of the planet earth, even if you want to grasp at straws regarding the subtle changes in temperature variation (means, variances, whatever), the information regarding what has happened to our buffering system is unequivocal. The ice caps are melting at a precipitous rate, and our oceans are rising in consequence. Island countries are disappearing. The Maldives for example is buying land in Australia in preparation: http://oilprice.com/Latest-Energy-N...tralia-As-Preparation-For-Mass-Migration.html .
     

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