not really that good of news for the NBA product. your typical 18 year old isn't ready to be an actual NBA player and what it consists of. so now the pool of guys trying to get into the league gets even deeper as if it isn't saturated as is
I'm going against the consensus here. There's not statistical evidence that shows that high school NBA players will be less capable pro-players. A player from high school is more likely to be star, contributor, or quality player, slightly more than 1 year college students and much more likely than sophomores, juniors, and seniors. Hockey and soccer allows across the world, while there's a D-League in the place, now if a player is not up to par. Out of 42 high school players from 1995-2018, 8 players who have had several all star appearances and HOF consideration, 3 more who had a few all star appearances, and 20 players who have played in the league for at least 10 years (no all-star appearance). With the last two being, Thom Maker and Anfernee Simons. Take out Maker and Simons, 31/40 players, either became/will become a HOF, multiple time all-star, regular starter, or spend at least 8-10 years in the NBA. 77% of the draftees fall in that category. No other type of draftee has the same success rate, since 1995. College seniors and juniors fare the worse. Only 6 players were out right bust, drafted in top 10, but here's the thing 7, if you want to "be technical" and include Martell Webster, but he has had a decent NBA. Here's the thing, though Curry, Brown, and Miles all played at least 8 NBA seasons. So, they didn't turn into all-stars, but were able to stay in the league. This is strictly straight to NBA from High School. I did not include players who went to JUNCO or overseas to play. https://bleacherreport.com/articles...-and-done-rule-is-causing-more-harm-than-good https://www.npr.org/sections/thetwo...lers-ncaa-commission-on-college-basketball-sa https://www.amherst.edu/media/view/329619/original/Sugai-EffectEarlyEntrytoNBA.pdf
It also makes it easier for those that rather go to college. Not much competition on offers from preferred schools. I also think guys should be able to enter the G league right out of high school at 17 if they graduated.
Good...will stop the sham of guys going to college for a year and those colleges making money off them for nothing. Extend the draft an extra round or two and do like baseball where guys can be sent to the G league, but you maintain their rights after drafting them. Also, if guys decide to go to college, they must stay at least two years before being draftable. Could do like baseball and make it where if they go to JUCO, they can be drafted after two years, but if they go to a 4 year school, they can be drafted after three.
Creating incentive NOT to go to school by upping length requirements is exactly what you don’t want to do.
This is a silly comparison - the HS kids that came out during that period were not your average draftees - they were the most elite of the HS players. They *should* have a much higher success rate. What that rate should be, I don't know, but it should be far higher than an overall pool of average draftees. Ideally, we'd compare success rates of top-3 picks, top-10 picks, etc. And we'd have to look at how long it took those players to get to the same level as the equivalent college players and how much extra the teams paid for that development (wasted years of rookie contracts, etc).
And college basketball is done. Will anybody really care anymore. It's already lost traction. Football is next. The only thing keeping it alive is the illusion of March Madness and a few stars. Somebody in the NCAA should say right now, let's pay those kids a lot of money. This is a moment in time the NCAA will regret. They need to be more forward thinking. Personally, I don't care. But the NCAA should.
